United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Vermont

Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Vermont in 2024, 63.8% to 32.3%, a margin of 31.5 points and 116,396 votes.

Vermont voted 33.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.

Democrats led in 12 of the 14 counties and Republicans in 2. The largest, Chittenden, cast 97,329 votes and went to the Democrat by 53.1 points. The closest was Orleans, where 227 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kamala Harris won Democratic 235,791 63.8%
Donald Trump Republican 119,395 32.3%
All other candidates 14,236 3.9%
Total369,422

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Chittenden 72,656 74.6% 20,937 21.5% 3,736 97,329 D+53.1
Washington 24,527 69.3% 9,327 26.4% 1,515 35,369 D+43.0
Windsor 22,569 65.8% 10,458 30.5% 1,262 34,289 D+35.3
Rutland 17,375 51.0% 15,586 45.7% 1,141 34,102 D+5.2
Franklin 13,280 49.7% 12,490 46.7% 973 26,743 D+3.0
Windham 17,904 69.0% 6,928 26.7% 1,101 25,933 D+42.3
Addison 14,879 65.8% 6,841 30.3% 887 22,607 D+35.6
Bennington 12,326 59.5% 7,697 37.2% 687 20,710 D+22.4
Orange 10,220 57.8% 6,683 37.8% 769 17,672 D+20.0
Caledonia 8,977 54.0% 6,927 41.6% 729 16,633 D+12.3
Lamoille 9,788 65.9% 4,505 30.3% 551 14,844 D+35.6
Orleans 7,006 47.5% 7,233 49.0% 526 14,765 R+1.5
Grand Isle 2,940 58.8% 1,893 37.9% 168 5,001 D+20.9
Essex 1,344 39.2% 1,890 55.2% 191 3,425 R+15.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Vermont in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+31.5
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+35.4
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+26.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+35.6
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+37.0
2004 John Kerry (D) D+20.1
2000 Al Gore (D) D+9.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+22.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+15.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.1
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.0
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+11.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+26.2
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+32.6
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+44.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+43.3
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+24.6
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+14.1
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+9.9
1936 Alf Landon (R) R+13.2
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+34.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+52.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+27.2
1912 William Howard Taft (R) R+12.7
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+53.3
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+59.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+52.9
1896 William McKinley (R) R+63.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+38.8
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+43.4
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+37.4
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+41.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+37.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+57.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+57.1