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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Maryland

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Maryland in 2004, 56.0% to 43.0%, a margin of 13.0 points and 309,831 votes.

Maryland voted 15.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Republicans led in 18 of the 24 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Montgomery, cast 415,225 votes and went to the Democrat by 33.1 points. The closest was Kent, where 622 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 1,334,534 56.0%
George W. Bush Republican 1,024,703 43.0%
All other candidates 25,001 1.0%
Total2,384,238

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Montgomery 273,936 66.0% 136,334 32.8% 4,955 415,225 D+33.1
Baltimore 182,474 51.6% 166,051 47.0% 4,954 353,479 D+4.6
Prince George's 260,532 81.8% 55,532 17.4% 2,410 318,474 D+64.4
Anne Arundel 103,324 43.1% 133,231 55.6% 3,112 239,667 R+12.5
Baltimore City 175,022 82.0% 36,230 17.0% 2,311 213,563 D+65.0
Howard 72,257 54.0% 59,724 44.6% 1,829 133,810 D+9.4
Harford 39,685 35.2% 71,565 63.5% 1,478 112,728 R+28.3
Frederick 39,503 39.3% 59,934 59.6% 1,157 100,594 R+20.3
Carroll 22,974 29.0% 55,275 69.7% 1,100 79,349 R+40.7
Charles 29,354 50.4% 28,442 48.8% 445 58,241 D+1.6
Washington 20,387 35.2% 36,917 63.8% 600 57,904 R+28.5
Calvert 15,967 40.6% 23,017 58.5% 367 39,351 R+17.9
St. Mary's 13,776 36.3% 23,725 62.6% 415 37,916 R+26.2
Cecil 14,680 39.0% 22,556 59.9% 438 37,674 R+20.9
Wicomico 15,137 40.4% 21,998 58.7% 368 37,503 R+18.3
Allegany 10,576 35.4% 18,980 63.6% 299 29,855 R+28.1
Worcester 9,648 38.2% 15,349 60.8% 232 25,229 R+22.6
Queen Anne's 7,070 32.4% 14,489 66.5% 235 21,794 R+34.0
Talbot 7,367 39.1% 11,288 59.8% 209 18,864 R+20.8
Dorchester 5,411 40.6% 7,801 58.5% 127 13,339 R+17.9
Garrett 3,291 26.4% 9,085 72.8% 108 12,484 R+46.4
Caroline 3,810 33.6% 7,396 65.1% 150 11,356 R+31.6
Kent 4,278 46.1% 4,900 52.8% 107 9,285 R+6.7
Somerset 4,034 44.9% 4,884 54.3% 76 8,994 R+9.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Maryland in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+28.5
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+33.2
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+26.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+26.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+25.4
2004 John Kerry (D) D+13.0
2000 Al Gore (D) D+16.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+14.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+5.5
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+6.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+23.9
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.9
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+20.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.7
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+25.3
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+25.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+14.7
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+4.0
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+13.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+8.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+24.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) R+0.3
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) level
1900 William McKinley (R) R+5.3
1896 William McKinley (R) R+13.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+9.9
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.0
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+12.1
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+34.4