United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Missouri
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Missouri

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Missouri in 2004, 53.3% to 46.1%, a margin of 7.2 points and 196,542 votes.

Missouri voted 4.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 111 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 542,983 votes and went to the Democrat by 9.3 points. The closest was Pemiscot, where 17 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 1,455,713 53.3%
John Kerry Democratic 1,259,171 46.1%
All other candidates 16,480 0.6%
Total2,731,364

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 295,284 54.4% 244,969 45.1% 2,730 542,983 D+9.3
Jackson 183,654 58.1% 130,500 41.3% 1,839 315,993 D+16.8
St. Charles 66,855 40.9% 95,826 58.6% 807 163,488 R+17.7
St. Louis City 116,133 80.3% 27,793 19.2% 712 144,638 D+61.1
Greene 46,657 37.2% 77,885 62.2% 724 125,266 R+24.9
Clay 44,670 46.3% 51,193 53.1% 597 96,460 R+6.8
Jefferson 46,057 49.4% 46,624 50.0% 583 93,264 R+0.6
Boone 37,643 49.5% 37,801 49.7% 602 76,046 R+0.2
Franklin 18,556 40.9% 26,429 58.3% 333 45,318 R+17.4
Jasper 13,002 28.8% 31,846 70.6% 237 45,085 R+41.8
Cass 16,681 37.7% 27,253 61.6% 283 44,217 R+23.9
Platte 18,412 43.9% 23,302 55.5% 256 41,970 R+11.7
Buchanan 17,799 46.9% 19,812 52.2% 339 37,950 R+5.3
Cole 11,753 32.0% 24,752 67.4% 196 36,701 R+35.4
Cape Girardeau 10,568 30.6% 23,814 68.9% 183 34,565 R+38.3
Christian 9,059 28.9% 22,102 70.5% 187 31,348 R+41.6
Newton 6,564 27.5% 17,187 71.9% 138 23,889 R+44.5
St. Francois 10,748 46.9% 12,087 52.7% 98 22,933 R+5.8
Johnson 7,790 38.5% 12,257 60.6% 189 20,236 R+22.1
Lincoln 8,368 42.2% 11,316 57.0% 155 19,839 R+14.9
Camden 6,296 32.3% 13,122 67.2% 101 19,519 R+35.0
Taney 5,601 29.1% 13,578 70.4% 101 19,280 R+41.4
Phelps 6,666 35.6% 11,874 63.5% 160 18,700 R+27.9
Callaway 6,559 36.9% 11,108 62.5% 106 17,773 R+25.6
Pettis 5,801 33.2% 11,603 66.3% 92 17,496 R+33.2
Scott 6,057 34.7% 11,330 64.9% 61 17,448 R+30.2
Butler 4,666 28.4% 11,696 71.1% 79 16,441 R+42.8
Howell 5,118 31.2% 11,097 67.8% 164 16,379 R+36.5
Lafayette 6,412 39.6% 9,656 59.7% 114 16,182 R+20.0
Lawrence 4,506 28.5% 11,194 70.8% 106 15,806 R+42.3
Stone 4,578 30.1% 10,534 69.4% 77 15,189 R+39.2
Webster 4,657 31.2% 10,194 68.2% 93 14,944 R+37.1
Laclede 4,213 28.3% 10,578 71.1% 78 14,869 R+42.8
Barry 4,223 30.3% 9,599 68.9% 105 13,927 R+38.6
Warren 5,461 40.7% 7,883 58.7% 88 13,432 R+18.0
Stoddard 3,946 29.8% 9,242 69.7% 64 13,252 R+40.0
Marion 4,568 36.7% 7,815 62.8% 70 12,453 R+26.1
Polk 3,775 30.3% 8,586 68.9% 92 12,453 R+38.6
Pulaski 3,551 29.1% 8,618 70.5% 52 12,221 R+41.5
Dunklin 4,901 42.0% 6,720 57.5% 56 11,677 R+15.6
Adair 4,938 43.3% 6,367 55.8% 99 11,404 R+12.5
Texas 3,664 33.3% 7,234 65.7% 120 11,018 R+32.4
Henry 4,461 41.0% 6,361 58.5% 55 10,877 R+17.5
Miller 2,959 27.3% 7,797 72.0% 75 10,831 R+44.7
Ray 5,034 46.7% 5,673 52.6% 81 10,788 R+5.9
Audrain 4,318 40.4% 6,294 58.9% 71 10,683 R+18.5
Randolph 3,586 35.2% 6,551 64.2% 61 10,198 R+29.1
Nodaway 3,830 37.8% 6,226 61.5% 63 10,119 R+23.7
Saline 4,479 45.1% 5,389 54.2% 71 9,939 R+9.2
