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United States · Election results history · 2004 governors · Missouri
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 Missouri governor election

Matt Blunt (Republican) beat Claire McCaskill (Democrat) in Missouri in 2004, 50.8% to 47.9%, a margin of 3.0 points and 80,977 votes.

Missouri changed party: in 2000 it went Democratic, for Bob Holden.

Republicans led in 101 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 541,550 votes and went to the Democrat by 10.7 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 18 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Matt Blunt won Republican 1,382,419 50.8%
Claire McCaskill Democratic 1,301,442 47.9%
All other candidates 35,677 1.3%
Total2,719,538

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 296,624 54.8% 238,783 44.1% 6,143 541,550 D+10.7
Jackson 194,804 62.0% 115,056 36.6% 4,415 314,275 D+25.4
St. Charles 70,184 43.0% 91,323 55.9% 1,865 163,372 R+12.9
St. Louis City 111,940 77.8% 29,667 20.6% 2,221 143,828 D+57.2
Greene 46,470 37.3% 76,645 61.4% 1,621 124,736 R+24.2
Clay 49,573 51.7% 44,763 46.7% 1,520 95,856 D+5.0
Jefferson 45,909 49.2% 45,891 49.2% 1,424 93,224 level
Boone 38,489 51.1% 35,666 47.3% 1,201 75,356 D+3.7
Franklin 19,195 42.3% 25,557 56.3% 617 45,369 R+14.0
Jasper 10,853 24.3% 33,293 74.5% 519 44,665 R+50.2
Cass 19,772 45.0% 23,538 53.5% 659 43,969 R+8.6
Platte 20,970 50.3% 20,137 48.3% 577 41,684 D+2.0
Buchanan 18,317 48.3% 18,967 50.0% 629 37,913 R+1.7
Cole 13,229 36.1% 23,147 63.1% 292 36,668 R+27.0
Cape Girardeau 11,511 33.5% 22,433 65.3% 429 34,373 R+31.8
Christian 9,443 30.3% 21,400 68.6% 348 31,191 R+38.3
Newton 5,662 23.8% 17,935 75.2% 242 23,839 R+51.5
St. Francois 10,601 46.4% 11,903 52.1% 327 22,831 R+5.7
Johnson 8,958 44.5% 10,767 53.5% 384 20,109 R+9.0
Lincoln 8,824 44.6% 10,626 53.8% 318 19,768 R+9.1
Camden 7,401 37.9% 11,956 61.2% 184 19,541 R+23.3
Taney 5,734 29.9% 13,207 68.9% 233 19,174 R+39.0
Phelps 7,341 39.5% 10,970 59.1% 254 18,565 R+19.5
Callaway 7,373 41.6% 10,153 57.3% 201 17,727 R+15.7
Pettis 7,293 41.6% 10,038 57.3% 186 17,517 R+15.7
Scott 7,004 40.3% 10,198 58.7% 174 17,376 R+18.4
Butler 5,364 32.9% 10,796 66.1% 168 16,328 R+33.3
Howell 5,466 33.5% 10,595 64.9% 267 16,328 R+31.4
Lafayette 7,351 45.6% 8,541 53.0% 231 16,123 R+7.4
Lawrence 4,500 28.5% 11,069 70.2% 194 15,763 R+41.7
Stone 4,791 31.7% 10,176 67.2% 168 15,135 R+35.6
Webster 4,651 31.2% 10,086 67.6% 181 14,918 R+36.4
Laclede 4,724 31.8% 9,993 67.2% 148 14,865 R+35.4
Barry 4,147 29.8% 9,594 69.0% 170 13,911 R+39.2
