United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Texas

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Texas in 2024, 56.1% to 42.5%, a margin of 13.7 points and 1,558,347 votes.

Texas voted 12.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 242 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 12. The largest, Harris, cast 1,555,319 votes and went to the Democrat by 5.5 points. The closest was Kenedy, where 74 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 6,393,597 56.1%
Kamala Harris Democratic 4,835,250 42.5%
All other candidates 159,827 1.4%
Total11,388,674

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 808,790 52.0% 722,717 46.5% 23,812 1,555,319 D+5.5
Dallas 511,039 60.0% 322,478 37.8% 18,633 852,150 D+22.1
Tarrant 384,510 46.8% 426,639 51.9% 11,018 822,167 R+5.1
Bexar 411,399 54.2% 337,555 44.5% 10,012 758,966 D+9.7
Travis 398,978 68.4% 170,786 29.3% 13,380 583,144 D+39.1
Collin 222,120 43.0% 279,542 54.1% 15,308 516,970 R+11.1
Denton 191,508 42.7% 250,529 55.9% 6,527 448,564 R+13.2
Fort Bend 179,314 49.4% 173,597 47.8% 10,099 363,010 D+1.6
Williamson 147,770 47.8% 155,315 50.2% 6,000 309,085 R+2.4
Montgomery 82,279 26.8% 221,971 72.3% 2,581 306,831 R+45.5
El Paso 143,159 56.9% 105,127 41.8% 3,369 251,655 D+15.1
Hidalgo 104,520 48.2% 110,763 51.1% 1,680 216,963 R+2.9
Brazoria 63,978 39.5% 95,870 59.2% 1,973 161,821 R+19.7
Galveston 56,733 35.7% 100,298 63.2% 1,744 158,775 R+27.4
Bell 53,974 41.3% 75,163 57.5% 1,694 130,831 R+16.2
Hays 65,530 52.2% 58,440 46.5% 1,682 125,652 D+5.6
Lubbock 37,149 29.8% 86,550 69.3% 1,165 124,864 R+39.6
Nueces 53,249 43.8% 67,203 55.3% 1,057 121,509 R+11.5
Cameron 54,259 46.7% 60,993 52.5% 895 116,147 R+5.8
Smith 28,042 27.0% 74,864 72.0% 1,135 104,041 R+45.0
Comal 27,681 26.8% 74,758 72.3% 908 103,347 R+45.6
Ellis 33,851 34.0% 64,765 65.0% 1,063 99,679 R+31.0
McLennan 33,864 34.0% 64,608 64.9% 1,061 99,533 R+30.9
Brazos 33,845 36.9% 56,673 61.7% 1,315 91,833 R+24.9
Parker 14,872 16.4% 75,170 82.9% 672 90,714 R+66.5
Jefferson 38,937 45.1% 46,597 54.0% 779 86,313 R+8.9
Guadalupe 29,574 34.7% 54,693 64.2% 964 85,231 R+29.5
Johnson 19,247 23.8% 60,754 75.2% 816 80,817 R+51.4
Kaufman 24,727 35.6% 44,062 63.5% 650 69,439 R+27.8
Randall 12,935 19.4% 53,316 79.8% 557 66,808 R+60.4
Grayson 14,800 22.4% 50,558 76.7% 591 65,949 R+54.2
Webb 31,997 48.6% 33,398 50.7% 508 65,903 R+2.1
Rockwall 18,092 29.0% 43,543 69.8% 791 62,426 R+40.8
Midland 11,351 19.3% 46,945 79.7% 590 58,886 R+60.4
Taylor 13,624 24.6% 41,199 74.4% 517 55,340 R+49.8
Gregg 13,294 28.5% 33,027 70.8% 352 46,673 R+42.3
Hunt 10,212 21.9% 36,138 77.4% 318 46,668 R+55.6
Tom Green 11,585 25.5% 33,400 73.6% 412 45,397 R+48.1
Wichita 12,237 27.5% 31,819 71.6% 412 44,468 R+44.0
Ector 9,900 23.2% 32,468 76.1% 321 42,689 R+52.9
Bastrop 15,989 40.1% 23,302 58.5% 571 39,862 R+18.3
