United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Virginia

Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Virginia in 2020, 54.1% to 44.0%, a margin of 10.1 points and 451,138 votes.

Virginia voted 5.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2016, when Hillary Clinton won.

Republicans led in 87 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 46. The largest, Fairfax, cast 600,895 votes and went to the Democrat by 41.9 points. The closest was Essex, where 37 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Joe Biden won Democratic 2,413,568 54.1%
Donald Trump Republican 1,962,430 44.0%
All other candidates 84,526 1.9%
Total4,460,524

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 420,002 69.9% 168,413 28.0% 12,480 600,895 D+41.9
Virginia Beach city 117,302 51.6% 105,066 46.2% 5,080 227,448 D+5.4
Prince William 144,497 63.6% 78,899 34.7% 3,876 227,272 D+28.9
Loudoun 138,360 61.5% 82,084 36.5% 4,402 224,846 D+25.0
Chesterfield 106,956 52.5% 93,336 45.8% 3,624 203,916 D+6.7
Henrico 116,599 63.7% 63,437 34.6% 3,140 183,176 D+29.0
Arlington 105,297 80.6% 22,309 17.1% 3,036 130,642 D+63.5
Chesapeake city 66,191 52.2% 58,103 45.8% 2,546 126,840 D+6.4
Richmond city 92,115 82.9% 16,598 14.9% 2,380 111,093 D+68.0
Norfolk city 64,521 71.7% 23,455 26.1% 2,000 89,976 D+45.6
Alexandria city 66,307 80.3% 14,561 17.6% 1,727 82,595 D+62.7
Newport News city 53,070 65.4% 26,374 32.5% 1,727 81,171 D+32.9
Stafford 40,252 50.5% 37,633 47.3% 1,744 79,629 D+3.3
Spotsylvania 34,365 45.6% 39,464 52.3% 1,601 75,430 R+6.8
Hanover 25,330 35.7% 44,331 62.4% 1,342 71,003 R+26.8
Hampton city 46,249 70.1% 18,433 28.0% 1,251 65,933 D+42.2
Albemarle 42,582 65.7% 20,820 32.1% 1,390 64,792 D+33.6
Roanoke 21,795 38.1% 34,253 59.9% 1,115 57,163 R+21.8
Suffolk city 28,884 57.8% 20,176 40.4% 890 49,950 D+17.4
James City 25,539 51.5% 23,145 46.7% 916 49,600 D+4.8
Frederick 17,223 35.3% 30,565 62.7% 939 48,727 R+27.4
Bedford 12,183 25.0% 35,609 73.1% 893 48,685 R+48.1
Montgomery 23,227 51.6% 20,633 45.8% 1,190 45,050 D+5.8
Portsmouth city 30,938 69.4% 12,751 28.6% 878 44,567 D+40.8
Rockingham 12,662 28.9% 30,358 69.2% 820 43,840 R+40.4
Fauquier 17,567 40.2% 25,108 57.5% 990 43,665 R+17.3
Roanoke city 26,780 61.8% 15,627 36.0% 943 43,350 D+25.7
Augusta 10,862 25.7% 30,733 72.6% 725 42,320 R+47.0
York 17,709 45.6% 20,252 52.2% 863 38,824 R+6.6
Lynchburg city 18,011 49.6% 17,084 47.1% 1,215 36,310 D+2.6
Pittsylvania 10,140 29.6% 23,764 69.4% 361 34,265 R+39.8
Campbell 8,088 27.0% 21,245 71.0% 578 29,911 R+44.0
Franklin 8,384 28.2% 20,899 70.3% 426 29,709 R+42.1
Washington 6,626 23.1% 21,702 75.6% 390 28,718 R+52.5
Culpeper 10,619 39.2% 16,015 59.1% 487 27,121 R+19.9
Henry 9,131 35.0% 16,729 64.1% 253 26,113 R+29.1
Charlottesville city 20,579 85.5% 3,078 12.8% 413 24,070 D+72.7
Shenandoah 6,835 28.9% 16,462 69.5% 385 23,682 R+40.7
Isle of Wight 9,406 40.1% 13,706 58.4% 350 23,462 R+18.3
Gloucester 6,964 31.3% 14,873 66.8% 443 22,280 R+35.5
Louisa 8,270 37.7% 13,294 60.7% 352 21,916 R+22.9
Warren 6,605 31.2% 14,070 66.5% 475 21,150 R+35.3
