United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

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2012 Missouri governor election

Jay Nixon (Democrat) beat Dave Spence (Republican) in Missouri in 2012, 54.8% to 42.5%, a margin of 12.2 points and 333,791 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Jay Nixon also won.

Republicans led in 72 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 43. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 520,998 votes and went to the Democrat by 26.7 points. The closest was Monroe, where 5 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jay Nixon won Democratic 1,494,056 54.8%
Dave Spence Republican 1,160,265 42.5%
All other candidates 73,562 2.7%
Total2,727,883

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 324,748 62.3% 185,704 35.6% 10,546 520,998 D+26.7
Jackson 201,482 65.6% 97,324 31.7% 8,191 306,997 D+33.9
St. Charles 89,860 49.0% 89,144 48.6% 4,487 183,491 D+0.4
St. Louis City 117,979 83.6% 19,478 13.8% 3,666 141,123 D+69.8
Greene 61,970 49.5% 59,660 47.6% 3,659 125,289 D+1.8
Clay 57,962 55.5% 43,398 41.5% 3,138 104,498 D+13.9
Jefferson 53,971 55.7% 40,470 41.8% 2,484 96,925 D+13.9
Boone 45,302 58.4% 29,171 37.6% 3,125 77,598 D+20.8
Cass 23,168 47.8% 23,837 49.2% 1,454 48,459 R+1.4
Franklin 22,869 49.2% 22,335 48.1% 1,252 46,456 D+1.1
Platte 23,654 52.4% 20,154 44.6% 1,339 45,147 D+7.8
Jasper 19,457 43.2% 24,218 53.8% 1,356 45,031 R+10.6
Christian 15,000 39.7% 21,902 58.0% 852 37,754 R+18.3
Cole 16,810 45.6% 19,099 51.8% 960 36,869 R+6.2
Cape Girardeau 14,686 41.6% 19,797 56.0% 857 35,340 R+14.5
Buchanan 19,685 56.5% 13,810 39.6% 1,368 34,863 D+16.9
Newton 9,880 39.5% 14,483 57.9% 661 25,024 R+18.4
St. Francois 11,930 52.9% 9,965 44.2% 648 22,543 D+8.7
Lincoln 10,730 47.6% 11,092 49.2% 703 22,525 R+1.6
Camden 9,210 42.2% 11,986 54.9% 632 21,828 R+12.7
Taney 8,071 37.7% 12,761 59.6% 593 21,425 R+21.9
Johnson 10,428 50.2% 9,484 45.7% 853 20,765 D+4.5
Callaway 8,012 44.2% 9,489 52.3% 642 18,143 R+8.1
Phelps 8,271 45.7% 9,282 51.2% 565 18,118 R+5.6
Pettis 8,490 49.8% 8,073 47.3% 496 17,059 D+2.4
Scott 8,092 48.0% 8,421 50.0% 333 16,846 R+2.0
Butler 7,036 42.2% 9,251 55.5% 393 16,680 R+13.3
Howell 6,950 42.6% 8,849 54.2% 520 16,319 R+11.6
Stone 6,025 37.9% 9,434 59.3% 453 15,912 R+21.4
Lafayette 7,758 49.3% 7,537 47.9% 438 15,733 D+1.4
Lawrence 6,261 39.9% 9,022 57.5% 405 15,688 R+17.6
Webster 6,570 42.6% 8,406 54.6% 430 15,406 R+11.9
Laclede 6,128 39.9% 8,751 57.0% 475 15,354 R+17.1
Warren 6,819 46.8% 7,338 50.3% 419 14,576 R+3.6
Barry 5,491 40.1% 7,769 56.7% 446 13,706 R+16.6