Henderson 6,919 17.9% 31,380 81.4% 250 38,549 R+63.5
Wise 5,605 14.7% 32,386 84.8% 199 38,190 R+70.1
Bowie 9,282 25.3% 27,123 74.0% 255 36,660 R+48.7
Hood 6,051 16.6% 30,168 82.7% 257 36,476 R+66.1
Orange 5,945 16.4% 30,192 83.1% 189 36,326 R+66.7
Victoria 9,998 28.4% 25,011 70.9% 247 35,256 R+42.6
Angelina 8,146 23.7% 26,050 75.7% 232 34,428 R+52.0
Potter 8,748 27.3% 23,008 71.7% 320 32,076 R+44.5
Liberty 5,952 19.0% 25,242 80.7% 85 31,279 R+61.7
Harrison 7,369 24.4% 22,659 75.0% 173 30,201 R+50.6
Kendall 6,355 21.7% 22,669 77.5% 230 29,254 R+55.8
Kerr 6,315 22.4% 21,616 76.8% 200 28,131 R+54.4
Hardin 3,347 11.9% 24,692 87.8% 79 28,118 R+75.9
Burnet 6,114 21.7% 21,796 77.5% 204 28,114 R+55.8
Van Zandt 3,450 12.4% 24,352 87.2% 109 27,911 R+74.9
Waller 10,183 37.0% 17,078 62.0% 262 27,523 R+25.1
Wilson 6,247 22.9% 20,895 76.6% 140 27,282 R+53.7
San Patricio 8,025 31.4% 17,338 67.9% 180 25,543 R+36.5
Nacogdoches 7,690 30.2% 17,576 69.1% 185 25,451 R+38.8
Walker 7,461 29.7% 17,516 69.7% 163 25,140 R+40.0
Chambers 4,187 16.8% 20,558 82.5% 178 24,923 R+65.7
Medina 6,950 28.3% 17,465 71.0% 168 24,583 R+42.8
Wood 3,618 14.9% 20,622 84.7% 112 24,352 R+69.8
Polk 4,910 20.2% 19,217 79.2% 131 24,258 R+59.0
Coryell 6,938 29.1% 16,620 69.8% 244 23,802 R+40.7
Rusk 4,327 20.0% 17,213 79.4% 139 21,679 R+59.4
Lamar 4,079 19.2% 17,045 80.2% 131 21,255 R+61.0
Cherokee 3,744 18.3% 16,594 81.0% 140 20,478 R+62.8
Cooke 3,310 16.2% 16,976 83.1% 133 20,419 R+66.9
Upshur 2,820 14.2% 16,940 85.3% 99 19,859 R+71.1
Navarro 4,708 23.7% 14,983 75.5% 148 19,839 R+51.8
Anderson 3,635 18.8% 15,597 80.6% 122 19,354 R+61.8
Atascosa 5,153 27.9% 13,142 71.3% 147 18,442 R+43.3
Erath 2,871 15.6% 15,349 83.5% 154 18,374 R+67.9
Washington 4,058 22.2% 14,020 76.9% 162 18,240 R+54.6
Brown 2,131 12.7% 14,591 86.7% 105 16,827 R+74.0
Hopkins 2,917 17.4% 13,754 82.1% 84 16,755 R+64.7
Hill 2,919 17.5% 13,669 81.9% 95 16,683 R+64.4
Gillespie 3,160 19.2% 13,202 80.2% 107 16,469 R+61.0
Wharton 3,910 23.8% 12,439 75.6% 99 16,448 R+51.9
Starr 6,862 41.8% 9,487 57.9% 49 16,398 R+16.0
Fannin 2,607 15.9% 13,648 83.4% 117 16,372 R+67.4
Jasper 2,615 16.5% 13,162 83.1% 61 15,838 R+66.6
Maverick 6,373 40.5% 9,285 59.1% 65 15,723 R+18.5
Caldwell 6,618 42.1% 8,880 56.5% 217 15,715 R+14.4
Austin 2,816 18.3% 12,457 80.9% 121 15,394 R+62.6
Val Verde 5,282 36.2% 9,162 62.8% 148 14,592 R+26.6
Cass 2,406 17.0% 11,693 82.8% 24 14,123 R+65.8
Grimes 2,734 19.5% 11,197 79.8% 100 14,031 R+60.3
Llano 2,613 19.2% 10,902 80.1% 95 13,610 R+60.9
Bandera 2,532 18.6% 10,939 80.5% 110 13,581 R+61.9
Fayette 2,515 18.9% 10,699 80.2% 126 13,340 R+61.3
Palo Pinto 2,143 16.1% 11,093 83.3% 81 13,317 R+67.2
Matagorda 3,231 24.3% 9,957 74.9% 105 13,293 R+50.6
Jim Wells 5,577 42.1% 7,636 57.6% 37 13,250 R+15.5
Aransas 2,831 21.8% 10,090 77.5% 92 13,013 R+55.8
San Jacinto 2,175 17.0% 10,524 82.4% 72 12,771 R+65.4
Panola 1,905 16.7% 9,500 83.2% 18 11,423 R+66.5
