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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in North Dakota

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in North Dakota in 2004, 62.9% to 35.5%, a margin of 27.4 points and 85,599 votes.

North Dakota voted 24.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 49 of the 53 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Cass, cast 66,711 votes and went to the Republican by 20.4 points. The closest was Steele, where 30 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 196,651 62.9%
John Kerry Democratic 111,052 35.5%
All other candidates 5,130 1.6%
Total312,833

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Cass 26,010 39.0% 39,619 59.4% 1,082 66,711 R+20.4
Burleigh 11,621 29.9% 26,577 68.5% 616 38,814 R+38.5
Grand Forks 12,646 41.5% 17,298 56.8% 526 30,470 R+15.3
Ward 8,236 32.2% 17,008 66.4% 368 25,612 R+34.2
Morton 4,073 32.2% 8,325 65.9% 235 12,633 R+33.7
Stark 3,013 29.0% 7,220 69.4% 167 10,400 R+40.5
Stutsman 3,438 34.0% 6,517 64.4% 167 10,122 R+30.4
Williams 2,512 28.1% 6,278 70.3% 139 8,929 R+42.2
Richland 2,821 34.3% 5,264 64.1% 130 8,215 R+29.7
Barnes 2,186 37.6% 3,541 60.9% 86 5,813 R+23.3
Walsh 1,905 36.7% 3,194 61.6% 87 5,186 R+24.9
Ramsey 1,885 38.5% 2,943 60.1% 72 4,900 R+21.6
McLean 1,664 35.0% 3,014 63.5% 72 4,750 R+28.4
Mercer 1,245 27.0% 3,285 71.2% 87 4,617 R+44.2
Traill 1,651 38.9% 2,543 59.9% 54 4,248 R+21.0
Rolette 2,564 63.4% 1,392 34.4% 88 4,044 D+29.0
Pembina 1,321 34.3% 2,466 64.0% 69 3,856 R+29.7
Bottineau 1,168 31.8% 2,468 67.2% 38 3,674 R+35.4
Mountrail 1,465 48.3% 1,527 50.4% 38 3,030 R+2.0
Dickey 883 31.3% 1,890 67.0% 48 2,821 R+35.7
McHenry 1,030 36.5% 1,744 61.8% 46 2,820 R+25.3
McKenzie 847 30.7% 1,897 68.7% 18 2,762 R+38.0
Ransom 1,199 46.1% 1,352 52.0% 51 2,602 R+5.9
Wells 858 33.5% 1,654 64.6% 49 2,561 R+31.1
Cavalier 887 36.3% 1,522 62.3% 35 2,444 R+26.0
LaMoure 712 30.5% 1,592 68.2% 31 2,335 R+37.7
Benson 1,196 53.3% 1,002 44.6% 48 2,246 D+8.6
Sargent 1,021 46.4% 1,147 52.1% 32 2,200 R+5.7
Pierce 686 31.3% 1,475 67.2% 34 2,195 R+35.9
Emmons 611 28.9% 1,449 68.6% 53 2,113 R+39.7
Nelson 778 40.5% 1,107 57.6% 37 1,922 R+17.1
Dunn 571 32.2% 1,178 66.4% 25 1,774 R+34.2
Foster 518 29.3% 1,219 69.0% 29 1,766 R+39.7
McIntosh 436 25.3% 1,254 72.8% 32 1,722 R+47.5
Bowman 397 23.1% 1,280 74.6% 39 1,716 R+51.5
Hettinger 405 27.1% 1,044 69.9% 45 1,494 R+42.8
Renville 497 33.8% 953 64.9% 19 1,469 R+31.0
Griggs 505 35.1% 907 63.0% 27 1,439 R+27.9
Towner 606 43.6% 754 54.2% 31 1,391 R+10.6
Kidder 433 31.6% 902 65.9% 34 1,369 R+34.3
Adams 353 27.3% 915 70.9% 23 1,291 R+43.5
Divide 487 38.4% 751 59.2% 30 1,268 R+20.8
Grant 264 21.3% 952 76.7% 26 1,242 R+55.4
Eddy 534 44.0% 655 54.0% 24 1,213 R+10.0
Steele 616 50.8% 586 48.3% 11 1,213 D+2.5
Burke 336 28.8% 808 69.4% 21 1,165 R+40.5
Sioux 804 70.5% 319 28.0% 17 1,140 D+42.5
Logan 265 23.5% 844 74.7% 21 1,130 R+51.2
Oliver 310 27.7% 790 70.6% 19 1,119 R+42.9
Sheridan 200 21.2% 727 77.0% 17 944 R+55.8
Golden Valley 195 21.0% 719 77.6% 13 927 R+56.5
Billings 99 17.6% 449 79.6% 16 564 R+62.1
Slope 89 20.6% 335 77.5% 8 432 R+56.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Dakota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+36.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+33.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+35.7
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+19.6
2008 John McCain (R) R+8.6
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+27.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+27.6
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+6.8
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.1
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+31.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+38.0
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+26.3
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+16.1
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.9
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+23.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+42.6
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+8.8
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+8.4
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+10.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.0
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+10.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+40.7
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+59.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+1.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+7.5
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+54.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+26.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+11.9
1892 James B. Weaver (other)