Polk 5,647 43.1% 7,052 53.9% 388 13,087 R+10.7
Stoddard 5,980 46.8% 6,514 51.0% 280 12,774 R+4.2
Pulaski 5,829 46.0% 6,454 50.9% 396 12,679 R+4.9
Marion 5,394 44.8% 6,380 53.0% 257 12,031 R+8.2
Miller 4,012 36.7% 6,547 59.8% 381 10,940 R+23.2
Texas 4,635 43.0% 5,831 54.1% 321 10,787 R+11.1
Dunklin 5,657 54.0% 4,560 43.5% 254 10,471 D+10.5
Ray 5,722 55.5% 4,252 41.3% 331 10,305 D+14.3
Henry 5,430 53.8% 4,277 42.4% 377 10,084 D+11.4
Adair 5,066 50.6% 4,656 46.5% 281 10,003 D+4.1
Randolph 4,491 45.4% 5,055 51.1% 349 9,895 R+5.7
Audrain 4,922 49.8% 4,633 46.8% 335 9,890 D+2.9
Clinton 5,003 51.0% 4,461 45.5% 351 9,815 D+5.5
Crawford 4,275 44.9% 4,978 52.2% 278 9,531 R+7.4
Benton 4,213 46.2% 4,641 50.9% 256 9,110 R+4.7
Saline 5,275 58.2% 3,489 38.5% 307 9,071 D+19.7
Nodaway 4,522 50.8% 4,118 46.2% 266 8,906 D+4.5
Morgan 3,983 44.9% 4,575 51.6% 310 8,868 R+6.7
Washington 4,823 55.1% 3,697 42.3% 230 8,750 D+12.9
Vernon 3,759 44.4% 4,424 52.3% 283 8,466 R+7.9
Andrew 3,692 44.6% 4,301 52.0% 280 8,273 R+7.4
Ste. Genevieve 4,884 61.3% 2,878 36.2% 199 7,961 D+25.2
Wright 2,878 36.2% 4,866 61.1% 216 7,960 R+25.0
Perry 3,647 46.4% 4,057 51.6% 163 7,867 R+5.2
McDonald 2,564 33.1% 4,823 62.3% 359 7,746 R+29.2
Bates 3,972 51.4% 3,513 45.5% 243 7,728 D+5.9
Cooper 3,418 45.7% 3,837 51.3% 226 7,481 R+5.6
Pike 3,655 50.0% 3,482 47.7% 169 7,306 D+2.4
Dallas 3,148 43.3% 3,882 53.4% 237 7,267 R+10.1
New Madrid 4,270 59.7% 2,732 38.2% 151 7,153 D+21.5
Macon 3,086 43.4% 3,868 54.4% 150 7,104 R+11.0
Gasconade 3,162 44.5% 3,775 53.2% 161 7,098 R+8.6
Osage 2,712 39.4% 4,016 58.4% 152 6,880 R+19.0
Dent 2,823 42.6% 3,595 54.2% 215 6,633 R+11.6
Douglas 2,407 37.0% 3,869 59.4% 234 6,510 R+22.5
Moniteau 2,649 41.3% 3,568 55.6% 195 6,412 R+14.3
Pemiscot 3,559 58.8% 2,338 38.6% 153 6,050 D+20.2
Livingston 2,906 48.5% 2,922 48.7% 169 5,997 R+0.3
Cedar 2,453 40.9% 3,383 56.4% 159 5,995 R+15.5
Barton 1,900 33.3% 3,644 63.8% 169 5,713 R+30.5
Wayne 2,865 50.8% 2,642 46.8% 136 5,643 D+4.0
Linn 2,888 52.2% 2,456 44.4% 184 5,528 D+7.8
Bollinger 2,142 39.5% 3,115 57.5% 162 5,419 R+18.0
Montgomery 2,338 44.0% 2,842 53.5% 133 5,313 R+9.5
Ripley 2,216 42.6% 2,822 54.3% 160 5,198 R+11.7
Ralls 2,279 45.7% 2,595 52.1% 110 4,984 R+6.3
Madison 2,455 50.2% 2,298 46.9% 142 4,895 D+3.2
Mississippi 2,938 60.5% 1,822 37.5% 98 4,858 D+23.0
Howard 2,350 48.9% 2,302 47.9% 155 4,807 D+1.0
Hickory 2,334 50.0% 2,177 46.6% 156 4,667 D+3.4
St. Clair 2,121 45.7% 2,335 50.3% 183 4,639 R+4.6
Maries 2,068 45.6% 2,337 51.5% 132 4,537 R+5.9
Ozark 1,948 43.9% 2,334 52.6% 153 4,435 R+8.7
Oregon 2,061 46.9% 2,200 50.0% 138 4,399 R+3.2
