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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in New Mexico

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in New Mexico in 2012, 53.0% to 42.8%, a margin of 10.1 points and 79,547 votes.

New Mexico voted 6.3 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Democrats led in 17 of the 33 counties and Republicans in 16. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 270,969 votes and went to the Democrat by 16.4 points. The closest was Harding, where 67 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 415,335 53.0%
Mitt Romney Republican 335,788 42.8%
All other candidates 32,635 4.2%
Total783,758

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 150,739 55.6% 106,408 39.3% 13,822 270,969 D+16.4
Santa Fe 50,872 73.5% 15,500 22.4% 2,873 69,245 D+51.1
Dona Ana 37,139 55.9% 27,322 41.1% 1,962 66,423 D+14.8
Sandoval 27,236 50.4% 24,387 45.1% 2,456 54,079 D+5.3
San Juan 15,855 34.3% 28,849 62.4% 1,533 46,237 R+28.1
Valencia 13,511 48.7% 12,825 46.3% 1,392 27,728 D+2.5
McKinley 15,841 72.2% 5,546 25.3% 542 21,929 D+46.9
Chaves 6,604 32.5% 13,088 64.5% 600 20,292 R+32.0
Otero 6,829 34.1% 12,451 62.2% 732 20,012 R+28.1
Eddy 6,142 31.9% 12,583 65.3% 544 19,269 R+33.4
Lea 4,080 24.0% 12,548 73.7% 387 17,015 R+49.8
Rio Arriba 11,465 74.7% 3,397 22.1% 481 15,343 D+52.6
Taos 11,978 78.1% 2,730 17.8% 631 15,339 D+60.3
Curry 4,022 29.5% 9,251 67.9% 352 13,625 R+38.4
Grant 7,090 55.0% 5,358 41.5% 454 12,902 D+13.4
San Miguel 8,850 76.9% 2,303 20.0% 356 11,509 D+56.9
Los Alamos 5,191 48.7% 4,796 45.0% 667 10,654 D+3.7
Lincoln 2,942 31.8% 5,961 64.5% 339 9,242 R+32.7
Cibola 4,961 60.2% 2,998 36.4% 284 8,243 D+23.8
Luna 3,583 47.8% 3,670 48.9% 247 7,500 R+1.2
Socorro 4,058 56.4% 2,722 37.8% 413 7,193 D+18.6
Torrance 2,428 37.9% 3,529 55.1% 445 6,402 R+17.2
Roosevelt 1,727 28.9% 4,043 67.7% 199 5,969 R+38.8
Colfax 2,828 49.1% 2,699 46.8% 237 5,764 D+2.2
Sierra 1,964 38.5% 2,928 57.4% 210 5,102 R+18.9
Quay 1,383 37.3% 2,202 59.4% 122 3,707 R+22.1
Mora 1,955 74.9% 595 22.8% 61 2,611 D+52.1
Guadalupe 1,488 69.7% 557 26.1% 90 2,135 D+43.6
Catron 560 26.4% 1,494 70.4% 69 2,123 R+44.0
Hidalgo 995 51.4% 899 46.5% 41 1,935 D+5.0
Union 472 26.8% 1,236 70.3% 51 1,759 R+43.4
De Baca 287 31.8% 586 65.0% 29 902 R+33.1
Harding 260 43.3% 327 54.4% 14 601 R+11.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5