Clinton 4,165 43.7% 5,287 55.4% 88 9,540 R+11.8
Crawford 3,632 38.7% 5,686 60.6% 63 9,381 R+21.9
Washington 4,459 48.6% 4,641 50.6% 78 9,178 R+2.0
Benton 3,381 37.5% 5,575 61.9% 53 9,009 R+24.4
Vernon 3,206 35.7% 5,732 63.7% 54 8,992 R+28.1
Morgan 3,053 34.8% 5,657 64.5% 61 8,771 R+29.7
Bates 3,398 40.1% 5,004 59.1% 64 8,466 R+19.0
Wright 2,188 26.2% 6,090 73.0% 68 8,346 R+46.8
Andrew 3,069 37.1% 5,135 62.1% 62 8,266 R+25.0
Perry 2,621 31.8% 5,583 67.7% 43 8,247 R+35.9
Ste. Genevieve 4,281 52.6% 3,791 46.5% 74 8,146 D+6.0
Pike 3,670 45.6% 4,314 53.7% 56 8,040 R+8.0
New Madrid 3,716 47.0% 4,154 52.5% 37 7,907 R+5.5
McDonald 2,215 28.7% 5,443 70.5% 67 7,725 R+41.8
Macon 2,856 37.7% 4,673 61.7% 41 7,570 R+24.0
Cooper 2,400 32.0% 5,058 67.4% 50 7,508 R+35.4
Dallas 2,407 33.2% 4,788 66.0% 64 7,259 R+32.8
Gasconade 2,355 32.8% 4,753 66.3% 63 7,171 R+33.4
Pemiscot 3,381 49.7% 3,398 49.9% 27 6,806 R+0.2
Moniteau 1,913 28.6% 4,743 70.9% 35 6,691 R+42.3
Osage 1,673 25.1% 4,975 74.6% 23 6,671 R+49.5
Livingston 2,278 35.9% 4,029 63.5% 39 6,346 R+27.6
Douglas 1,741 27.5% 4,498 71.1% 88 6,327 R+43.6
Dent 1,865 29.6% 4,369 69.3% 70 6,304 R+39.7
Wayne 2,250 36.3% 3,919 63.2% 35 6,204 R+26.9
Cedar 1,910 30.8% 4,238 68.3% 55 6,203 R+37.5
Barton 1,373 22.9% 4,572 76.3% 46 5,991 R+53.4
Linn 2,440 41.4% 3,422 58.0% 36 5,898 R+16.6
Bollinger 1,754 29.8% 4,102 69.6% 39 5,895 R+39.8
Montgomery 2,147 37.3% 3,563 61.9% 50 5,760 R+24.6
Ripley 1,907 33.7% 3,693 65.3% 53 5,653 R+31.6
Mississippi 2,374 44.8% 2,903 54.8% 21 5,298 R+10.0
Ralls 2,031 40.3% 2,986 59.3% 17 5,034 R+19.0
St. Clair 1,841 37.1% 3,098 62.4% 26 4,965 R+25.3
Howard 1,972 40.1% 2,915 59.2% 34 4,921 R+19.2
Madison 1,972 40.1% 2,905 59.1% 41 4,918 R+19.0
Hickory 2,043 42.0% 2,791 57.4% 32 4,866 R+15.4
Grundy 1,561 32.5% 3,172 66.0% 75 4,808 R+33.5
Carroll 1,568 33.1% 3,155 66.5% 18 4,741 R+33.5
Ozark 1,561 33.2% 3,083 65.5% 63 4,707 R+32.3
DeKalb 1,707 36.4% 2,941 62.8% 38 4,686 R+26.3
Iron 2,157 46.1% 2,477 52.9% 45 4,679 R+6.8
Oregon 1,823 39.0% 2,769 59.3% 81 4,673 R+20.2
Lewis 1,754 37.8% 2,862 61.6% 28 4,644 R+23.9
Maries 1,563 35.3% 2,825 63.9% 36 4,424 R+28.5
Chariton 1,892 43.6% 2,421 55.8% 27 4,340 R+12.2
Monroe 1,647 38.2% 2,632 61.1% 28 4,307 R+22.9
Caldwell 1,645 38.5% 2,593 60.8% 30 4,268 R+22.2
Shannon 1,618 38.8% 2,511 60.3% 38 4,167 R+21.4
Dade 1,104 27.0% 2,963 72.5% 22 4,089 R+45.5
Harrison 1,279 31.6% 2,729 67.4% 40 4,048 R+35.8
Daviess 1,402 37.0% 2,351 62.0% 41 3,794 R+25.0
Clark 1,794 48.0% 1,899 50.8% 43 3,736 R+2.8
Shelby 1,201 34.3% 2,280 65.1% 21 3,502 R+30.8
Reynolds 1,449 43.1% 1,896 56.4% 19 3,364 R+13.3
Gentry 1,201 36.3% 2,085 63.0% 26 3,312 R+26.7
Atchison 1,005 31.8% 2,137 67.7% 14 3,156 R+35.9
Sullivan 1,178 38.1% 1,880 60.9% 31 3,089 R+22.7
Carter 964 34.7% 1,797 64.7% 18 2,779 R+30.0
Holt 811 30.1% 1,864 69.3% 16 2,691 R+39.1
Putnam 772 31.6% 1,660 67.9% 13 2,445 R+36.3
Scotland 828 37.7% 1,352 61.5% 17 2,197 R+23.9
Schuyler 894 44.0% 1,124 55.3% 13 2,031 R+11.3
Knox 761 38.5% 1,207 61.0% 10 1,978 R+22.5
Mercer 582 32.0% 1,207 66.4% 28 1,817 R+34.4
Worth 436 38.5% 691 61.0% 5 1,132 R+22.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9