Election 2020 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
- 2028 President, Senate, House and governors Forecast
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2020 presidential election in New Mexico
Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in New Mexico in 2020, 54.3% to 43.5%, a margin of 10.8 points and 99,720 votes.
New Mexico voted 6.3 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 2016, when Hillary Clinton won.
Republicans led in 19 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 317,584 votes and went to the Democrat by 24.4 points. The closest was Harding, where 140 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden won | Democratic | 501,614 | 54.3% |
| Donald Trump | Republican | 401,894 | 43.5% |
| All other candidates | 20,457 | 2.2% | |
| Total | 923,965 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernalillo | 193,753 61.0% | 116,133 36.6% | 7,698 | 317,584 | D+24.4 |
| Dona Ana | 47,957 58.0% | 32,802 39.7% | 1,883 | 82,642 | D+18.3 |
| Santa Fe | 62,533 76.0% | 18,331 22.3% | 1,368 | 82,232 | D+53.8 |
| Sandoval | 40,594 53.0% | 34,177 44.6% | 1,801 | 76,572 | D+8.4 |
| San Juan | 18,083 34.6% | 32,874 62.9% | 1,337 | 52,294 | R+28.3 |
| Valencia | 14,263 44.2% | 17,364 53.8% | 650 | 32,277 | R+9.6 |
| McKinley | 18,028 68.1% | 7,801 29.5% | 656 | 26,485 | D+38.6 |
| Otero | 8,485 36.0% | 14,522 61.6% | 565 | 23,572 | R+25.6 |
| Eddy | 5,424 23.4% | 17,454 75.2% | 343 | 23,221 | R+51.8 |
| Chaves | 6,381 28.4% | 15,657 69.8% | 406 | 22,444 | R+41.3 |
| Lea | 4,061 19.4% | 16,531 79.0% | 326 | 20,918 | R+59.6 |
| Taos | 13,121 76.4% | 3,715 21.6% | 345 | 17,181 | D+54.7 |
| Rio Arriba | 10,989 66.1% | 5,408 32.5% | 229 | 16,626 | D+33.6 |
| Curry | 4,307 28.5% | 10,444 69.2% | 350 | 15,101 | R+40.6 |
| Grant | 7,590 52.6% | 6,553 45.4% | 292 | 14,435 | D+7.2 |
| Los Alamos | 7,550 61.5% | 4,275 34.8% | 460 | 12,285 | D+26.7 |
| San Miguel | 7,888 68.4% | 3,421 29.7% | 222 | 11,531 | D+38.7 |
| Lincoln | 3,194 31.0% | 6,941 67.4% | 170 | 10,305 | R+36.4 |
| Cibola | 4,746 53.3% | 3,975 44.6% | 184 | 8,905 | D+8.7 |
| Luna | 3,563 44.0% | 4,408 54.4% | 132 | 8,103 | R+10.4 |
| Torrance | 2,344 32.2% | 4,772 65.5% | 166 | 7,282 | R+33.3 |
| Socorro | 3,722 52.0% | 3,255 45.5% | 183 | 7,160 | D+6.5 |
| Roosevelt | 1,802 27.3% | 4,634 70.1% | 172 | 6,608 | R+42.9 |
| Colfax | 2,611 43.4% | 3,271 54.4% | 134 | 6,016 | R+11.0 |
| Sierra | 2,265 38.1% | 3,542 59.6% | 138 | 5,945 | R+21.5 |
| Quay | 1,170 30.2% | 2,634 68.0% | 69 | 3,873 | R+37.8 |
| Mora | 1,745 65.0% | 903 33.6% | 38 | 2,686 | D+31.3 |
| Catron | 595 25.6% | 1,698 73.0% | 33 | 2,326 | R+47.4 |
| Guadalupe | 1,234 56.4% | 917 41.9% | 38 | 2,189 | D+14.5 |
| Hidalgo | 823 41.7% | 1,120 56.7% | 31 | 1,974 | R+15.0 |
| Union | 383 21.4% | 1,388 77.6% | 18 | 1,789 | R+56.2 |
| De Baca | 231 25.6% | 656 72.8% | 14 | 901 | R+47.2 |
| Harding | 179 35.4% | 319 63.2% | 7 | 505 | R+27.7 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New Mexico in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+6.0 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+10.8 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+8.2 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+10.1 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+0.1 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+7.3 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+8.6 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+5.0 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+20.5 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+18.2 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+2.5 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+12.1 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1960 | John F. Kennedy (D) | D+0.7 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.3 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+11.4 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+13.5 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+7.0 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+13.3 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+26.2 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.0 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+18.2 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.5 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+10.4 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+3.6 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+5.5 |