Warren 5,689 42.6% 7,488 56.1% 175 13,352 R+13.5
Stoddard 4,940 37.3% 8,152 61.6% 136 13,228 R+24.3
Polk 3,835 30.9% 8,418 67.8% 156 12,409 R+36.9
Marion 3,930 31.8% 8,292 67.0% 148 12,370 R+35.3
Pulaski 3,882 33.8% 7,466 65.0% 138 11,486 R+31.2
Dunklin 5,302 46.2% 6,015 52.5% 148 11,465 R+6.2
Adair 4,094 36.4% 7,019 62.4% 142 11,255 R+26.0
Texas 4,177 37.9% 6,644 60.3% 193 11,014 R+22.4
Henry 5,235 48.3% 5,471 50.5% 134 10,840 R+2.2
Miller 3,370 31.1% 7,331 67.8% 118 10,819 R+36.6
Ray 5,531 51.3% 5,073 47.1% 172 10,776 D+4.3
Audrain 4,500 42.2% 6,047 56.7% 115 10,662 R+14.5
Randolph 4,167 41.1% 5,841 57.6% 132 10,140 R+16.5
Nodaway 4,456 44.4% 5,424 54.1% 150 10,030 R+9.7
Saline 5,071 51.3% 4,691 47.5% 123 9,885 D+3.8
Clinton 4,705 49.5% 4,663 49.1% 136 9,504 D+0.4
Crawford 3,845 40.9% 5,422 57.7% 130 9,397 R+16.8
Washington 4,393 47.9% 4,622 50.4% 162 9,177 R+2.5
Benton 3,767 42.0% 5,088 56.7% 124 8,979 R+14.7
Vernon 2,868 32.0% 5,989 66.8% 114 8,971 R+34.8
Morgan 3,377 38.5% 5,273 60.2% 112 8,762 R+21.6
Bates 3,795 45.1% 4,479 53.2% 142 8,416 R+8.1
Wright 2,280 27.3% 5,955 71.4% 109 8,344 R+44.0
Andrew 3,143 38.1% 5,001 60.7% 95 8,239 R+22.6
Ste. Genevieve 4,208 51.3% 3,845 46.9% 146 8,199 D+4.4
Perry 2,822 34.4% 5,293 64.6% 82 8,197 R+30.1
Pike 3,434 43.0% 4,416 55.3% 132 7,982 R+12.3
New Madrid 4,036 51.4% 3,737 47.6% 82 7,855 D+3.8
McDonald 1,894 24.7% 5,622 73.4% 148 7,664 R+48.6
Cooper 2,826 37.7% 4,593 61.2% 81 7,500 R+23.6
Macon 2,781 37.2% 4,598 61.5% 100 7,479 R+24.3
Dallas 2,421 33.4% 4,708 65.0% 113 7,242 R+31.6
Gasconade 2,412 33.6% 4,696 65.4% 77 7,185 R+31.8
Moniteau 2,178 32.5% 4,480 66.8% 48 6,706 R+34.3
Osage 2,044 30.6% 4,586 68.7% 48 6,678 R+38.1
Pemiscot 3,528 53.5% 2,965 44.9% 106 6,599 D+8.5
Dent 2,092 33.1% 4,122 65.2% 110 6,324 R+32.1
Livingston 2,580 40.8% 3,680 58.2% 58 6,318 R+17.4
Douglas 1,788 28.4% 4,412 70.1% 96 6,296 R+41.7
Wayne 2,472 39.9% 3,649 58.8% 81 6,202 R+19.0
Cedar 1,979 32.0% 4,096 66.3% 102 6,177 R+34.3
Barton 1,164 19.5% 4,743 79.4% 64 5,971 R+59.9
Linn 2,588 43.9% 3,252 55.1% 61 5,901 R+11.3
Bollinger 1,843 31.8% 3,902 67.3% 57 5,802 R+35.5
Montgomery 2,186 38.1% 3,480 60.6% 77 5,743 R+22.5
Ripley 2,136 38.4% 3,332 59.9% 99 5,567 R+21.5
Mississippi 2,645 50.3% 2,558 48.6% 55 5,258 D+1.7
Ralls 1,866 37.2% 3,090 61.7% 54 5,010 R+24.4
St. Clair 2,004 40.4% 2,888 58.2% 69 4,961 R+17.8
Howard 2,277 46.3% 2,578 52.5% 59 4,914 R+6.1
Madison 1,972 40.5% 2,819 57.9% 81 4,872 R+17.4
Hickory 2,051 42.2% 2,750 56.5% 63 4,864 R+14.4
Grundy 1,890 39.2% 2,836 58.9% 91 4,817 R+19.6
Carroll 1,830 38.9% 2,828 60.1% 45 4,703 R+21.2
DeKalb 1,890 40.4% 2,710 57.9% 78 4,678 R+17.5
