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Closest results
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Kansas

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Kansas in 2004, 62.0% to 36.6%, a margin of 25.4 points and 301,463 votes.

Kansas voted 22.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 103 of the 105 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Johnson, cast 258,687 votes and went to the Republican by 23.3 points. The closest was Greeley, where 446 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 736,456 62.0%
John Kerry Democratic 434,993 36.6%
All other candidates 16,307 1.4%
Total1,187,756

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Johnson 97,866 37.8% 158,103 61.1% 2,718 258,687 R+23.3
Sedgwick 64,839 36.5% 110,381 62.1% 2,459 177,679 R+25.6
Shawnee 36,264 44.5% 44,188 54.2% 1,125 81,577 R+9.7
Wyandotte 34,923 65.4% 17,919 33.6% 559 53,401 D+31.8
Douglas 28,634 57.1% 20,544 41.0% 933 50,111 D+16.1
Leavenworth 11,039 40.4% 15,949 58.4% 343 27,331 R+18.0
Reno 9,114 33.4% 17,748 65.0% 462 27,324 R+31.6
Butler 7,495 28.5% 18,438 70.2% 347 26,280 R+41.6
Saline 7,524 32.7% 15,111 65.6% 406 23,041 R+32.9
Riley 7,908 37.8% 12,672 60.6% 331 20,911 R+22.8
Crawford 7,617 46.1% 8,626 52.2% 284 16,527 R+6.1
Harvey 5,331 35.3% 9,534 63.1% 245 15,110 R+27.8
Cowley 4,818 33.3% 9,407 65.1% 222 14,447 R+31.8
Montgomery 4,338 30.7% 9,598 68.0% 180 14,116 R+37.3
Miami 4,838 34.5% 9,013 64.3% 165 14,016 R+29.8
Lyon 5,234 38.9% 7,951 59.2% 255 13,440 R+20.2
McPherson 3,589 26.8% 9,595 71.8% 183 13,367 R+44.9
Ellis 4,033 33.1% 7,891 64.7% 263 12,187 R+31.7
Barton 2,874 24.6% 8,666 74.0% 166 11,706 R+49.5
Franklin 3,921 34.2% 7,391 64.4% 164 11,476 R+30.2
Sumner 3,217 30.7% 7,092 67.6% 179 10,488 R+36.9
Finney 2,351 23.7% 7,479 75.3% 103 9,933 R+51.6
Cherokee 3,726 37.6% 6,083 61.4% 104 9,913 R+23.8
Labette 3,615 39.6% 5,400 59.1% 124 9,139 R+19.5
Ford 2,286 25.4% 6,632 73.6% 98 9,016 R+48.2
Pottawatomie 2,176 24.7% 6,326 71.7% 321 8,823 R+47.0
Jefferson 3,253 37.0% 5,408 61.5% 132 8,793 R+24.5
Dickinson 2,364 26.9% 6,295 71.6% 132 8,791 R+44.7
Osage 2,537 34.0% 4,800 64.3% 126 7,463 R+30.3
Geary 2,531 34.5% 4,703 64.2% 94 7,328 R+29.6
Neosho 2,424 33.5% 4,705 65.1% 102 7,231 R+31.5
Atchison 3,120 43.8% 3,880 54.5% 118 7,118 R+10.7
Bourbon 2,216 33.1% 4,372 65.4% 98 6,686 R+32.2
Marion 1,536 24.9% 4,516 73.3% 107 6,159 R+48.4
Jackson 2,064 35.1% 3,730 63.3% 94 5,888 R+28.3
Allen 1,922 32.7% 3,867 65.8% 84 5,873 R+33.1
Nemaha 1,355 24.8% 4,027 73.7% 81 5,463 R+48.9
Seward 1,122 20.6% 4,272 78.5% 45 5,439 R+57.9
Marshall 1,789 35.0% 3,261 63.8% 58 5,108 R+28.8
Linn 1,631 34.4% 3,048 64.3% 62 4,741 R+29.9
Cloud 1,210 26.9% 3,221 71.5% 72 4,503 R+44.7
Brown 1,268 28.7% 3,092 70.0% 58 4,418 R+41.3
Coffey 1,093 24.8% 3,259 73.9% 56 4,408 R+49.1
Wilson 1,060 24.1% 3,263 74.2% 75 4,398 R+50.1
Pratt 1,200 27.4% 3,121 71.2% 63 4,384 R+43.8
Rice 1,130 25.8% 3,182 72.7% 64 4,376 R+46.9
Clay 793 19.8% 3,174 79.2% 43 4,010 R+59.4
Thomas 816 21.1% 3,007 77.7% 47 3,870 R+56.6
Anderson 1,295 33.5% 2,500 64.7% 68 3,863 R+31.2
Kingman 904 24.0% 2,801 74.4% 59 3,764 R+50.4
Wabaunsee 1,001 27.8% 2,531 70.2% 72 3,604 R+42.5
Doniphan 1,065 29.6% 2,491 69.1% 47 3,603 R+39.6
Russell 810 23.0% 2,671 75.8% 44 3,525 R+52.8
Mitchell 693 20.7% 2,609 77.9% 47 3,349 R+57.2
Greenwood 911 28.1% 2,282 70.3% 51 3,244 R+42.3
Washington 643 20.2% 2,498 78.3% 49 3,190 R+58.2
Ellsworth 801 25.8% 2,259 72.8% 42 3,102 R+47.0
Pawnee 773 25.9% 2,172 72.7% 43 2,988 R+46.8
Ottawa 595 20.0% 2,333 78.5% 43 2,971 R+58.5
Morris 931 31.7% 1,961 66.8% 44 2,936 R+35.1
Harper 727 24.8% 2,154 73.5% 49 2,930 R+48.7
Republic 607 21.0% 2,238 77.5% 44 2,889 R+56.5
Phillips 557 19.6% 2,256 79.2% 34 2,847 R+59.7
