Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 presidential election in Vermont
John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Vermont in 2004, 58.9% to 38.8%, a margin of 20.1 points and 62,887 votes.
Vermont voted 22.6 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.
Democrats led in 13 of the 14 counties and Republicans in 1. The largest, Chittenden, cast 77,696 votes and went to the Democrat by 29.5 points. The closest was Essex, where 315 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Kerry won | Democratic | 184,067 | 58.9% |
| George W. Bush | Republican | 121,180 | 38.8% |
| All other candidates | 7,062 | 2.3% | |
| Total | 312,309 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chittenden | 49,369 63.5% | 26,422 34.0% | 1,905 | 77,696 | D+29.5 |
| Washington | 19,177 61.0% | 11,461 36.4% | 810 | 31,448 | D+24.5 |
| Rutland | 15,904 51.3% | 14,440 46.6% | 631 | 30,975 | D+4.7 |
| Windsor | 18,561 60.3% | 11,491 37.3% | 715 | 30,767 | D+23.0 |
| Windham | 15,489 66.4% | 7,280 31.2% | 547 | 23,316 | D+35.2 |
| Franklin | 10,598 53.2% | 8,936 44.9% | 386 | 19,920 | D+8.3 |
| Bennington | 11,069 58.1% | 7,616 39.9% | 380 | 19,065 | D+18.1 |
| Addison | 11,147 60.0% | 7,077 38.1% | 355 | 18,579 | D+21.9 |
| Orange | 8,159 54.8% | 6,421 43.1% | 315 | 14,895 | D+11.7 |
| Caledonia | 7,106 50.0% | 6,765 47.6% | 340 | 14,211 | D+2.4 |
| Orleans | 6,330 51.7% | 5,666 46.3% | 246 | 12,242 | D+5.4 |
| Lamoille | 7,636 62.7% | 4,260 35.0% | 285 | 12,181 | D+27.7 |
| Grand Isle | 2,246 55.1% | 1,754 43.0% | 77 | 4,077 | D+12.1 |
| Essex | 1,276 43.4% | 1,591 54.2% | 70 | 2,937 | R+10.7 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Vermont in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+31.5 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+35.4 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+26.4 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+35.6 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+37.0 |
| 2004 | John Kerry (D) | D+20.1 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+9.9 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+22.3 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+15.7 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+3.5 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+17.1 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+6.0 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+26.2 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+9.2 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+32.6 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+17.3 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+44.4 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+43.3 |
| 1948 | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | R+24.6 |
| 1944 | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | R+14.1 |
| 1940 | Wendell Willkie (R) | R+9.9 |
| 1936 | Alf Landon (R) | R+13.2 |
| 1932 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+16.6 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+34.0 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+62.5 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+52.6 |
| 1916 | Charles Evans Hughes (R) | R+27.2 |
| 1912 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+12.7 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+53.3 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+59.1 |
| 1900 | William McKinley (R) | R+52.9 |
| 1896 | William McKinley (R) | R+63.4 |
| 1892 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+38.8 |
| 1888 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+43.4 |
| 1884 | James G. Blaine (R) | R+37.4 |
| 1880 | James A. Garfield (R) | R+41.9 |
| 1876 | Rutherford B. Hayes (R) | R+37.0 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+57.7 |
| 1868 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+57.1 |