Botetourt 5,700 27.0% 15,099 71.5% 322 21,121 R+44.5
Orange 7,946 38.5% 12,366 59.9% 319 20,631 R+21.4
Tazewell 3,204 15.9% 16,728 83.1% 198 20,130 R+67.2
Powhatan 5,319 27.0% 14,052 71.2% 355 19,726 R+44.3
Danville city 11,686 60.4% 7,414 38.3% 251 19,351 D+22.1
Halifax 7,666 42.0% 10,419 57.1% 163 18,248 R+15.1
Prince George 7,135 40.8% 10,109 57.9% 226 17,470 R+17.0
Pulaski 4,928 28.4% 12,128 69.8% 324 17,380 R+41.4
Harrisonburg city 11,004 64.5% 5,583 32.7% 472 17,059 D+31.8
Amherst 5,683 33.4% 11,043 64.9% 293 17,019 R+31.5
Accomack 7,578 44.7% 9,172 54.1% 213 16,963 R+9.4
Goochland 6,690 39.4% 9,973 58.8% 299 16,962 R+19.4
Manassas city 10,350 61.1% 6,246 36.8% 356 16,952 D+24.2
Wise 3,113 18.7% 13,372 80.4% 139 16,624 R+61.7
Caroline 7,661 47.0% 8,343 51.2% 295 16,299 R+4.2
Mecklenburg 6,802 42.0% 9,265 57.2% 136 16,203 R+15.2
Fluvanna 7,410 46.8% 8,151 51.5% 271 15,832 R+4.7
Carroll 2,844 18.2% 12,664 80.9% 151 15,659 R+62.7
Dinwiddie 6,231 41.3% 8,696 57.6% 173 15,100 R+16.3
Wythe 3,142 20.9% 11,730 77.8% 197 15,069 R+57.0
New Kent 4,624 32.0% 9,634 66.6% 211 14,469 R+34.6
King George 5,403 38.0% 8,445 59.4% 374 14,222 R+21.4
Smyth 3,008 21.3% 10,962 77.6% 165 14,135 R+56.3
Petersburg city 12,363 87.7% 1,590 11.3% 145 14,098 D+76.4
Fairfax city 9,158 68.0% 4,002 29.7% 302 13,462 D+38.3
Russell 2,373 17.7% 10,881 81.3% 134 13,388 R+63.5
Salem city 5,146 39.5% 7,676 58.9% 219 13,041 R+19.4
Staunton city 6,968 53.7% 5,685 43.8% 314 12,967 D+9.9
Fredericksburg city 8,495 66.2% 4,037 31.4% 308 12,840 D+34.7
Page 3,007 24.0% 9,345 74.7% 162 12,514 R+50.6
Rockbridge 4,111 33.1% 8,105 65.3% 200 12,416 R+32.2
Winchester city 6,582 54.6% 5,199 43.1% 274 12,055 D+11.5
Greene 4,161 36.8% 6,863 60.7% 282 11,306 R+23.9
Scott 1,692 15.6% 9,063 83.4% 114 10,869 R+67.8
King William 3,259 30.4% 7,317 68.2% 156 10,732 R+37.8
Waynesboro city 4,952 46.3% 5,498 51.4% 249 10,699 R+5.1
Buchanan 1,587 15.9% 8,312 83.5% 55 9,954 R+67.6
Lee 1,489 15.0% 8,366 84.1% 92 9,947 R+69.1
Westmoreland 4,501 45.3% 5,319 53.5% 114 9,934 R+8.2
Southampton 3,977 40.6% 5,735 58.5% 87 9,799 R+17.9
Prince Edward 4,972 51.9% 4,434 46.3% 167 9,573 D+5.6
Hopewell city 5,405 56.5% 4,005 41.9% 158 9,568 D+14.6
Patrick 1,955 20.5% 7,488 78.5% 95 9,538 R+58.0
Floyd 3,004 31.9% 6,226 66.2% 179 9,409 R+34.2
Clarke 3,929 42.0% 5,206 55.6% 226 9,361 R+13.6
Nelson 4,326 46.4% 4,811 51.7% 177 9,314 R+5.2
Appomattox 2,417 26.1% 6,700 72.3% 148 9,265 R+46.2
Giles 2,157 23.5% 6,877 74.9% 144 9,178 R+51.4
Colonial Heights city 2,970 32.6% 5,984 65.6% 166 9,120 R+33.0
Falls Church city 7,120 81.0% 1,489 16.9% 182 8,791 D+64.1
Alleghany 2,249 27.4% 5,868 71.4% 102 8,219 R+44.0
Grayson 1,536 18.9% 6,531 80.3% 67 8,134 R+61.4
Madison 2,700 33.2% 5,303 65.2% 131 8,134 R+32.0
Buckingham 3,473 42.7% 4,547 55.9% 111 8,131 R+13.2
Brunswick 4,552 57.3% 3,358 42.2% 39 7,949 D+15.0
Amelia 2,412 30.5% 5,393 68.3% 92 7,897 R+37.7
Poquoson city 2,054 26.1% 5,605 71.3% 198 7,857 R+45.2
Northumberland 3,252 41.6% 4,485 57.4% 79 7,816 R+15.8
Bristol city 2,304 29.6% 5,325 68.5% 146 7,775 R+38.9
Dickenson 1,503 20.6% 5,749 78.7% 53 7,305 R+58.1
