United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in North Carolina

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in North Carolina in 2020, 49.9% to 48.6%, a margin of 1.3 points and 74,483 votes.

North Carolina voted 5.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 75 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 25. The largest, Wake, cast 631,733 votes and went to the Democrat by 26.5 points. The closest was Pasquotank, where 62 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,758,775 49.9%
Joe Biden Democratic 2,684,292 48.6%
All other candidates 81,737 1.5%
Total5,524,804

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 393,286 62.3% 226,152 35.8% 12,295 631,733 D+26.5
Mecklenburg 378,080 66.7% 179,204 31.6% 9,734 567,018 D+35.1
Guilford 173,091 60.8% 107,310 37.7% 4,107 284,508 D+23.1
Forsyth 113,042 56.2% 85,100 42.3% 3,173 201,315 D+13.9
Durham 144,696 80.4% 32,461 18.0% 2,767 179,924 D+62.4
Buncombe 96,520 59.7% 62,424 38.6% 2,642 161,586 D+21.1
Cumberland 84,460 57.4% 60,029 40.8% 2,648 147,137 D+16.6
New Hanover 66,135 50.2% 63,328 48.0% 2,361 131,824 D+2.1
Union 48,738 37.2% 80,391 61.4% 1,905 131,034 R+24.2
Cabarrus 52,150 44.5% 63,232 53.9% 1,828 117,210 R+9.5
Gaston 40,969 35.5% 73,027 63.2% 1,506 115,502 R+27.8
Johnston 41,260 37.1% 68,352 61.4% 1,747 111,359 R+24.3
Iredell 33,883 33.1% 67,001 65.5% 1,472 102,356 R+32.4
Brunswick 33,310 36.9% 55,850 61.9% 1,015 90,175 R+25.0
Davidson 22,624 25.6% 64,619 73.0% 1,220 88,463 R+47.5
Pitt 47,249 54.0% 38,979 44.5% 1,338 87,566 D+9.4
Alamance 38,814 45.1% 46,047 53.5% 1,209 86,070 R+8.4
Orange 63,604 74.8% 20,186 23.7% 1,227 85,017 D+51.1
Catawba 25,687 30.8% 56,585 67.8% 1,148 83,420 R+37.0
Rowan 23,125 31.5% 49,300 67.1% 997 73,422 R+35.7
Randolph 15,616 21.3% 56,882 77.6% 804 73,302 R+56.3
Onslow 24,265 33.6% 46,075 63.8% 1,891 72,231 R+30.2
Henderson 27,203 39.8% 40,016 58.5% 1,127 68,346 R+18.7
Harnett 22,124 37.9% 35,216 60.3% 1,025 58,365 R+22.4
Moore 20,779 35.6% 36,760 63.0% 796 58,335 R+27.4
Wayne 24,215 43.6% 30,708 55.3% 613 55,536 R+11.7
Craven 21,141 39.9% 31,021 58.5% 885 53,047 R+18.6
Nash 25,945 49.6% 25,824 49.4% 497 52,266 D+0.2
Cleveland 16,955 33.0% 33,797 65.9% 555 51,307 R+32.8
Lincoln 13,280 26.4% 36,352 72.4% 602 50,234 R+45.9
Chatham 26,790 55.1% 21,188 43.6% 626 48,604 D+11.5
Rockingham 15,992 33.5% 31,300 65.5% 516 47,808 R+32.0
Robeson 19,024 40.3% 27,808 58.9% 362 47,194 R+18.6
Burke 13,118 29.4% 31,020 69.5% 465 44,603 R+40.1
Caldwell 10,246 23.9% 32,119 75.0% 465 42,830 R+51.1
Carteret 12,092 28.3% 30,026 70.3% 574 42,692 R+42.0
Wilson 20,754 50.9% 19,582 48.1% 401 40,737 D+2.9
Franklin 15,882 42.5% 20,903 56.0% 571 37,356 R+13.4
Surry 8,714 23.8% 27,513 75.2% 378 36,605 R+51.4
Haywood 13,143 36.0% 22,831 62.5% 564 36,538 R+26.5
Wilkes 7,517 21.2% 27,602 77.8% 363 35,482 R+56.6
Rutherford 9,135 26.5% 24,893 72.3% 403 34,431 R+45.8
Pender 11,727 34.3% 21,959 64.3% 490 34,176 R+29.9
Stanly 8,128 24.0% 25,454 75.0% 352 33,934 R+51.1
Watauga 17,121 53.1% 14,450 44.9% 646 32,217 D+8.3
Granville 14,565 46.1% 16,645 52.7% 387 31,597 R+6.6
Lee 12,140 41.9% 16,464 56.8% 396 29,000 R+14.9
Sampson 10,966 38.3% 17,412 60.8% 242 28,620 R+22.5
Lenoir 13,604 47.9% 14,589 51.4% 215 28,408 R+3.5
Columbus 9,446 35.7% 16,833 63.6% 168 26,447 R+27.9
Beaufort 9,632 36.6% 16,435 62.5% 245 26,312 R+25.9
Halifax 15,541 60.4% 10,075 39.1% 134 25,750 D+21.2
Stokes 5,287 20.6% 20,147 78.4% 274 25,708 R+57.8
Edgecombe 16,091 63.2% 9,207 36.1% 181 25,479 D+27.0
Davie 6,716 26.5% 18,233 72.0% 370 25,319 R+45.5
