United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Minnesota
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Minnesota

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Minnesota in 2004, 51.1% to 47.6%, a margin of 3.5 points and 98,319 votes.

Minnesota voted 5.9 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5. Minnesota's 10 electoral votes were split: 9 Democratic and 1 other.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Republicans led in 63 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 24. The largest, Hennepin, cast 646,984 votes and went to the Democrat by 19.9 points. The closest was Pope, where 2 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 1,445,014 51.1%
George W. Bush Republican 1,346,695 47.6%
All other candidates 36,678 1.3%
Total2,828,387

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 383,842 59.3% 255,135 39.4% 8,007 646,984 D+19.9
Ramsey 171,846 63.0% 97,096 35.6% 3,635 272,577 D+27.4
Dakota 104,635 48.5% 108,959 50.5% 2,252 215,846 R+2.0
Anoka 80,226 46.1% 91,853 52.8% 1,987 174,066 R+6.7
Washington 61,395 47.8% 65,751 51.2% 1,303 128,449 R+3.4
Saint Louis 77,694 65.3% 39,866 33.5% 1,481 119,041 D+31.8
Stearns 32,659 43.2% 41,726 55.2% 1,192 75,577 R+12.0
Olmsted 33,285 46.5% 37,371 52.2% 920 71,576 R+5.7
Scott 23,958 39.5% 36,055 59.5% 626 60,639 R+19.9
Wright 22,618 38.0% 36,176 60.8% 740 59,534 R+22.8
Carver 16,456 36.2% 28,510 62.8% 445 45,411 R+26.5
Sherburne 15,816 38.2% 25,182 60.7% 456 41,454 R+22.6
Crow Wing 14,005 41.7% 19,106 57.0% 434 33,545 R+15.2
Blue Earth 16,865 50.9% 15,737 47.5% 517 33,119 D+3.4
Otter Tail 12,038 37.4% 19,734 61.3% 406 32,178 R+23.9
Rice 16,425 53.4% 13,881 45.1% 439 30,745 D+8.3
Chisago 12,219 43.2% 15,705 55.6% 336 28,260 R+12.3
Clay 12,989 46.8% 14,365 51.8% 383 27,737 R+5.0
Winona 14,231 51.9% 12,686 46.3% 489 27,406 D+5.6
Goodhue 12,103 47.3% 13,134 51.3% 371 25,608 R+4.0
Itasca 13,290 54.5% 10,705 43.9% 372 24,367 D+10.6
Kandiyohi 9,337 43.7% 11,704 54.8% 308 21,349 R+11.1
Beltrami 10,592 50.1% 10,237 48.4% 302 21,131 D+1.7
Douglas 8,219 40.5% 11,793 58.1% 297 20,309 R+17.6
Mower 12,334 61.0% 7,591 37.5% 297 20,222 D+23.5
Isanti 7,883 40.8% 11,190 57.9% 240 19,313 R+17.1
Steele 7,994 42.8% 10,389 55.6% 312 18,695 R+12.8
McLeod 6,712 36.5% 11,407 62.0% 293 18,412 R+25.5
Benton 8,059 43.8% 10,043 54.6% 282 18,384 R+10.8
Carlton 11,462 62.5% 6,642 36.2% 230 18,334 D+26.3
Nicollet 8,797 49.6% 8,689 49.0% 255 17,741 D+0.6
Freeborn 9,733 55.1% 7,681 43.5% 252 17,666 D+11.6
Becker 6,756 40.2% 9,795 58.3% 250 16,801 R+18.1
Morrison 6,794 40.5% 9,698 57.9% 266 16,758 R+17.3
Cass 6,835 43.0% 8,875 55.8% 200 15,910 R+12.8
Polk 6,729 42.9% 8,724 55.7% 215 15,668 R+12.7
Pine 7,228 49.8% 7,033 48.4% 257 14,518 D+1.3
Le Sueur 6,466 44.8% 7,746 53.7% 212 14,424 R+8.9
Brown 5,158 37.4% 8,395 60.9% 225 13,778 R+23.5
Mille Lacs 5,677 43.5% 7,194 55.1% 194 13,065 R+11.6
Lyon 5,292 41.8% 7,203 56.8% 178 12,673 R+15.1
Meeker 5,292 42.9% 6,854 55.6% 188 12,334 R+12.7
Todd 5,034 41.2% 6,945 56.9% 235 12,214 R+15.6
Wabasha 5,548 46.9% 6,120 51.7% 167 11,835 R+4.8
Fillmore 5,825 49.8% 5,694 48.7% 179 11,698 D+1.1
Hubbard 4,741 41.8% 6,444 56.8% 155 11,340 R+15.0
Houston 5,276 47.6% 5,631 50.8% 175 11,082 R+3.2
Martin 4,590 41.5% 6,311 57.1% 146 11,047 R+15.6
Dodge 4,117 41.7% 5,593 56.7% 158 9,868 R+15.0
Waseca 4,179 42.6% 5,457 55.7% 164 9,800 R+13.0