Lampasas 2,232 19.7% 8,961 79.3% 112 11,305 R+59.5
Milam 2,331 21.0% 8,691 78.4% 61 11,083 R+57.4
Montague 1,208 10.9% 9,825 88.7% 49 11,082 R+77.8
Lavaca 1,235 11.8% 9,215 87.9% 32 10,482 R+76.1
Titus 2,275 22.3% 7,861 77.0% 79 10,215 R+54.7
Kleberg 4,345 43.3% 5,614 56.0% 67 10,026 R+12.7
Colorado 2,108 21.1% 7,824 78.3% 66 9,998 R+57.2
Shelby 1,741 17.5% 8,164 82.2% 29 9,934 R+64.7
Uvalde 3,218 33.0% 6,482 66.4% 58 9,758 R+33.4
Howard 1,759 18.3% 7,817 81.1% 61 9,637 R+62.9
Tyler 1,252 13.0% 8,327 86.5% 46 9,625 R+73.5
Bosque 1,524 15.9% 7,969 83.2% 80 9,573 R+67.3
Houston 2,065 22.1% 7,247 77.4% 48 9,360 R+55.4
Burleson 1,703 18.2% 7,588 81.1% 61 9,352 R+62.9
Hale 1,903 20.5% 7,283 78.5% 86 9,272 R+58.0
Limestone 1,921 21.2% 7,081 78.0% 78 9,080 R+56.8
Leon 1,033 11.4% 7,982 88.2% 32 9,047 R+76.8
Freestone 1,500 16.6% 7,509 83.0% 34 9,043 R+66.4
Bee 2,606 29.7% 6,111 69.6% 61 8,778 R+39.9
Blanco 1,973 23.1% 6,447 75.5% 114 8,534 R+52.4
Lee 1,640 19.5% 6,724 79.9% 51 8,415 R+60.4
Eastland 912 10.9% 7,396 88.6% 37 8,345 R+77.7
Young 962 11.6% 7,298 87.9% 42 8,302 R+76.3
Hutchinson 913 11.1% 7,273 88.3% 47 8,233 R+77.3
Robertson 1,926 23.6% 6,177 75.7% 58 8,161 R+52.1
Hockley 1,323 16.6% 6,616 82.9% 37 7,976 R+66.4
Calhoun 1,853 23.7% 5,939 75.8% 38 7,830 R+52.2
Dewitt 1,270 16.3% 6,515 83.4% 29 7,814 R+67.1
Gonzales 1,729 22.3% 5,981 77.1% 48 7,758 R+54.8
Gray 845 11.2% 6,691 88.4% 34 7,570 R+77.2
Trinity 1,192 16.2% 6,121 83.3% 33 7,346 R+67.1
Callahan 761 10.9% 6,180 88.6% 37 6,978 R+77.7
Jones 907 13.1% 5,988 86.2% 54 6,949 R+73.1
Rains 869 13.3% 5,649 86.3% 29 6,547 R+73.0
Comanche 834 12.8% 5,679 86.9% 22 6,535 R+74.1
Gaines 538 8.4% 5,840 91.2% 29 6,407 R+82.8
Jackson 904 14.4% 5,360 85.2% 27 6,291 R+70.8
Falls 1,713 27.3% 4,520 72.1% 35 6,268 R+44.8
Andrews 806 13.3% 5,205 86.0% 40 6,051 R+72.7
Clay 584 9.9% 5,288 89.5% 38 5,910 R+79.6
Red River 1,103 19.1% 4,682 80.9% 3 5,788 R+61.8
Newton 952 16.6% 4,781 83.2% 10 5,743 R+66.7
Scurry 734 12.8% 4,945 86.4% 44 5,723 R+73.6
Sabine 590 10.6% 4,972 89.2% 11 5,573 R+78.6
Willacy 2,673 48.1% 2,856 51.4% 26 5,555 R+3.3
Madison 964 17.6% 4,498 82.1% 19 5,481 R+64.5
Morris 1,312 24.1% 4,092 75.2% 34 5,438 R+51.1
Moore 860 16.1% 4,458 83.3% 34 5,352 R+67.2
Franklin 813 15.3% 4,473 84.3% 18 5,304 R+69.0
Somervell 751 14.2% 4,493 84.7% 58 5,302 R+70.6
Camp 1,201 22.9% 4,011 76.5% 34 5,246 R+53.6
Archer 520 10.1% 4,592 89.6% 13 5,125 R+79.5
Nolan 1,020 19.9% 4,048 79.1% 47 5,115 R+59.2
Live Oak 761 15.0% 4,307 84.7% 18 5,086 R+69.7
Karnes 1,051 20.7% 4,001 78.9% 16 5,068 R+58.2
Frio 1,848 37.5% 3,060 62.0% 24 4,932 R+24.6
Zapata 1,877 38.6% 2,970 61.1% 17 4,864 R+22.5
Marion 1,101 23.4% 3,577 76.0% 29 4,707 R+52.6
Brewster 1,969 43.1% 2,545 55.7% 58 4,572 R+12.6
Hamilton 625 14.0% 3,809 85.1% 40 4,474 R+71.2
Wilbarger 860 19.3% 3,566 79.9% 35 4,461 R+60.7
