Election 2012 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2012 presidential election in Arizona
Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Arizona in 2012, 53.7% to 44.6%, a margin of 9.1 points and 208,422 votes.
Arizona voted 12.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.
The Republican hold continued from 2008, when John McCain won.
Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,376,558 votes and went to the Republican by 10.7 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 282 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitt Romney won | Republican | 1,233,654 | 53.7% |
| Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,025,232 | 44.6% |
| All other candidates | 40,368 | 1.8% | |
| Total | 2,299,254 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | 602,288 43.8% | 749,885 54.5% | 24,385 | 1,376,558 | R+10.7 |
| Pima | 201,251 52.6% | 174,779 45.7% | 6,220 | 382,250 | D+6.9 |
| Pinal | 44,306 40.9% | 62,079 57.3% | 1,930 | 108,315 | R+16.4 |
| Yavapai | 33,918 33.8% | 64,468 64.3% | 1,897 | 100,283 | R+30.5 |
| Mohave | 19,533 27.9% | 49,168 70.2% | 1,309 | 70,010 | R+42.3 |
| Coconino | 29,257 56.6% | 21,220 41.0% | 1,254 | 51,731 | D+15.5 |
| Cochise | 18,546 37.8% | 29,497 60.2% | 960 | 49,003 | R+22.3 |
| Yuma | 18,059 43.0% | 23,352 55.7% | 542 | 41,953 | R+12.6 |
| Navajo | 16,945 45.4% | 19,884 53.3% | 506 | 37,335 | R+7.9 |
| Apache | 17,147 66.3% | 8,250 31.9% | 451 | 25,848 | D+34.4 |
| Gila | 7,697 35.8% | 13,455 62.5% | 376 | 21,528 | R+26.7 |
| Santa Cruz | 9,486 68.3% | 4,235 30.5% | 173 | 13,894 | D+37.8 |
| Graham | 3,609 30.4% | 8,076 68.1% | 170 | 11,855 | R+37.7 |
| La Paz | 1,880 32.9% | 3,714 65.0% | 123 | 5,717 | R+32.1 |
| Greenlee | 1,310 44.0% | 1,592 53.5% | 72 | 2,974 | R+9.5 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Arizona in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+9.1 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+8.5 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+10.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+2.0 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+21.2 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+33.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+32.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+16.6 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+31.3 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+19.8 |
| 1964 | Barry Goldwater (R) | R+1.0 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+22.1 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+17.9 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.5 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+42.9 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+36.5 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+15.3 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+21.8 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+30.8 |