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Election 1988 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1988 presidential election in New Mexico

George H. W. Bush (Republican) beat Michael Dukakis (Democrat) in New Mexico in 1988, 51.9% to 46.9%, a margin of 5.0 points and 25,844 votes.

New Mexico voted 2.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+7.7.

The Republican hold continued from 1984, when Ronald Reagan won.

Republicans led in 23 of the 33 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 10. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 173,135 votes and went to the Republican by 8.4 points. The closest was Sandoval, where 79 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George H. W. Bush won Republican 270,341 51.9%
Michael Dukakis Democratic 244,497 46.9%
All other candidates 6,449 1.2%
Total521,287

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 78,346 45.3% 92,830 53.6% 1,959 173,135 R+8.4
Doña Ana 19,608 47.0% 21,582 51.7% 557 41,747 R+4.7
Santa Fe 23,581 63.9% 12,891 34.9% 455 36,927 D+28.9
San Juan 11,094 40.0% 16,202 58.4% 454 27,750 R+18.4
Chaves 6,730 33.1% 13,367 65.8% 206 20,303 R+32.7
Sandoval 9,332 49.1% 9,411 49.5% 268 19,011 R+0.4
Eddy 8,544 46.1% 9,805 52.9% 186 18,535 R+6.8
Lea 5,879 34.0% 11,309 65.4% 115 17,303 R+31.4
Otero 5,284 34.1% 9,984 64.5% 210 15,478 R+30.4
McKinley 9,595 62.0% 5,694 36.8% 178 15,467 D+25.2
Valencia 7,136 46.9% 7,874 51.8% 190 15,200 R+4.9
Curry 3,995 32.9% 8,032 66.2% 111 12,138 R+33.3
Rio Arriba 7,503 70.6% 3,024 28.5% 99 10,626 D+42.2
Los Alamos 3,275 32.3% 6,622 65.2% 256 10,153 R+33.0
Grant 5,443 55.9% 4,196 43.1% 96 9,735 D+12.8
Taos 6,271 67.7% 2,897 31.3% 91 9,259 D+36.4
San Miguel 6,131 67.9% 2,763 30.6% 129 9,023 D+37.3
Luna 3,066 46.2% 3,415 51.5% 155 6,636 R+5.3
Socorro 2,960 47.6% 3,114 50.1% 143 6,217 R+2.5
Cibola 3,458 56.3% 2,640 43.0% 39 6,137 D+13.3
Roosevelt 2,033 35.8% 3,589 63.2% 59 5,681 R+27.4
Lincoln 1,690 32.0% 3,511 66.4% 87 5,288 R+34.4
Colfax 2,785 54.8% 2,256 44.4% 44 5,085 D+10.4
Quay 1,901 43.1% 2,454 55.6% 57 4,412 R+12.5
Sierra 1,595 38.3% 2,507 60.2% 63 4,165 R+21.9
Torrance 1,618 41.1% 2,252 57.2% 68 3,938 R+16.1
Mora 1,601 62.9% 923 36.3% 21 2,545 D+26.6
Guadalupe 1,243 58.7% 861 40.6% 15 2,119 D+18.0
Hidalgo 901 44.6% 1,100 54.5% 19 2,020 R+9.9
Union 638 32.6% 1,291 65.9% 31 1,960 R+33.3
Catron 490 33.0% 925 62.2% 71 1,486 R+29.3
De Baca 480 42.3% 643 56.6% 13 1,136 R+14.3
Harding 291 43.3% 377 56.1% 4 672 R+12.8

Counties as they stood in 1988; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5