Dare 9,936 41.0% 13,938 57.5% 358 24,232 R+16.5
McDowell 5,834 25.4% 16,885 73.4% 288 23,007 R+48.0
Duplin 8,768 38.6% 13,796 60.7% 154 22,718 R+22.1
Person 8,466 38.7% 13,185 60.2% 246 21,897 R+21.6
Hoke 11,815 54.6% 9,461 43.7% 382 21,658 D+10.9
Jackson 9,591 44.8% 11,357 53.0% 482 21,430 R+8.2
Vance 12,432 59.2% 8,392 40.0% 176 21,000 D+19.2
Richmond 8,754 42.2% 11,830 57.0% 178 20,762 R+14.8
Macon 6,230 30.0% 14,210 68.5% 302 20,742 R+38.5
Transylvania 8,445 41.4% 11,637 57.0% 324 20,406 R+15.6
Alexander 4,147 20.5% 15,890 78.5% 203 20,240 R+58.0
Yadkin 3,765 18.9% 15,935 80.0% 227 19,927 R+61.1
Pasquotank 9,829 49.4% 9,767 49.1% 296 19,892 D+0.3
Bladen 7,326 42.8% 9,675 56.5% 123 17,124 R+13.7
Cherokee 3,583 21.8% 12,626 76.9% 211 16,420 R+55.1
Currituck 4,195 26.0% 11,657 72.2% 295 16,147 R+46.2
Ashe 4,160 26.3% 11,447 72.4% 199 15,806 R+46.1
Scotland 7,186 48.6% 7,475 50.6% 115 14,776 R+2.0
Madison 4,902 37.5% 7,982 61.0% 196 13,080 R+23.5
Montgomery 4,327 33.7% 8,413 65.5% 111 12,851 R+31.8
Martin 5,912 47.1% 6,531 52.1% 98 12,541 R+4.9
Polk 4,519 36.6% 7,691 62.2% 151 12,361 R+25.7
Caswell 4,860 40.3% 7,089 58.8% 102 12,051 R+18.5
Yancey 3,688 32.5% 7,517 66.2% 149 11,354 R+33.7
Anson 5,789 51.7% 5,322 47.5% 85 11,196 D+4.2
Hertford 7,095 66.7% 3,479 32.7% 58 10,632 D+34.0
Warren 6,401 62.2% 3,754 36.5% 141 10,296 D+25.7
Northampton 6,074 60.0% 3,995 39.5% 52 10,121 D+20.5
Bertie 5,940 60.5% 3,818 38.9% 59 9,817 D+21.6
Avery 2,192 23.2% 7,176 75.8% 95 9,463 R+52.7
Mitchell 1,865 20.6% 7,082 78.4% 85 9,032 R+57.8
Greene 3,836 43.8% 4,878 55.7% 47 8,761 R+11.9
Chowan 3,247 41.7% 4,471 57.4% 66 7,784 R+15.7
Pamlico 2,715 35.6% 4,853 63.5% 69 7,637 R+28.0
Perquimans 2,494 33.3% 4,904 65.5% 89 7,487 R+32.2
Swain 2,781 39.3% 4,163 58.9% 128 7,072 R+19.5
Clay 1,700 24.7% 5,113 74.2% 82 6,895 R+49.5
Washington 3,393 54.7% 2,780 44.8% 28 6,201 D+9.9
Alleghany 1,488 24.4% 4,540 74.5% 64 6,092 R+50.1
Gates 2,546 42.6% 3,367 56.4% 58 5,971 R+13.7
Camden 1,538 25.8% 4,313 72.4% 104 5,955 R+46.6
Jones 2,202 39.7% 3,291 59.4% 49 5,542 R+19.6
Graham 905 19.4% 3,710 79.5% 50 4,665 R+60.1
Hyde 1,046 42.0% 1,418 56.9% 29 2,493 R+14.9
Tyrrell 758 41.7% 1,045 57.5% 15 1,818 R+15.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+3.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+1.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.7
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+2.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+0.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+12.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+12.8
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+0.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+11.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+40.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+4.2
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+1.3
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+7.8
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+25.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+46.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+19.2
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+13.5
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+16.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+47.3
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+20.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.6
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+3.6
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+7.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.8