Ozark 1,628 34.8% 2,949 63.0% 101 4,678 R+28.2
Iron 2,215 47.5% 2,359 50.6% 86 4,660 R+3.1
Oregon 1,950 42.2% 2,579 55.8% 96 4,625 R+13.6
Lewis 1,441 31.3% 3,084 67.0% 76 4,601 R+35.7
Maries 1,665 37.8% 2,688 61.0% 54 4,407 R+23.2
Chariton 1,941 44.9% 2,350 54.3% 35 4,326 R+9.5
Monroe 1,670 38.9% 2,576 60.0% 47 4,293 R+21.1
Caldwell 1,796 41.9% 2,419 56.4% 74 4,289 R+14.5
Shannon 1,652 40.1% 2,391 58.0% 80 4,123 R+17.9
Dade 1,102 27.0% 2,938 72.0% 39 4,079 R+45.0
Harrison 1,417 35.2% 2,556 63.5% 50 4,023 R+28.3
Daviess 1,618 43.0% 2,091 55.5% 57 3,766 R+12.6
Clark 1,129 30.6% 2,469 67.0% 88 3,686 R+36.4
Shelby 1,116 32.2% 2,316 66.7% 39 3,471 R+34.6
Gentry 1,354 41.0% 1,901 57.6% 45 3,300 R+16.6
Reynolds 1,470 45.1% 1,746 53.6% 41 3,257 R+8.5
Atchison 1,082 34.9% 1,973 63.6% 45 3,100 R+28.7
Sullivan 1,105 35.8% 1,929 62.4% 55 3,089 R+26.7
Holt 873 32.6% 1,776 66.3% 28 2,677 R+33.7
Carter 1,022 39.1% 1,563 59.8% 28 2,613 R+20.7
Putnam 624 25.8% 1,757 72.8% 34 2,415 R+46.9
Scotland 615 28.6% 1,507 70.2% 26 2,148 R+41.5
Schuyler 697 34.8% 1,278 63.8% 28 2,003 R+29.0
Knox 623 31.6% 1,328 67.4% 19 1,970 R+35.8
Mercer 519 29.2% 1,237 69.7% 19 1,775 R+40.5
Worth 461 40.7% 662 58.4% 10 1,133 R+17.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Mike Kehoe (R) R+20.4
2020 Mike Parson (R) R+16.4
2016 Eric Greitens (R) R+5.6
2012 Jay Nixon (D) D+12.2
2008 Jay Nixon (D) D+18.9
2004 Matt Blunt (R) R+3.0
2000 Bob Holden (D) D+0.9
1996 Mel Carnahan (D) D+16.7
1992 Mel Carnahan (D) D+17.4
1988 John Ashcroft (R) R+29.5
1984 John Ashcroft (R) R+13.3
1980 Kit Bond (R) R+5.6
1976 Joseph P. Teasdale (D) D+0.7
1972 Kit Bond (R) R+10.5
1968 Warren E. Hearnes (D) D+21.6
1964 Warren E. Hearnes (D) D+24.1
1960 John M. Dalton (D) D+16.1
1956 James T. Blair Jr. (D) D+4.1
1952 Phil M. Donnelly (D) D+5.2
1948 Forrest Smith (D) D+14.2
1944 Phil M. Donnelly (D) D+2.0
1940 Forrest C. Donnell (R) R+0.2
1936 Lloyd C. Stark (D) D+14.5
1932 Guy Brasfield Park (D) D+21.1
1928 Henry S. Caulfield (R) R+3.5
1924 Sam Aaron Baker (R) R+0.5
1920 Arthur M. Hyde (R) R+10.6
1916 Frederick D. Gardner (D) D+0.3
1912 Elliott Woolfolk Major (D) D+17.0
1908 Herbert S. Hadley (R) R+2.2
1904 Joseph W. Folk (D) D+4.7
1900 Alexander Monroe Dockery (D) D+4.7
1896 Lawrence Vest Stephens (D) D+6.5
1892 William J. Stone (D) D+5.5
1888 David Rowland Francis (D) D+2.6
1884 John Sappington Marmaduke (D) D+2.5
1880 Thomas T. Crittenden (D) D+13.6
1876 John S. Phelps (D) D+14.8
1874 Charles H. Hardin (D) D+10.2
1872 Silas Woodson (D) D+12.5
1870 Benjamin Gratz Brown (other)
1868 Joseph W. McClurg (R) R+13.3