United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Pennsylvania in 2020, 49.9% to 48.7%, a margin of 1.2 points and 80,555 votes.

Pennsylvania voted 3.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 2016 it went Republican, for Donald Trump.

Republicans led in 54 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 741,689 votes and went to the Democrat by 63.5 points. The closest was Cameron, where 1,138 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Joe Biden won Democratic 3,458,229 49.9%
Donald Trump Republican 3,377,674 48.7%
All other candidates 101,073 1.5%
Total6,936,976

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 604,027 81.4% 132,810 17.9% 4,852 741,689 D+63.5
Allegheny 430,765 59.7% 282,927 39.2% 8,361 722,053 D+20.5
Montgomery 319,526 62.6% 185,455 36.4% 5,186 510,167 D+26.3
Bucks 204,760 51.7% 187,435 47.3% 4,156 396,351 D+4.4
Delaware 206,792 63.0% 118,632 36.1% 2,981 328,405 D+26.8
Chester 182,371 58.0% 128,564 40.9% 3,566 314,501 D+17.1
Lancaster 115,848 41.3% 160,213 57.2% 4,184 280,245 R+15.8
York 88,128 37.0% 146,735 61.5% 3,624 238,487 R+24.6
Berks 93,120 45.2% 109,932 53.4% 2,924 205,976 R+8.2
Westmoreland 72,182 35.2% 130,276 63.6% 2,352 204,810 R+28.4
Lehigh 98,495 53.2% 84,424 45.6% 2,176 185,095 D+7.6
Northampton 85,090 49.8% 83,847 49.1% 2,000 170,937 D+0.7
Luzerne 64,872 42.3% 86,926 56.7% 1,519 153,317 R+14.4
Dauphin 78,963 53.6% 66,413 45.1% 1,977 147,353 D+8.5
Cumberland 62,249 44.0% 77,199 54.5% 2,138 141,586 R+10.6
Erie 68,286 49.8% 66,869 48.8% 1,927 137,082 D+1.0
Washington 45,081 38.1% 72,072 60.8% 1,309 118,462 R+22.8
Lackawanna 61,992 53.7% 52,336 45.3% 1,085 115,413 D+8.4
Butler 37,508 33.1% 74,359 65.6% 1,438 113,305 R+32.5
Beaver 38,116 40.5% 54,754 58.2% 1,241 94,111 R+17.7
Monroe 43,325 52.5% 38,122 46.2% 1,030 82,477 D+6.3
Franklin 22,422 27.8% 57,244 70.9% 1,116 80,782 R+43.1
Centre 40,059 51.7% 36,384 46.9% 1,066 77,509 D+4.7
Lebanon 23,932 33.4% 46,731 65.2% 989 71,652 R+31.8
Schuylkill 20,726 29.4% 48,870 69.2% 1,006 70,602 R+39.9
Cambria 21,731 30.8% 48,090 68.1% 759 70,580 R+37.3
Blair 17,636 27.7% 45,304 71.2% 653 63,593 R+43.5
Fayette 20,468 32.9% 41,259 66.3% 468 62,195 R+33.4
Lycoming 16,971 28.6% 41,462 70.0% 821 59,254 R+41.3
Mercer 21,067 36.4% 36,143 62.4% 744 57,954 R+26.0
Adams 18,255 32.2% 37,569 66.3% 814 56,638 R+34.1
Lawrence 15,978 34.7% 29,597 64.2% 500 46,075 R+29.6
Northumberland 12,702 30.0% 28,971 68.4% 657 42,330 R+38.4
Crawford 12,924 30.8% 28,561 68.0% 521 42,006 R+37.2
Indiana 12,633 30.7% 28,086 68.2% 475 41,194 R+37.5
Somerset 8,654 21.3% 31,466 77.6% 423 40,543 R+56.3
Clearfield 9,669 24.5% 29,192 74.1% 545 39,406 R+49.5
Armstrong 8,463 23.3% 27,499 75.6% 425 36,387 R+52.3
Carbon 11,214 33.3% 21,988 65.4% 432 33,634 R+32.0
Pike 13,056 40.0% 19,244 59.0% 323 32,623 R+19.0
Columbia 10,534 33.8% 20,103 64.5% 541 31,178 R+30.7
Bradford 8,046 26.7% 21,600 71.6% 513 30,159 R+44.9
Wayne 9,190 32.7% 18,635 66.3% 261 28,086 R+33.6
Bedford 4,367 15.8% 23,024 83.5% 182 27,573 R+67.7
Venango 7,585 28.6% 18,570 70.0% 374 26,529 R+41.4
Perry 5,950 24.1% 18,294 74.2% 409 24,653 R+50.1
Jefferson 4,527 19.8% 17,958 78.7% 337 22,822 R+58.9
Huntingdon 5,444 23.9% 17,060 74.9% 286 22,790 R+51.0
Susquehanna 6,236 28.7% 15,206 69.9% 308 21,750 R+41.2
Mifflin 4,604 21.4% 16,670 77.5% 229 21,503 R+56.1
Tioga 4,955 23.5% 15,741 74.7% 378 21,074 R+51.2
Warren 6,066 29.4% 14,238 68.9% 347 20,651 R+39.6
Union 7,475 37.2% 12,355 61.4% 284 20,114 R+24.3
Clarion 4,677 24.0% 14,575 74.8% 236 19,488 R+50.8
McKean 5,098 26.2% 14,082 72.3% 285 19,465 R+46.2
Snyder 4,910 25.7% 13,984 73.1% 247 19,141 R+47.4
Greene 4,912 27.8% 12,580 71.2% 178 17,670 R+43.4
Clinton 5,502 31.2% 11,902 67.5% 222 17,626 R+36.3
Elk 4,522 26.7% 12,139 71.8% 244 16,905 R+45.1
Wyoming 4,704 31.7% 9,936 66.9% 219 14,859 R+35.2
Juniata 2,253 18.7% 9,650 80.1% 141 12,044 R+61.4
Montour 3,771 38.6% 5,843 59.8% 156 9,770 R+21.2
Potter 1,726 19.0% 7,240 79.9% 99 9,065 R+60.8
Fulton 1,085 13.6% 6,825 85.5% 68 7,978 R+71.9
Sullivan 921 25.6% 2,620 72.9% 55 3,596 R+47.2
Forest 728 27.5% 1,882 71.2% 35 2,645 R+43.6
Cameron 634 26.0% 1,772 72.8% 29 2,435 R+46.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4