Election 2024 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2024 presidential election in New Mexico
Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in New Mexico in 2024, 51.9% to 45.9%, a margin of 6.0 points and 55,411 votes.
New Mexico voted 7.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.
Republicans led in 20 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 310,349 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.1 points. The closest was Guadalupe, where 14 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris won | Democratic | 478,802 | 51.9% |
| Donald Trump | Republican | 423,391 | 45.9% |
| All other candidates | 21,210 | 2.3% | |
| Total | 923,403 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernalillo | 184,135 59.3% | 118,765 38.3% | 7,449 | 310,349 | D+21.1 |
| Dona Ana | 45,942 53.8% | 37,595 44.0% | 1,840 | 85,377 | D+9.8 |
| Santa Fe | 61,411 73.4% | 20,457 24.4% | 1,853 | 83,721 | D+48.9 |
| Sandoval | 41,209 51.7% | 36,606 46.0% | 1,844 | 79,659 | D+5.8 |
| San Juan | 17,466 32.9% | 34,265 64.5% | 1,373 | 53,104 | R+31.6 |
| Valencia | 13,610 40.8% | 19,057 57.1% | 688 | 33,355 | R+16.3 |
| McKinley | 15,713 60.8% | 9,364 36.2% | 787 | 25,864 | D+24.5 |
| Otero | 8,577 35.3% | 15,117 62.3% | 581 | 24,275 | R+26.9 |
| Eddy | 5,025 21.3% | 18,141 77.1% | 372 | 23,538 | R+55.7 |
| Chaves | 5,936 26.7% | 15,890 71.5% | 400 | 22,226 | R+44.8 |
| Lea | 3,929 18.4% | 16,997 79.8% | 372 | 21,298 | R+61.4 |
| Taos | 12,039 72.5% | 4,135 24.9% | 424 | 16,598 | D+47.6 |
| Rio Arriba | 9,373 58.7% | 6,266 39.2% | 335 | 15,974 | D+19.5 |
| Curry | 4,229 27.7% | 10,714 70.3% | 299 | 15,242 | R+42.5 |
| Grant | 7,299 51.4% | 6,580 46.3% | 330 | 14,209 | D+5.1 |
| Los Alamos | 7,727 63.4% | 4,047 33.2% | 423 | 12,197 | D+30.2 |
| San Miguel | 6,986 63.0% | 3,887 35.0% | 217 | 11,090 | D+27.9 |
| Lincoln | 3,033 29.8% | 6,942 68.2% | 198 | 10,173 | R+38.4 |
| Cibola | 4,450 49.5% | 4,311 48.0% | 229 | 8,990 | D+1.5 |
| Luna | 3,176 39.4% | 4,698 58.3% | 187 | 8,061 | R+18.9 |
| Socorro | 3,379 46.8% | 3,651 50.6% | 183 | 7,213 | R+3.8 |
| Torrance | 2,144 30.0% | 4,880 68.2% | 127 | 7,151 | R+38.3 |
| Roosevelt | 1,815 27.4% | 4,687 70.8% | 121 | 6,623 | R+43.4 |
| Sierra | 2,332 39.2% | 3,473 58.3% | 150 | 5,955 | R+19.2 |
| Colfax | 2,436 41.9% | 3,252 55.9% | 125 | 5,813 | R+14.0 |
| Quay | 1,048 28.3% | 2,570 69.4% | 85 | 3,703 | R+41.1 |
| Mora | 1,439 57.9% | 1,010 40.6% | 37 | 2,486 | D+17.3 |
| Catron | 571 24.1% | 1,752 73.9% | 47 | 2,370 | R+49.8 |
| Guadalupe | 959 49.3% | 945 48.5% | 43 | 1,947 | D+0.7 |
| Hidalgo | 705 37.6% | 1,140 60.9% | 28 | 1,873 | R+23.2 |
| Union | 378 22.7% | 1,247 74.8% | 41 | 1,666 | R+52.2 |
| De Baca | 201 23.1% | 649 74.7% | 19 | 869 | R+51.6 |
| Harding | 128 29.7% | 297 68.9% | 6 | 431 | R+39.2 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New Mexico in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+6.0 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+10.8 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+8.2 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+10.1 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+0.1 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+7.3 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+8.6 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+5.0 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+20.5 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+18.2 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+2.5 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+12.1 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1960 | John F. Kennedy (D) | D+0.7 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.3 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+11.4 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+13.5 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+7.0 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+13.3 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+26.2 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.0 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+18.2 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.5 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+10.4 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+3.6 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+5.5 |