Grundy 1,852 42.4% 2,352 53.9% 163 4,367 R+11.4
DeKalb 1,815 41.7% 2,394 55.1% 139 4,348 R+13.3
Carroll 1,902 44.6% 2,256 52.9% 106 4,264 R+8.3
Lewis 2,101 49.5% 2,046 48.2% 94 4,241 D+1.3
Caldwell 1,882 45.3% 2,092 50.4% 178 4,152 R+5.1
Monroe 1,953 48.7% 1,948 48.6% 111 4,012 D+0.1
Iron 2,278 56.9% 1,596 39.9% 129 4,003 D+17.0
Dade 1,557 40.1% 2,237 57.6% 90 3,884 R+17.5
Chariton 1,937 51.0% 1,770 46.6% 92 3,799 D+4.4
Shannon 1,978 53.5% 1,601 43.3% 119 3,698 D+10.2
Harrison 1,453 39.8% 2,072 56.8% 124 3,649 R+17.0
Daviess 1,691 48.1% 1,697 48.3% 127 3,515 R+0.2
Clark 1,822 56.6% 1,312 40.8% 83 3,217 D+15.9
Shelby 1,426 44.4% 1,721 53.6% 65 3,212 R+9.2
Reynolds 1,795 57.1% 1,239 39.4% 108 3,142 D+17.7
Gentry 1,429 47.9% 1,458 48.9% 95 2,982 R+1.0
Carter 1,235 45.0% 1,414 51.5% 97 2,746 R+6.5
Atchison 1,240 46.8% 1,319 49.8% 88 2,647 R+3.0
Sullivan 1,104 42.4% 1,429 54.9% 70 2,603 R+12.5
Holt 956 41.6% 1,296 56.4% 46 2,298 R+14.8
Putnam 726 32.0% 1,485 65.5% 55 2,266 R+33.5
Knox 966 50.2% 912 47.4% 48 1,926 D+2.8
Scotland 921 48.1% 930 48.6% 62 1,913 R+0.5
Schuyler 867 45.6% 961 50.5% 74 1,902 R+4.9
Mercer 503 30.6% 1,090 66.3% 52 1,645 R+35.7
Worth 486 46.5% 524 50.1% 35 1,045 R+3.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Mike Kehoe (R) R+20.4
2020 Mike Parson (R) R+16.4
2016 Eric Greitens (R) R+5.6
2012 Jay Nixon (D) D+12.2
2008 Jay Nixon (D) D+18.9
2004 Matt Blunt (R) R+3.0
2000 Bob Holden (D) D+0.9
1996 Mel Carnahan (D) D+16.7
1992 Mel Carnahan (D) D+17.4
1988 John Ashcroft (R) R+29.5
1984 John Ashcroft (R) R+13.3
1980 Kit Bond (R) R+5.6
1976 Joseph P. Teasdale (D) D+0.7
1972 Kit Bond (R) R+10.5
1968 Warren E. Hearnes (D) D+21.6
1964 Warren E. Hearnes (D) D+24.1
1960 John M. Dalton (D) D+16.1
1956 James T. Blair Jr. (D) D+4.1
1952 Phil M. Donnelly (D) D+5.2
1948 Forrest Smith (D) D+14.2
1944 Phil M. Donnelly (D) D+2.0
1940 Forrest C. Donnell (R) R+0.2
1936 Lloyd C. Stark (D) D+14.5
1932 Guy Brasfield Park (D) D+21.1
1928 Henry S. Caulfield (R) R+3.5
1924 Sam Aaron Baker (R) R+0.5
1920 Arthur M. Hyde (R) R+10.6
1916 Frederick D. Gardner (D) D+0.3
1912 Elliott Woolfolk Major (D) D+17.0
1908 Herbert S. Hadley (R) R+2.2
1904 Joseph W. Folk (D) D+4.7
1900 Alexander Monroe Dockery (D) D+4.7
1896 Lawrence Vest Stephens (D) D+6.5
1892 William J. Stone (D) D+5.5
1888 David Rowland Francis (D) D+2.6
1884 John Sappington Marmaduke (D) D+2.5
1880 Thomas T. Crittenden (D) D+13.6
1876 John S. Phelps (D) D+14.8
1874 Charles H. Hardin (D) D+10.2
1872 Silas Woodson (D) D+12.5
1870 Benjamin Gratz Brown (other)
1868 Joseph W. McClurg (R) R+13.3