United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Hawaii

Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Hawaii in 2024, 60.6% to 37.5%, a margin of 23.1 points and 119,383 votes.

Hawaii voted 24.6 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.

Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 340,921 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.7 points. The closest was Kauai, where 5,872 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kamala Harris won Democratic 313,044 60.6%
Donald Trump Republican 193,661 37.5%
All other candidates 9,996 1.9%
Total516,701

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Honolulu 204,301 59.9% 130,489 38.3% 6,131 340,921 D+21.7
Hawaii 52,163 63.0% 28,748 34.7% 1,912 82,823 D+28.3
Maui 38,905 61.9% 22,621 36.0% 1,367 62,893 D+25.9
Kauai 17,675 58.8% 11,803 39.3% 586 30,064 D+19.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Hawaii in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+23.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.5
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+32.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+42.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+45.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+8.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+18.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+25.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+9.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+11.3
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+25.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+21.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+57.5
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.1