United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Minnesota

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in Minnesota in 2012, 52.7% to 45.0%, a margin of 7.7 points and 225,942 votes.

Minnesota voted 3.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Republicans led in 59 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 28. The largest, Hennepin, cast 680,065 votes and went to the Democrat by 27.0 points. The closest was Watonwan, where 23 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 1,546,167 52.7%
Mitt Romney Republican 1,320,225 45.0%
All other candidates 70,169 2.4%
Total2,936,561

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 423,982 62.3% 240,073 35.3% 16,010 680,065 D+27.0
Ramsey 184,938 66.3% 86,800 31.1% 7,084 278,822 D+35.2
Dakota 116,255 50.4% 109,516 47.4% 5,050 230,821 D+2.9
Anoka 88,614 47.5% 93,430 50.1% 4,421 186,465 R+2.6
Washington 70,203 49.4% 69,137 48.6% 2,793 142,133 D+0.8
Saint Louis 73,378 63.5% 39,131 33.9% 3,085 115,594 D+29.6
Stearns 33,551 42.8% 43,015 54.8% 1,911 78,477 R+12.1
Olmsted 39,338 50.2% 36,832 47.0% 2,146 78,316 D+3.2
Scott 29,712 41.5% 40,323 56.3% 1,612 71,647 R+14.8
Wright 25,741 38.0% 40,466 59.7% 1,609 67,816 R+21.7
Carver 20,745 39.2% 31,155 58.9% 999 52,899 R+19.7
Sherburne 17,597 37.8% 27,848 59.9% 1,064 46,509 R+22.0
Crow Wing 14,760 42.3% 19,415 55.6% 745 34,920 R+13.3
Blue Earth 18,164 53.0% 14,916 43.5% 1,194 34,274 D+9.5
Rice 17,054 52.9% 14,384 44.6% 829 32,267 D+8.3
Otter Tail 12,165 38.4% 18,860 59.6% 645 31,670 R+21.1
Chisago 12,524 42.5% 16,227 55.1% 690 29,441 R+12.6
Clay 15,208 52.6% 12,920 44.7% 758 28,886 D+7.9
Winona 14,980 55.0% 11,480 42.2% 772 27,232 D+12.9
Goodhue 12,212 47.3% 12,986 50.3% 603 25,801 R+3.0
Itasca 12,852 53.7% 10,501 43.9% 566 23,919 D+9.8
Beltrami 11,818 53.6% 9,637 43.7% 596 22,051 D+9.9
Kandiyohi 9,805 45.7% 11,240 52.4% 420 21,465 R+6.7
Douglas 8,653 41.3% 11,884 56.7% 416 20,953 R+15.4
Isanti 8,024 39.7% 11,675 57.7% 518 20,217 R+18.1
Benton 8,173 41.7% 10,849 55.3% 597 19,619 R+13.6
Steele 8,706 45.5% 9,903 51.8% 515 19,124 R+6.3
McLeod 6,968 37.6% 11,069 59.7% 516 18,553 R+22.1
Mower 11,129 60.0% 6,938 37.4% 472 18,539 D+22.6
Carlton 11,389 61.8% 6,586 35.7% 461 18,436 D+26.1
Nicollet 9,652 52.6% 8,214 44.7% 491 18,357 D+7.8
Morrison 6,153 36.8% 10,159 60.8% 402 16,714 R+24.0
Freeborn 9,326 55.8% 6,969 41.7% 411 16,706 D+14.1
Becker 6,829 41.7% 9,204 56.2% 349 16,382 R+14.5
Cass 6,858 42.5% 8,957 55.5% 326 16,141 R+13.0
Le Sueur 6,753 45.6% 7,715 52.1% 327 14,795 R+6.5
Polk 6,773 46.1% 7,615 51.8% 305 14,693 R+5.7
Pine 6,750 48.3% 6,845 49.0% 370 13,965 R+0.7
Brown 5,630 40.4% 7,938 57.0% 361 13,929 R+16.6
Mille Lacs 5,829 44.5% 6,951 53.1% 311 13,091 R+8.6
Lyon 5,465 44.1% 6,594 53.2% 329 12,388 R+9.1
Meeker 4,969 40.7% 6,913 56.6% 332 12,214 R+15.9
Todd 4,819 40.8% 6,719 56.9% 265 11,803 R+16.1
Wabasha 5,415 46.0% 6,049 51.4% 299 11,763 R+5.4
Hubbard 4,676 40.6% 6,622 57.5% 222 11,520 R+16.9
Martin 4,054 37.0% 6,657 60.7% 257 10,968 R+23.7
Fillmore 5,713 52.5% 4,913 45.1% 266 10,892 D+7.3
Houston 5,281 50.6% 4,951 47.4% 214 10,446 D+3.2
Dodge 4,487 43.4% 5,522 53.5% 318 10,327 R+10.0
Waseca 4,370 44.8% 5,116 52.5% 261 9,747 R+7.7
Aitkin 4,412 48.3% 4,533 49.6% 197 9,142 R+1.3
Nobles 3,793 44.5% 4,581 53.8% 146 8,520 R+9.2
