United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Missouri

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Missouri in 2020, 56.8% to 41.4%, a margin of 15.4 points and 465,722 votes.

Missouri voted 19.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 111 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 536,244 votes and went to the Democrat by 24.0 points. The closest was Worth, where 662 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,718,736 56.8%
Joe Biden Democratic 1,253,014 41.4%
All other candidates 54,212 1.8%
Total3,025,962

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 328,176 61.2% 199,493 37.2% 8,575 536,244 D+24.0
Jackson 199,841 60.0% 126,534 38.0% 6,556 332,931 D+22.0
St. Charles 89,530 40.3% 128,388 57.8% 4,072 221,990 R+17.5
Greene 55,067 38.8% 83,629 59.0% 3,050 141,746 R+20.2
St. Louis City 110,064 82.3% 21,472 16.1% 2,230 133,766 D+66.2
Clay 59,397 46.9% 64,600 51.1% 2,523 126,520 R+4.1
Jefferson 37,523 32.2% 77,045 66.0% 2,103 116,671 R+33.9
Boone 50,063 54.9% 38,644 42.4% 2,420 91,127 D+12.5
Cass 19,052 33.2% 37,196 64.8% 1,148 57,396 R+31.6
Platte 27,179 47.5% 28,917 50.5% 1,153 57,249 R+3.0
Franklin 14,565 27.1% 38,053 70.9% 1,050 53,668 R+43.8
Jasper 13,548 25.9% 37,726 72.1% 1,069 52,343 R+46.2
Christian 11,132 23.8% 34,920 74.6% 774 46,826 R+50.8
Cape Girardeau 10,760 26.7% 28,908 71.7% 642 40,310 R+45.0
Cole 12,688 32.1% 26,080 66.0% 734 39,502 R+33.9
Buchanan 13,445 36.7% 22,450 61.3% 703 36,598 R+24.6
Lincoln 6,607 22.8% 21,848 75.3% 562 29,017 R+52.5
Newton 5,819 20.5% 22,121 77.9% 452 28,392 R+57.4
St. Francois 7,043 25.2% 20,507 73.2% 446 27,996 R+48.1
Taney 5,339 20.3% 20,507 78.1% 422 26,268 R+57.7
Camden 5,652 22.8% 18,849 76.0% 310 24,811 R+53.2
Johnson 6,973 30.2% 15,488 67.0% 659 23,120 R+36.8
Callaway 5,876 27.8% 14,820 70.1% 455 21,151 R+42.3
Phelps 5,637 28.8% 13,480 68.9% 440 19,557 R+40.1
Pettis 4,783 25.0% 13,854 72.5% 460 19,097 R+47.5
Webster 3,573 19.0% 14,881 79.2% 326 18,780 R+60.2
Howell 3,218 17.3% 15,180 81.4% 249 18,647 R+64.1
Stone 3,506 19.0% 14,801 80.1% 177 18,484 R+61.1
Warren 4,773 26.0% 13,230 72.0% 383 18,386 R+46.0
Butler 3,301 18.2% 14,604 80.5% 237 18,142 R+62.3
Lawrence 3,214 18.0% 14,425 80.6% 265 17,904 R+62.6
Scott 3,752 21.2% 13,765 77.7% 196 17,713 R+56.5
Lafayette 4,473 26.2% 12,276 72.0% 306 17,055 R+45.8
Laclede 2,780 16.6% 13,762 82.0% 250 16,792 R+65.4
Barry 2,948 18.9% 12,426 79.7% 225 15,599 R+60.8
Polk 2,885 19.2% 11,851 78.7% 327 15,063 R+59.5
Pulaski 3,740 25.9% 10,329 71.7% 345 14,414 R+45.7
Stoddard 1,819 13.5% 11,484 85.5% 123 13,426 R+72.0
Marion 3,201 24.0% 9,913 74.3% 228 13,342 R+50.3
Miller 2,038 16.5% 10,176 82.2% 166 12,380 R+65.7
Ray 3,112 26.7% 8,350 71.6% 195 11,657 R+44.9
Texas 1,716 15.2% 9,478 83.8% 121 11,315 R+68.6
Crawford 2,113 19.3% 8,725 79.5% 135 10,973 R+60.3
Clinton 2,896 26.6% 7,799 71.6% 192 10,887 R+45.0
Henry 2,619 24.3% 8,027 74.4% 142 10,788 R+50.1
Randolph 2,485 23.1% 8,018 74.6% 238 10,741 R+51.5
Audrain 2,704 25.4% 7,732 72.6% 214 10,650 R+47.2
Benton 2,180 20.8% 8,109 77.4% 186 10,475 R+56.6
Dunklin 2,200 21.1% 8,133 78.1% 84 10,417 R+57.0
