United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 presidential election in Missouri

John McCain (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Missouri in 2008, 49.4% to 49.3%, a margin of 0.1 points and 3,903 votes.

Missouri voted 7.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+7.3.

The Republican hold continued from 2004, when George W. Bush won.

Republicans led in 106 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 559,854 votes and went to the Democrat by 19.9 points. The closest was Washington, where 5 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 1,445,814 49.4%
Barack Obama Democratic 1,441,911 49.3%
All other candidates 37,480 1.3%
Total2,925,205

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 333,123 59.5% 221,705 39.6% 5,026 559,854 D+19.9
Jackson 210,824 62.1% 124,687 36.8% 3,755 339,266 D+25.4
St. Charles 84,183 44.7% 102,550 54.4% 1,796 188,529 R+9.7
St. Louis City 132,925 83.7% 24,662 15.5% 1,271 158,858 D+68.2
Greene 56,181 41.4% 77,683 57.2% 1,831 135,695 R+15.8
Clay 53,761 49.0% 54,516 49.7% 1,329 109,606 R+0.7
Jefferson 53,467 50.6% 50,804 48.1% 1,433 105,704 D+2.5
Boone 47,062 55.2% 36,849 43.2% 1,340 85,251 D+12.0
Cass 19,844 39.5% 29,695 59.2% 640 50,179 R+19.6
Franklin 21,256 43.1% 27,355 55.5% 682 49,293 R+12.4
Jasper 15,730 32.8% 31,667 65.9% 628 48,025 R+33.2
Platte 21,459 46.2% 24,460 52.6% 561 46,480 R+6.5
Buchanan 19,164 49.1% 19,110 48.9% 766 39,040 D+0.1
Cole 13,959 36.0% 24,385 62.9% 401 38,745 R+26.9
Christian 11,883 31.5% 25,382 67.3% 432 37,697 R+35.8
Cape Girardeau 12,208 32.7% 24,768 66.3% 379 37,355 R+33.6
Newton 7,450 29.3% 17,637 69.4% 319 25,406 R+40.1
St. Francois 11,540 47.0% 12,660 51.6% 350 24,550 R+4.6
Lincoln 10,234 43.5% 12,924 54.9% 392 23,550 R+11.4
Camden 7,773 35.1% 14,074 63.6% 286 22,133 R+28.5
Johnson 9,480 42.9% 12,183 55.2% 417 22,080 R+12.2
Taney 6,683 30.8% 14,736 68.0% 245 21,664 R+37.2
Phelps 7,394 38.0% 11,706 60.2% 338 19,438 R+22.2
Callaway 7,580 39.2% 11,389 58.9% 352 19,321 R+19.7
Pettis 6,932 38.1% 11,018 60.5% 258 18,208 R+22.4
Scott 6,258 34.7% 11,563 64.1% 205 18,026 R+29.4
Butler 5,316 30.7% 11,805 68.1% 217 17,338 R+37.4
Howell 5,736 33.7% 10,982 64.5% 311 17,029 R+30.8
Lawrence 5,097 30.6% 11,263 67.7% 277 16,637 R+37.1
Lafayette 6,902 41.6% 9,442 56.9% 256 16,600 R+15.3
Stone 5,029 30.7% 11,147 68.0% 211 16,387 R+37.3
Webster 5,685 34.8% 10,431 63.8% 240 16,356 R+29.0
Laclede 5,218 32.0% 10,875 66.6% 230 16,323 R+34.7
Warren 6,705 43.0% 8,675 55.7% 196 15,576 R+12.6
Pulaski 5,249 35.0% 9,552 63.7% 199 15,000 R+28.7
Barry 4,630 31.6% 9,758 66.6% 256 14,644 R+35.0
Polk 4,553 33.2% 8,956 65.4% 188 13,697 R+32.1
Stoddard 3,899 29.4% 9,172 69.2% 191 13,262 R+39.8
Marion 4,703 37.5% 7,705 61.4% 145 12,553 R+23.9
Adair 5,735 48.3% 5,891 49.6% 245 11,871 R+1.3
Dunklin 4,540 38.6% 7,044 59.9% 180 11,764 R+21.3
Miller 3,553 30.8% 7,797 67.6% 185 11,535 R+36.8
Henry 4,869 43.6% 6,095 54.6% 195 11,159 R+11.0
Ray 5,241 47.4% 5,593 50.6% 219 11,053 R+3.2
Texas 3,410 31.4% 7,215 66.5% 226 10,851 R+35.1
Audrain 4,434 41.1% 6,167 57.2% 180 10,781 R+16.1
Randolph 3,984 37.5% 6,457 60.8% 183 10,624 R+23.3
Clinton 4,545 43.5% 5,709 54.6% 200 10,454 R+11.1