Kanabec 3,593 44.1% 4,328 53.1% 229 8,150 R+9.0
Sibley 2,916 37.3% 4,693 60.1% 206 7,815 R+22.7
Redwood 3,008 38.6% 4,570 58.7% 212 7,790 R+20.1
Faribault 3,407 44.2% 4,104 53.2% 202 7,713 R+9.0
Renville 3,394 44.0% 4,149 53.8% 167 7,710 R+9.8
Roseau 2,772 37.7% 4,409 60.0% 171 7,352 R+22.3
Lake 4,043 59.3% 2,610 38.3% 167 6,820 D+21.0
Wadena 2,492 36.7% 4,143 61.0% 156 6,791 R+24.3
Pennington 3,024 46.4% 3,305 50.7% 188 6,517 R+4.3
Koochiching 3,451 53.4% 2,841 44.0% 166 6,458 D+9.4
Pope 2,981 47.7% 3,142 50.3% 123 6,246 R+2.6
Chippewa 3,083 49.7% 2,967 47.8% 151 6,201 D+1.9
Cottonwood 2,433 41.5% 3,316 56.6% 113 5,862 R+15.1
Stevens 2,742 48.5% 2,766 48.9% 144 5,652 R+0.4
Jackson 2,268 41.8% 3,044 56.1% 118 5,430 R+14.3
Yellow Medicine 2,465 45.5% 2,806 51.8% 143 5,414 R+6.3
Watonwan 2,494 48.5% 2,517 48.9% 133 5,144 R+0.4
Swift 2,751 53.7% 2,248 43.9% 120 5,119 D+9.8
Rock 1,946 40.2% 2,810 58.0% 90 4,846 R+17.8
Murray 2,160 45.3% 2,504 52.5% 103 4,767 R+7.2
Marshall 1,998 42.5% 2,569 54.7% 131 4,698 R+12.2
Pipestone 1,725 37.1% 2,826 60.8% 95 4,646 R+23.7
Clearwater 1,753 41.8% 2,359 56.2% 85 4,197 R+14.4
Lac Qui Parle 1,974 49.5% 1,938 48.6% 72 3,984 D+0.9
Grant 1,647 47.2% 1,748 50.1% 92 3,487 R+2.9
Cook 1,993 60.0% 1,221 36.8% 108 3,322 D+23.2
Wilkin 1,258 39.0% 1,884 58.5% 80 3,222 R+19.4
Norman 1,730 53.9% 1,384 43.2% 93 3,207 D+10.8
Lincoln 1,429 45.8% 1,595 51.1% 96 3,120 R+5.3
Big Stone 1,345 48.2% 1,385 49.7% 59 2,789 R+1.4
Kittson 1,241 51.3% 1,095 45.2% 84 2,420 D+6.0
Lake of the Woods 859 38.5% 1,306 58.5% 69 2,234 R+20.0
Mahnomen 1,276 58.5% 871 39.9% 35 2,182 D+18.6
Red Lake 928 47.0% 978 49.5% 69 1,975 R+2.5
Traverse 943 51.1% 861 46.6% 43 1,847 D+4.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+4.2
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+7.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+1.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+7.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.2
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+2.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.6
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+7.0
1984 Walter Mondale (D) D+0.2
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+12.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+12.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+27.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+1.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+7.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+17.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+30.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+23.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+44.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+51.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+0.1
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+55.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.5
1896 William McKinley (R) R+15.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.2
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+14.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+21.9
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+26.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+19.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+22.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+21.8