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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Arizona

Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Arizona in 2020, 49.4% to 49.1%, a margin of 0.3 points and 10,457 votes.

Arizona voted 4.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

Arizona changed party: in 2016 it went Republican, for Donald Trump.

Republicans led in 10 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Maricopa, cast 2,068,133 votes and went to the Democrat by 2.2 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 1,251 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Joe Biden won Democratic 1,672,143 49.4%
Donald Trump Republican 1,661,686 49.1%
All other candidates 53,497 1.6%
Total3,387,326

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 1,040,769 50.3% 995,659 48.1% 31,705 2,068,133 D+2.2
Pima 304,991 58.6% 207,767 39.9% 7,658 520,416 D+18.7
Pinal 75,105 40.6% 107,076 57.9% 2,791 184,972 R+17.3
Yavapai 49,601 34.6% 91,529 63.9% 2,092 143,222 R+29.3
Mohave 24,828 23.7% 78,523 75.0% 1,302 104,653 R+51.3
Coconino 44,701 61.0% 27,056 36.9% 1,522 73,279 D+24.1
Yuma 32,210 46.1% 36,535 52.3% 1,137 69,882 R+6.2
Cochise 23,732 39.3% 35,556 58.8% 1,154 60,442 R+19.6
Navajo 23,382 45.2% 27,655 53.4% 727 51,764 R+8.3
Apache 23,294 66.2% 11,444 32.5% 437 35,175 D+33.7
Gila 8,941 32.3% 18,371 66.4% 342 27,654 R+34.1
Santa Cruz 13,134 67.2% 6,193 31.7% 224 19,551 D+35.5
Graham 4,034 26.9% 10,750 71.7% 213 14,997 R+44.8
La Paz 2,239 30.0% 5,139 68.8% 93 7,471 R+38.8
Greenlee 1,182 32.1% 2,433 66.0% 70 3,685 R+33.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+5.5
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.5
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.1
2008 John McCain (R) R+8.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+10.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+6.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.2
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+21.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+33.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+32.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+16.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+31.3
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+19.8
1964 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+11.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.7
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+10.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+42.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+15.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.2
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+21.8
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+30.8