Duval 1,993 44.9% 2,435 54.8% 13 4,441 R+10.0
Deaf Smith 1,019 23.8% 3,233 75.5% 28 4,280 R+51.7
Pecos 1,144 27.1% 3,042 72.0% 41 4,227 R+44.9
Jack 363 8.7% 3,819 91.0% 13 4,195 R+82.4
Coleman 428 10.3% 3,712 89.3% 18 4,158 R+79.0
Lamb 729 17.6% 3,398 82.0% 18 4,145 R+64.4
Runnels 452 11.2% 3,580 88.4% 18 4,050 R+77.2
Goliad 778 19.5% 3,178 79.8% 28 3,984 R+60.2
Stephens 384 10.2% 3,368 89.6% 9 3,761 R+79.3
Ward 627 16.7% 3,115 82.8% 18 3,760 R+66.2
San Augustine 809 21.6% 2,917 78.0% 16 3,742 R+56.3
Dawson 667 19.0% 2,810 80.1% 31 3,508 R+61.1
McCulloch 455 13.0% 3,033 86.5% 20 3,508 R+73.5
Zavala 1,984 56.9% 1,480 42.5% 21 3,485 D+14.5
Reeves 1,070 31.1% 2,340 68.0% 31 3,441 R+36.9
Terry 587 17.2% 2,815 82.3% 19 3,421 R+65.1
Dimmit 1,750 51.4% 1,648 48.4% 4 3,402 D+3.0
Carson 290 9.1% 2,866 90.3% 17 3,173 R+81.2
Refugio 919 29.9% 2,134 69.5% 18 3,071 R+39.6
Ochiltree 269 8.9% 2,723 90.6% 14 3,006 R+81.6
Mills 310 11.3% 2,418 88.3% 10 2,738 R+77.0
San Saba 276 10.2% 2,412 89.1% 19 2,707 R+78.9
Delta 397 15.0% 2,250 84.8% 7 2,654 R+69.8
Lynn 367 14.3% 2,171 84.7% 24 2,562 R+70.4
Mason 434 17.2% 2,076 82.2% 15 2,525 R+65.0
Mitchell 352 14.0% 2,144 85.4% 14 2,510 R+71.4
Parmer 368 14.7% 2,123 84.9% 10 2,501 R+70.2
Kimble 261 10.9% 2,126 88.5% 14 2,401 R+77.7
Brooks 1,308 54.5% 1,077 44.9% 14 2,399 D+9.6
Yoakum 342 14.3% 2,039 85.2% 13 2,394 R+70.9
La Salle 933 39.6% 1,417 60.1% 7 2,357 R+20.5
Childress 263 11.6% 1,991 87.7% 17 2,271 R+76.1
Wheeler 169 7.4% 2,093 92.2% 9 2,271 R+84.7
Swisher 403 17.8% 1,840 81.2% 22 2,265 R+63.4
Haskell 312 13.9% 1,915 85.5% 13 2,240 R+71.6
Floyd 358 17.2% 1,715 82.2% 14 2,087 R+65.0
Martin 247 11.9% 1,825 87.6% 11 2,083 R+75.8
Castro 418 20.7% 1,594 78.9% 8 2,020 R+58.2
Hartley 163 8.1% 1,843 91.6% 7 2,013 R+83.5
Hansford 146 7.3% 1,842 92.3% 8 1,996 R+85.0
Presidio 1,288 64.8% 686 34.5% 15 1,989 D+30.3
Real 315 16.1% 1,625 83.0% 17 1,957 R+66.9
Winkler 283 14.7% 1,646 85.3% 1 1,930 R+70.6
Crosby 451 24.0% 1,416 75.4% 10 1,877 R+51.4
Fisher 330 18.0% 1,487 81.2% 14 1,831 R+63.2
Coke 179 9.9% 1,623 89.6% 9 1,811 R+79.7
Bailey 332 19.1% 1,395 80.3% 11 1,738 R+61.2
Shackelford 146 8.5% 1,565 90.7% 15 1,726 R+82.2
Donley 174 10.2% 1,512 88.4% 24 1,710 R+78.2
Baylor 183 11.0% 1,469 88.0% 18 1,670 R+77.0
Hemphill 190 11.8% 1,412 87.6% 10 1,612 R+75.8
Garza 213 13.3% 1,374 85.9% 13 1,600 R+72.6
Jim Hogg 856 54.1% 725 45.8% 2 1,583 D+8.3
Dallam 152 10.5% 1,285 88.9% 8 1,445 R+78.4
Kinney 345 24.3% 1,062 74.8% 13 1,420 R+50.5
Crockett 323 22.8% 1,087 76.7% 8 1,418 R+53.9
Hardeman 188 13.4% 1,210 86.2% 5 1,403 R+72.8
Sutton 228 16.3% 1,167 83.4% 4 1,399 R+67.1
Crane 186 13.4% 1,195 86.1% 7 1,388 R+72.7
Knox 214 15.6% 1,156 84.1% 4 1,374 R+68.6
Upton 146 11.2% 1,149 88.3% 6 1,301 R+77.1
Lipscomb 123 9.8% 1,125 89.5% 9 1,257 R+79.7
Collingsworth 135 11.3% 1,066 88.9% 1,199 R+77.6
Concho 153 12.8% 1,038 86.8% 5 1,196 R+74.0
