United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Florida

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Florida in 2024, 56.1% to 43.0%, a margin of 13.1 points and 1,427,087 votes.

Florida voted 11.6 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 61 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 1,093,024 votes and went to the Republican by 11.5 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 1,582 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 6,110,125 56.1%
Kamala Harris Democratic 4,683,038 43.0%
All other candidates 100,589 0.9%
Total10,893,752

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 480,355 43.9% 605,590 55.4% 7,079 1,093,024 R+11.5
Broward 507,328 58.1% 358,952 41.1% 7,636 873,916 D+17.0
Palm Beach 372,512 50.0% 366,836 49.2% 6,286 745,634 D+0.8
Hillsborough 321,455 47.8% 342,017 50.9% 8,861 672,333 R+3.1
Orange 340,807 56.1% 258,279 42.5% 8,196 607,282 D+13.6
Pinellas 242,452 46.9% 269,472 52.1% 5,435 517,359 R+5.2
Duval 229,365 48.6% 236,285 50.1% 5,877 471,527 R+1.5
Lee 139,240 35.5% 250,661 63.8% 2,701 392,602 R+28.4
Brevard 141,233 39.1% 216,533 59.9% 3,864 361,630 R+20.8
Polk 136,879 39.2% 209,044 59.9% 2,855 348,778 R+20.7
Pasco 117,450 36.9% 197,779 62.1% 3,216 318,445 R+25.2
Volusia 120,132 38.7% 187,691 60.5% 2,632 310,455 R+21.8
Sarasota 112,668 40.5% 163,219 58.7% 2,149 278,036 R+18.2
Seminole 120,717 47.5% 129,735 51.1% 3,436 253,888 R+3.6
Manatee 86,674 37.9% 140,486 61.4% 1,775 228,935 R+23.5
Lake 84,546 37.3% 140,500 62.0% 1,600 226,646 R+24.7
Collier 71,720 33.1% 143,267 66.1% 1,618 216,605 R+33.0
Marion 72,436 33.9% 140,173 65.5% 1,315 213,924 R+31.7
St. Johns 66,862 33.8% 128,759 65.1% 2,118 197,739 R+31.3
St. Lucie 83,517 45.1% 100,293 54.2% 1,214 185,024 R+9.1
Osceola 84,205 48.8% 86,713 50.2% 1,710 172,628 R+1.5
Escambia 64,601 39.7% 96,407 59.2% 1,872 162,880 R+19.5
Leon 94,520 60.2% 60,397 38.4% 2,208 157,125 D+21.7
Alachua 81,578 59.7% 52,939 38.7% 2,241 136,758 D+20.9
Clay 37,926 29.9% 87,711 69.2% 1,179 126,816 R+39.3
Charlotte 40,450 32.7% 82,480 66.7% 715 123,645 R+34.0
Okaloosa 32,074 28.2% 80,309 70.6% 1,406 113,789 R+42.4
Santa Rosa 27,035 24.0% 84,314 75.0% 1,130 112,479 R+50.9
Hernando 34,431 31.1% 75,446 68.2% 751 110,628 R+37.1
Sumter 32,551 30.9% 72,134 68.6% 520 105,205 R+37.6
Indian River 35,654 36.0% 62,737 63.3% 722 99,113 R+27.3
Martin 33,539 34.1% 64,121 65.2% 759 98,419 R+31.1
Citrus 26,276 26.8% 71,356 72.7% 532 98,164 R+45.9
Bay 25,201 25.8% 71,497 73.1% 1,085 97,783 R+47.3
Flagler 28,431 35.6% 51,014 63.8% 466 79,911 R+28.3
Nassau 17,143 26.1% 47,945 73.0% 594 65,682 R+46.9
Highlands 15,227 29.4% 36,382 70.2% 224 51,833 R+40.8
Walton 10,287 20.7% 38,970 78.5% 355 49,612 R+57.8
Monroe 17,933 40.5% 26,064 58.8% 335 44,332 R+18.3
Putnam 9,354 25.8% 26,700 73.7% 177 36,231 R+47.9
Columbia 8,250 24.6% 25,108 74.8% 203 33,561 R+50.2
Levy 5,994 24.6% 18,245 74.9% 119 24,358 R+50.3
Jackson 5,892 26.7% 16,074 72.8% 101 22,067 R+46.1
Suwannee 4,217 19.3% 17,561 80.3% 95 21,873 R+61.0
Gadsden 14,203 65.0% 7,495 34.3% 150 21,848 D+30.7
Wakulla 5,441 27.4% 14,246 71.8% 160 19,847 R+44.4
Okeechobee 3,671 22.9% 12,315 76.8% 49 16,035 R+53.9
Baker 1,982 13.3% 12,926 86.4% 46 14,954 R+73.2
Bradford 2,946 21.2% 10,920 78.6% 33 13,899 R+57.4
Hendry 4,096 30.5% 9,253 68.9% 87 13,436 R+38.4
Washington 2,140 17.0% 10,370 82.5% 67 12,577 R+65.4
Desoto 3,525 28.3% 8,888 71.2% 64 12,477 R+43.0
Gilchrist 1,662 15.6% 8,931 83.6% 91 10,684 R+68.0
Taylor 1,991 19.9% 7,954 79.7% 39 9,984 R+59.7
Madison 3,231 35.3% 5,874 64.3% 36 9,141 R+28.9
Holmes 882 9.7% 8,193 90.1% 22 9,097 R+80.4
Gulf 1,970 22.7% 6,684 76.9% 37 8,691 R+54.2
Jefferson 3,429 40.3% 5,011 59.0% 59 8,499 R+18.6
Dixie 1,183 14.5% 6,920 85.1% 29 8,132 R+70.5
Hardee 1,751 21.5% 6,337 77.9% 42 8,130 R+56.4
Franklin 1,870 27.7% 4,831 71.5% 58 6,759 R+43.8
Calhoun 1,021 15.9% 5,367 83.6% 31 6,419 R+67.7
Union 971 15.6% 5,224 84.0% 27 6,222 R+68.4
Hamilton 1,727 30.1% 3,964 69.2% 39 5,730 R+39.0
Glades 1,222 23.1% 4,034 76.4% 24 5,280 R+53.3
Lafayette 441 11.8% 3,296 87.8% 16 3,753 R+76.1
Liberty 566 16.3% 2,898 83.2% 19 3,483 R+67.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0