Nodaway 4,493 44.0% 5,568 54.5% 158 10,219 R+10.5
Crawford 3,911 38.8% 6,007 59.6% 167 10,085 R+20.8
Saline 4,712 47.8% 4,962 50.4% 174 9,848 R+2.5
Washington 4,711 49.0% 4,706 48.9% 197 9,614 D+0.1
Benton 3,629 37.9% 5,759 60.2% 179 9,567 R+22.3
Morgan 3,565 39.0% 5,451 59.6% 133 9,149 R+20.6
Vernon 3,381 38.1% 5,334 60.1% 163 8,878 R+22.0
Ste. Genevieve 4,979 56.4% 3,732 42.3% 114 8,825 D+14.1
Andrew 3,345 38.1% 5,279 60.1% 166 8,790 R+22.0
Perry 3,005 34.8% 5,527 63.9% 115 8,647 R+29.2
Wright 2,557 30.0% 5,784 67.9% 173 8,514 R+37.9
Bates 3,271 39.5% 4,833 58.3% 179 8,283 R+18.9
McDonald 2,454 30.2% 5,499 67.6% 182 8,135 R+37.4
New Madrid 3,370 41.6% 4,593 56.8% 129 8,092 R+15.1
Cooper 2,996 37.3% 4,902 61.1% 128 8,026 R+23.7
Pike 3,487 44.2% 4,268 54.2% 126 7,881 R+9.9
Gasconade 2,899 37.3% 4,763 61.3% 109 7,771 R+24.0
Dallas 2,656 34.6% 4,895 63.7% 132 7,683 R+29.1
Macon 2,784 37.2% 4,586 61.4% 104 7,474 R+24.1
Osage 1,907 26.9% 5,062 71.5% 110 7,079 R+44.6
Pemiscot 3,029 43.0% 3,954 56.1% 64 7,047 R+13.1
Dent 2,056 29.9% 4,655 67.8% 157 6,868 R+37.8
Douglas 2,140 31.9% 4,405 65.6% 167 6,712 R+33.7
Moniteau 2,084 31.3% 4,467 67.0% 114 6,665 R+35.8
Livingston 2,435 37.2% 3,993 60.9% 124 6,552 R+23.8
Cedar 2,060 32.4% 4,194 66.0% 100 6,354 R+33.6
Wayne 2,243 36.4% 3,784 61.5% 127 6,154 R+25.0
Barton 1,455 24.5% 4,414 74.2% 79 5,948 R+49.7
Linn 2,638 44.5% 3,140 52.9% 153 5,931 R+8.5
Montgomery 2,347 40.1% 3,428 58.5% 81 5,856 R+18.5
Bollinger 1,690 29.2% 3,972 68.7% 122 5,784 R+39.5
Ripley 1,795 33.5% 3,407 63.5% 161 5,363 R+30.1
Mississippi 2,247 42.0% 3,034 56.6% 75 5,356 R+14.7
Hickory 2,171 42.4% 2,850 55.7% 94 5,115 R+13.3
Ralls 2,041 40.1% 2,987 58.8% 56 5,084 R+18.6
Madison 2,042 40.6% 2,897 57.6% 89 5,028 R+17.0
St. Clair 1,886 37.8% 2,981 59.8% 121 4,988 R+22.0
Howard 2,036 41.9% 2,708 55.8% 111 4,855 R+13.8
Grundy 1,580 33.3% 3,006 63.4% 154 4,740 R+30.1
Ozark 1,661 35.4% 2,918 62.3% 107 4,686 R+26.8
DeKalb 1,692 36.1% 2,889 61.7% 102 4,683 R+25.6
Oregon 1,811 39.4% 2,652 57.8% 128 4,591 R+18.3
Caldwell 1,814 39.7% 2,654 58.2% 96 4,564 R+18.4
Maries 1,599 35.2% 2,853 62.7% 96 4,548 R+27.6
Carroll 1,535 33.8% 2,955 65.1% 48 4,538 R+31.3
Lewis 1,837 40.8% 2,594 57.6% 71 4,502 R+16.8
Iron 2,213 50.1% 2,090 47.3% 111 4,414 D+2.8
Monroe 1,703 39.5% 2,533 58.7% 78 4,314 R+19.2
Chariton 1,799 42.7% 2,339 55.5% 76 4,214 R+12.8
Dade 1,184 28.8% 2,864 69.6% 64 4,112 R+40.9
Harrison 1,287 32.9% 2,512 64.2% 116 3,915 R+31.3
Shannon 1,637 42.7% 2,075 54.1% 126 3,838 R+11.4
Daviess 1,400 37.0% 2,263 59.8% 123 3,786 R+22.8
Clark 1,572 45.5% 1,782 51.6% 102 3,456 R+6.1
Shelby 1,114 33.6% 2,166 65.3% 36 3,316 R+31.7
Gentry 1,235 37.5% 1,964 59.7% 93 3,292 R+22.1
Reynolds 1,418 43.1% 1,782 54.2% 87 3,287 R+11.1
Atchison 1,000 33.6% 1,936 65.1% 40 2,976 R+31.5
Carter 984 34.0% 1,840 63.5% 74 2,898 R+29.5
Sullivan 1,173 40.9% 1,607 56.0% 89 2,869 R+15.1
Holt 802 30.5% 1,794 68.1% 37 2,633 R+37.7
Putnam 695 29.7% 1,591 68.0% 53 2,339 R+38.3
Scotland 793 37.8% 1,249 59.5% 56 2,098 R+21.7
Knox 759 37.5% 1,212 59.9% 53 2,024 R+22.4
Schuyler 775 39.1% 1,139 57.4% 69 1,983 R+18.4
Mercer 519 29.7% 1,169 66.9% 60 1,748 R+37.2
Worth 427 36.4% 707 60.2% 40 1,174 R+23.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9