Jeff Davis 450 38.6% 699 59.9% 18 1,167 R+21.3
Hall 149 13.0% 992 86.4% 7 1,148 R+73.4
Armstrong 77 6.9% 1,029 92.5% 6 1,112 R+85.6
Schleicher 192 17.4% 906 81.9% 8 1,106 R+64.6
Menard 170 16.4% 861 82.9% 8 1,039 R+66.5
Hudspeth 272 26.4% 747 72.5% 11 1,030 R+46.1
Edwards 133 13.2% 869 86.6% 2 1,004 R+73.3
Dickens 146 14.7% 844 85.1% 2 992 R+70.4
Oldham 74 7.6% 895 92.0% 4 973 R+84.4
Reagan 141 14.9% 800 84.4% 7 948 R+69.5
Throckmorton 73 8.1% 823 91.5% 3 899 R+83.4
Sherman 70 7.8% 817 91.1% 10 897 R+83.3
Cochran 148 16.6% 735 82.4% 9 892 R+65.8
Irion 105 12.1% 761 87.8% 1 867 R+75.7
Culberson 319 40.9% 451 57.8% 10 780 R+16.9
Briscoe 72 9.7% 666 89.5% 6 744 R+79.8
Stonewall 108 15.2% 603 84.7% 1 712 R+69.5
Glasscock 38 5.7% 623 94.1% 1 662 R+88.4
Cottle 89 13.6% 565 86.1% 2 656 R+72.6
Motley 35 5.4% 612 94.3% 2 649 R+88.9
Sterling 43 6.8% 583 92.8% 2 628 R+86.0
Roberts 20 3.5% 547 95.8% 4 571 R+92.3
Foard 92 16.9% 448 82.4% 4 544 R+65.4
McMullen 37 7.6% 448 92.2% 1 486 R+84.6
Kent 50 11.2% 390 87.6% 5 445 R+76.4
Terrell 91 22.5% 314 77.7% 404 R+55.2
Borden 16 4.1% 370 95.9% 386 R+91.7
Kenedy 41 25.9% 115 72.8% 2 158 R+46.8
King 6 4.4% 129 95.6% 135 R+91.1
Loving 10 10.3% 86 88.7% 1 97 R+78.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+5.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+15.8
2008 John McCain (R) R+11.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+22.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+21.3
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.9
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+27.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+33.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+26.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+6.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+41.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+54.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+62.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+74.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+76.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+3.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+53.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+35.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+59.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+63.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+51.6
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+49.6
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+32.4
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+37.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+37.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+41.0
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+40.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+40.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+40.1
1872 Third party (other)