Lancaster 3,367 47.1% 3,696 51.7% 88 7,151 R+4.6
Nottoway 2,971 42.0% 4,025 56.9% 80 7,076 R+14.9
Williamsburg city 4,774 69.6% 1,959 28.5% 130 6,863 D+41.0
Middlesex 2,490 36.7% 4,195 61.8% 98 6,783 R+25.1
Northampton 3,667 54.5% 2,955 43.9% 109 6,731 D+10.6
Radford city 3,345 53.1% 2,778 44.1% 175 6,298 D+9.0
Charlotte 2,317 37.4% 3,815 61.6% 59 6,191 R+24.2
Essex 3,038 49.2% 3,075 49.8% 65 6,178 R+0.6
Manassas Park city 3,986 65.6% 1,975 32.5% 115 6,076 D+33.1
Martinsville city 3,761 62.7% 2,159 36.0% 82 6,002 D+26.7
Lunenburg 2,419 40.3% 3,537 58.9% 45 6,001 R+18.6
Mathews 1,826 31.3% 3,902 67.0% 100 5,828 R+35.6
Cumberland 2,227 41.9% 3,020 56.9% 64 5,311 R+14.9
Sussex 2,829 55.5% 2,221 43.6% 43 5,093 D+11.9
Rappahannock 2,096 42.1% 2,811 56.5% 70 4,977 R+14.4
Greensville 2,681 57.6% 1,938 41.7% 34 4,653 D+16.0
Surry 2,397 53.6% 2,025 45.3% 49 4,471 D+8.3
Charles City 2,625 59.1% 1,763 39.7% 57 4,445 D+19.4
King and Queen 1,593 38.6% 2,456 59.6% 75 4,124 R+20.9
Richmond 1,513 36.9% 2,547 62.1% 42 4,102 R+25.2
Franklin city 2,509 62.2% 1,480 36.7% 46 4,035 D+25.5
Bland 533 15.3% 2,905 83.4% 44 3,482 R+68.1
Craig 587 18.5% 2,536 80.0% 47 3,170 R+61.5
Buena Vista city 823 29.7% 1,857 67.1% 87 2,767 R+37.4
Lexington city 1,769 64.8% 895 32.8% 64 2,728 D+32.0
Galax city 774 29.4% 1,832 69.7% 24 2,630 R+40.2
Covington city 957 37.0% 1,570 60.7% 59 2,586 R+23.7
Bath 646 25.8% 1,834 73.3% 21 2,501 R+47.5
Emporia city 1,554 67.7% 728 31.7% 15 2,297 D+36.0
Norton city 460 29.0% 1,100 69.3% 28 1,588 R+40.3
Highland 417 27.2% 1,093 71.3% 24 1,534 R+44.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.8
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+5.3
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+3.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+6.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+8.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+8.0
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.0
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+20.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+25.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+37.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.9
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+7.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+17.0
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+6.8
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+25.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.4
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+8.0
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+29.7
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+23.7
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+35.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+48.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+22.2
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+24.8
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+11.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+6.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+21.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+1.0