Aitkin 4,539 48.0% 4,768 50.4% 145 9,452 R+2.4
Nobles 3,898 42.4% 5,159 56.1% 147 9,204 R+13.7
Faribault 3,767 43.4% 4,794 55.2% 120 8,681 R+11.8
Renville 3,787 45.4% 4,430 53.1% 132 8,349 R+7.7
Kanabec 3,592 43.5% 4,527 54.9% 129 8,248 R+11.3
Redwood 3,104 38.1% 4,898 60.2% 137 8,139 R+22.0
Sibley 3,109 39.1% 4,669 58.7% 171 7,949 R+19.6
Roseau 2,442 30.9% 5,355 67.7% 114 7,911 R+36.8
Koochiching 3,662 50.1% 3,539 48.4% 108 7,309 D+1.7
Wadena 2,791 39.3% 4,214 59.4% 88 7,093 R+20.1
Lake 4,212 59.6% 2,769 39.2% 90 7,071 D+20.4
Pennington 3,117 44.4% 3,767 53.7% 133 7,017 R+9.3
Pope 3,301 49.3% 3,303 49.3% 96 6,700 level
Chippewa 3,424 51.8% 3,089 46.8% 93 6,606 D+5.1
Cottonwood 2,726 42.8% 3,557 55.8% 86 6,369 R+13.0
Stevens 2,821 47.4% 3,030 50.9% 98 5,949 R+3.5
Jackson 2,652 45.9% 3,024 52.3% 103 5,779 R+6.4
Yellow Medicine 2,799 48.6% 2,878 50.0% 81 5,758 R+1.4
Swift 3,165 55.2% 2,481 43.3% 89 5,735 D+11.9
Watonwan 2,514 45.0% 2,970 53.2% 99 5,583 R+8.2
Marshall 2,308 41.5% 3,187 57.3% 67 5,562 R+15.8
Rock 2,000 38.5% 3,111 59.9% 80 5,191 R+21.4
Pipestone 1,900 37.8% 3,066 60.9% 66 5,032 R+23.2
Murray 2,218 44.4% 2,719 54.4% 61 4,998 R+10.0
Lac Qui Parle 2,390 52.6% 2,093 46.1% 58 4,541 D+6.5
Clearwater 1,871 42.9% 2,438 55.9% 52 4,361 R+13.0
Grant 1,856 48.6% 1,893 49.6% 70 3,819 R+1.0
Norman 1,954 51.3% 1,794 47.1% 62 3,810 D+4.2
Wilkin 1,169 33.1% 2,303 65.3% 55 3,527 R+32.2
Lincoln 1,558 46.6% 1,736 51.9% 48 3,342 R+5.3
Cook 1,733 52.5% 1,489 45.1% 81 3,303 D+7.4
Big Stone 1,536 50.1% 1,483 48.4% 48 3,067 D+1.7
Kittson 1,333 49.7% 1,307 48.7% 42 2,682 D+1.0
Mahnomen 1,339 53.4% 1,132 45.1% 37 2,508 D+8.3
Lake of the Woods 921 38.4% 1,428 59.5% 51 2,400 R+21.1
Red Lake 963 44.3% 1,164 53.5% 49 2,176 R+9.2
Traverse 1,026 47.9% 1,076 50.3% 39 2,141 R+2.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+4.2
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+7.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+1.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+7.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.2
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+2.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.6
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+7.0
1984 Walter Mondale (D) D+0.2
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+12.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+12.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+27.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+1.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+7.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+17.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+30.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+23.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+44.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+51.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+0.1
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+55.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.5
1896 William McKinley (R) R+15.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.2
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+14.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+21.9
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+26.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+19.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+22.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+21.8