Adair 3,710 35.9% 6,412 62.0% 212 10,334 R+26.1
Washington 1,804 18.1% 8,047 80.7% 122 9,973 R+62.6
Nodaway 2,853 28.9% 6,866 69.4% 170 9,889 R+40.6
Andrew 2,351 24.1% 7,255 74.4% 146 9,752 R+50.3
Saline 2,904 30.5% 6,451 67.8% 164 9,519 R+37.3
Ste. Genevieve 2,714 28.6% 6,634 69.9% 141 9,489 R+41.3
Morgan 1,924 20.3% 7,442 78.4% 121 9,487 R+58.2
Perry 1,664 17.6% 7,658 81.1% 126 9,448 R+63.4
Vernon 1,903 20.7% 7,155 77.9% 127 9,185 R+57.2
McDonald 1,439 15.9% 7,466 82.5% 148 9,053 R+66.6
Wright 1,168 13.4% 7,452 85.3% 117 8,737 R+71.9
Cooper 2,249 25.9% 6,272 72.2% 169 8,690 R+46.3
Bates 1,672 19.9% 6,598 78.4% 147 8,417 R+58.5
Dallas 1,380 17.0% 6,619 81.7% 105 8,104 R+64.6
Gasconade 1,600 20.2% 6,220 78.5% 101 7,921 R+58.3
Macon 1,662 21.2% 6,077 77.5% 98 7,837 R+56.3
Pike 1,717 22.3% 5,863 76.2% 115 7,695 R+53.9
Osage 1,037 13.8% 6,426 85.2% 77 7,540 R+71.5
New Madrid 1,748 24.1% 5,447 75.2% 53 7,248 R+51.0
Moniteau 1,308 18.3% 5,745 80.3% 105 7,158 R+62.0
Dent 1,056 14.8% 5,987 83.8% 100 7,143 R+69.0
Cedar 1,145 16.3% 5,787 82.2% 110 7,042 R+65.9
Douglas 1,016 14.5% 5,899 84.3% 86 7,001 R+69.7
Livingston 1,410 20.9% 5,267 77.9% 80 6,757 R+57.1
Barton 844 13.9% 5,168 85.0% 65 6,077 R+71.2
Bollinger 750 12.5% 5,168 86.4% 66 5,984 R+73.8
Wayne 845 14.4% 4,987 84.8% 46 5,878 R+70.5
Montgomery 1,209 20.9% 4,466 77.3% 99 5,774 R+56.4
Pemiscot 1,560 27.2% 4,121 71.8% 55 5,736 R+44.6
Linn 1,275 22.3% 4,362 76.3% 82 5,719 R+54.0
Ripley 833 14.6% 4,839 84.6% 45 5,717 R+70.1
Madison 1,019 18.0% 4,584 80.8% 73 5,676 R+62.8
Ralls 1,206 21.3% 4,398 77.6% 61 5,665 R+56.3
Howard 1,413 27.7% 3,554 69.8% 125 5,092 R+42.0
Hickory 1,056 20.8% 3,966 78.1% 58 5,080 R+57.3
St. Clair 988 19.9% 3,932 79.0% 55 4,975 R+59.2
Ozark 752 15.5% 4,064 83.6% 48 4,864 R+68.1
DeKalb 930 19.2% 3,828 79.0% 85 4,843 R+59.8
Maries 814 17.1% 3,892 81.6% 65 4,771 R+64.5
Mississippi 1,178 24.8% 3,537 74.4% 41 4,756 R+49.6
Oregon 823 17.4% 3,847 81.2% 70 4,740 R+63.8
Caldwell 897 19.2% 3,726 79.6% 60 4,683 R+60.4
Lewis 984 21.3% 3,553 77.1% 72 4,609 R+55.7
Iron 945 20.6% 3,596 78.3% 51 4,592 R+57.7
Carroll 786 17.3% 3,706 81.8% 40 4,532 R+64.4
Monroe 936 20.9% 3,477 77.6% 69 4,482 R+56.7
Grundy 799 18.0% 3,585 80.8% 53 4,437 R+62.8
Dade 656 15.9% 3,414 82.9% 49 4,119 R+67.0
Chariton 916 22.5% 3,112 76.3% 49 4,077 R+53.9
Daviess 746 19.1% 3,102 79.4% 61 3,909 R+60.3
Shannon 706 18.1% 3,165 81.0% 35 3,906 R+63.0
Harrison 597 15.6% 3,198 83.6% 30 3,825 R+68.0
Clark 678 20.0% 2,672 78.7% 44 3,394 R+58.8
Shelby 592 17.7% 2,700 80.6% 58 3,350 R+62.9
Reynolds 529 16.0% 2,734 82.9% 36 3,299 R+66.8
Gentry 613 19.0% 2,580 79.8% 41 3,234 R+60.8
Carter 418 14.4% 2,451 84.6% 28 2,897 R+70.2
Atchison 564 20.0% 2,199 78.1% 51 2,814 R+58.1
Sullivan 478 19.3% 1,974 79.9% 19 2,471 R+60.5
Putnam 361 15.3% 1,984 84.0% 16 2,361 R+68.7
Holt 338 14.4% 1,976 84.3% 29 2,343 R+69.9
Schuyler 373 18.6% 1,606 80.2% 23 2,002 R+61.6
Scotland 388 19.6% 1,560 78.6% 36 1,984 R+59.1
Knox 340 18.3% 1,486 80.2% 28 1,854 R+61.8
Mercer 222 12.5% 1,541 86.6% 16 1,779 R+74.1
Worth 215 19.4% 877 79.2% 15 1,107 R+59.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9