United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in New Jersey

Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in New Jersey in 2024, 52.0% to 46.1%, a margin of 5.9 points and 252,498 votes.

New Jersey voted 7.4 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.

Republicans led in 12 of the 21 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Bergen, cast 498,894 votes and went to the Democrat by 5.1 points. The closest was Cumberland, where 2,050 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kamala Harris won Democratic 2,220,713 52.0%
Donald Trump Republican 1,968,215 46.1%
All other candidates 83,797 2.0%
Total4,272,725

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 257,864 51.7% 232,459 46.6% 8,571 498,894 D+5.1
Middlesex 192,380 52.5% 162,640 44.4% 11,303 366,323 D+8.1
Monmouth 156,898 43.4% 197,683 54.7% 6,802 361,383 R+11.3
Ocean 106,138 31.4% 227,547 67.4% 4,151 337,836 R+35.9
Essex 225,337 72.0% 84,024 26.8% 3,738 313,099 D+45.1
Morris 136,115 47.6% 143,636 50.2% 6,139 285,890 R+2.6
Camden 156,035 63.0% 87,889 35.5% 3,716 247,640 D+27.5
Union 143,248 61.1% 86,609 36.9% 4,615 234,472 D+24.2
Hudson 145,243 62.6% 80,024 34.5% 6,828 232,095 D+28.1
Burlington 132,711 57.7% 94,246 41.0% 3,091 230,048 D+16.7
Passaic 95,470 47.0% 101,094 49.7% 6,669 203,233 R+2.8
Somerset 99,116 55.6% 74,204 41.6% 4,918 178,238 D+14.0
Gloucester 78,632 48.0% 83,086 50.7% 2,120 163,838 R+2.7
Atlantic 61,641 47.6% 65,702 50.7% 2,130 129,473 R+3.1
Mercer 81,555 66.7% 37,749 30.9% 2,883 122,187 D+35.9
Sussex 31,120 36.7% 52,188 61.5% 1,551 84,859 R+24.8
Hunterdon 37,117 45.7% 42,450 52.3% 1,656 81,223 R+6.6
Warren 23,395 38.8% 35,822 59.4% 1,103 60,320 R+20.6
Cumberland 26,665 47.7% 28,715 51.4% 539 55,919 R+3.7
Cape May 21,719 39.7% 32,196 58.8% 839 54,754 R+19.1
Salem 12,315 39.7% 18,254 58.9% 431 31,000 R+19.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+15.9
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+14.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+17.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.6
2004 John Kerry (D) D+6.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+15.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.8
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+31.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.8
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+30.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.8
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.0
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+20.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+39.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+11.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+20.7
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.7
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+18.6
1900 William McKinley (R) R+14.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+23.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.4
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+5.7
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.0
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.8