Sherman 632 22.9% 2,088 75.6% 42 2,762 R+52.7
Grant 561 20.3% 2,169 78.6% 28 2,758 R+58.3
Rooks 534 19.7% 2,121 78.3% 55 2,710 R+58.6
Norton 473 18.2% 2,092 80.5% 34 2,599 R+62.3
Barber 588 24.5% 1,782 74.2% 33 2,403 R+49.7
Smith 540 22.8% 1,803 76.1% 27 2,370 R+53.3
Scott 347 15.1% 1,924 83.7% 28 2,299 R+68.6
Stevens 310 13.7% 1,936 85.5% 19 2,265 R+71.8
Gray 408 18.2% 1,816 80.9% 21 2,245 R+62.7
Stafford 506 23.1% 1,649 75.4% 31 2,186 R+52.3
Meade 356 16.8% 1,748 82.4% 17 2,121 R+65.6
Osborne 454 21.9% 1,587 76.5% 34 2,075 R+54.6
Chautauqua 404 20.6% 1,529 78.0% 27 1,960 R+57.4
Jewell 385 20.1% 1,495 78.1% 35 1,915 R+58.0
Ness 382 21.0% 1,407 77.4% 29 1,818 R+56.4
Lincoln 391 21.7% 1,368 76.0% 41 1,800 R+54.3
Rush 517 28.9% 1,226 68.5% 46 1,789 R+39.6
Woodson 530 30.1% 1,204 68.3% 29 1,763 R+38.2
Decatur 355 20.4% 1,355 77.9% 30 1,740 R+57.5
Rawlins 289 16.8% 1,414 82.2% 17 1,720 R+65.4
Cheyenne 320 18.9% 1,353 80.0% 19 1,692 R+61.1
Trego 434 25.7% 1,225 72.7% 27 1,686 R+46.9
Haskell 227 14.2% 1,356 84.8% 16 1,599 R+70.6
Morton 276 17.5% 1,287 81.7% 13 1,576 R+64.1
Kiowa 256 16.4% 1,275 81.5% 34 1,565 R+65.1
Logan 248 16.3% 1,255 82.4% 20 1,523 R+66.1
Elk 369 24.4% 1,119 73.9% 27 1,515 R+49.5
Chase 418 27.8% 1,055 70.3% 28 1,501 R+42.4
Edwards 386 25.8% 1,084 72.5% 26 1,496 R+46.7
Gove 247 16.8% 1,196 81.5% 24 1,467 R+64.7
Kearny 272 18.7% 1,177 80.9% 6 1,455 R+62.2
Graham 334 23.2% 1,082 75.1% 24 1,440 R+51.9
Sheridan 239 17.0% 1,144 81.4% 23 1,406 R+64.4
Clark 257 19.9% 1,014 78.5% 20 1,291 R+58.6
Hodgeman 223 18.9% 953 80.6% 7 1,183 R+61.7
Hamilton 229 20.3% 888 78.6% 13 1,130 R+58.3
Wichita 183 17.2% 869 81.8% 10 1,062 R+64.6
Lane 181 17.9% 823 81.2% 10 1,014 R+63.3
Comanche 200 20.4% 770 78.5% 11 981 R+58.1
Stanton 165 17.1% 796 82.4% 5 966 R+65.3
Wallace 112 12.8% 742 84.7% 22 876 R+71.9
Greeley 138 18.8% 584 79.5% 13 735 R+60.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+16.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+14.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+21.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.0
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+25.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+20.8
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+18.2
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+33.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.6
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.2
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+9.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+21.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+31.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+38.3
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+9.0
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+21.1
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+14.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+45.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+37.9
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+32.2
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.9
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+18.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+9.6
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+38.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+6.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+3.7
1892 James B. Weaver (other)
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+24.2
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+24.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+30.7
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+32.6
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+33.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+37.7