United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in North Carolina

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in North Carolina in 2016, 49.8% to 46.2%, a margin of 3.7 points and 173,315 votes.

North Carolina voted 5.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 76 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 24. The largest, Wake, cast 527,624 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.2 points. The closest was Martin, where 51 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,362,631 49.8%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,189,316 46.2%
All other candidates 189,617 4.0%
Total4,741,564

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 302,736 57.4% 196,082 37.2% 28,806 527,624 D+20.2
Mecklenburg 294,562 62.3% 155,518 32.9% 22,777 472,857 D+29.4
Guilford 149,248 58.0% 98,062 38.1% 10,095 257,405 D+19.9
Forsyth 94,464 53.0% 75,975 42.6% 7,873 178,312 D+10.4
Durham 121,250 77.7% 28,350 18.2% 6,534 156,134 D+59.5
Buncombe 75,452 54.3% 55,716 40.1% 7,779 138,947 D+14.2
Cumberland 71,605 56.2% 51,265 40.2% 4,636 127,506 D+16.0
New Hanover 50,979 45.6% 55,344 49.5% 5,582 111,905 R+3.9
Union 34,337 32.5% 66,707 63.1% 4,666 105,710 R+30.6
Gaston 31,177 32.3% 61,798 64.1% 3,456 96,431 R+31.8
Cabarrus 35,521 38.1% 53,819 57.7% 3,949 93,289 R+19.6
Johnston 28,362 33.0% 54,372 63.3% 3,175 85,909 R+30.3
Iredell 24,734 30.0% 54,754 66.3% 3,079 82,567 R+36.4
Orange 59,923 72.8% 18,557 22.5% 3,860 82,340 D+50.2
Pitt 41,824 51.9% 35,691 44.3% 3,012 80,527 D+7.6
Davidson 18,109 24.2% 54,317 72.6% 2,430 74,856 R+48.4
Catawba 21,216 29.3% 48,324 66.8% 2,811 72,351 R+37.5
Alamance 29,833 41.9% 38,815 54.5% 2,509 71,157 R+12.6
Brunswick 23,282 34.1% 42,720 62.5% 2,349 68,351 R+28.4
Randolph 13,194 20.4% 49,430 76.5% 1,951 64,575 R+56.1
Rowan 19,400 30.1% 42,810 66.5% 2,159 64,369 R+36.4
Henderson 19,827 34.1% 35,809 61.6% 2,540 58,176 R+27.5
Onslow 17,514 30.7% 37,122 65.0% 2,499 57,135 R+34.3
Wayne 21,770 42.9% 27,540 54.3% 1,379 50,689 R+11.4
Moore 16,329 33.5% 30,490 62.6% 1,873 48,692 R+29.1
Nash 23,235 48.7% 23,319 48.9% 1,111 47,665 R+0.2
Craven 17,630 37.5% 27,731 59.0% 1,640 47,001 R+21.5
Harnett 16,737 36.3% 27,614 59.9% 1,714 46,065 R+23.6
Cleveland 14,964 33.5% 28,479 63.7% 1,230 44,673 R+30.3
Rockingham 14,228 33.7% 26,830 63.5% 1,220 42,278 R+29.8
Robeson 19,016 46.5% 20,762 50.8% 1,080 40,858 R+4.3
Lincoln 9,897 24.7% 28,806 72.0% 1,320 40,023 R+47.2
Chatham 21,065 52.9% 17,105 42.9% 1,679 39,849 D+9.9
Burke 11,251 28.9% 26,238 67.4% 1,431 38,920 R+38.5
Wilson 19,663 51.6% 17,531 46.0% 941 38,135 D+5.6
Carteret 9,939 26.3% 26,569 70.3% 1,273 37,781 R+44.0
Caldwell 8,425 23.2% 26,621 73.3% 1,274 36,320 R+50.1
Surry 7,488 23.3% 23,671 73.5% 1,037 32,196 R+50.3
Wilkes 6,638 21.2% 23,752 75.9% 906 31,296 R+54.7
Haywood 10,473 34.1% 18,929 61.6% 1,325 30,727 R+27.5
Franklin 12,874 42.4% 16,368 53.9% 1,126 30,368 R+11.5
Rutherford 7,512 24.8% 21,871 72.2% 924 30,307 R+47.4
Watauga 14,138 47.2% 13,697 45.7% 2,150 29,985 D+1.5
Stanly 7,094 23.7% 21,964 73.4% 859 29,917 R+49.7
Pender 9,354 33.5% 17,639 63.3% 892 27,885 R+29.7
Granville 12,909 47.2% 13,591 49.7% 853 27,353 R+2.5
Lenoir 12,634 47.1% 13,613 50.8% 560 26,807 R+3.7
Sampson 10,547 40.7% 14,838 57.2% 543 25,928 R+16.5
Halifax 15,748 62.6% 9,031 35.9% 388 25,167 D+26.7
Lee 10,469 41.7% 13,712 54.7% 903 25,084 R+12.9
Edgecombe 16,224 65.2% 8,261 33.2% 401 24,886 D+32.0
Beaufort 8,764 36.6% 14,543 60.8% 631 23,938 R+24.1
Columbus 9,063 38.2% 14,272 60.1% 397 23,732 R+21.9
Stokes 4,665 20.7% 17,116 75.9% 769 22,550 R+55.2
Davie 5,270 24.2% 15,602 71.7% 884 21,756 R+47.5
Duplin 8,283 39.7% 12,217 58.6% 356 20,856 R+18.9
Vance 12,229 61.2% 7,332 36.7% 416 19,977 D+24.5
McDowell 4,667 23.5% 14,568 73.3% 640 19,875 R+49.8
Person 7,833 39.9% 11,185 57.0% 597 19,615 R+17.1
Dare 7,222 36.8% 11,460 58.4% 927 19,609 R+21.6
Richmond 8,501 44.0% 10,383 53.7% 444 19,328 R+9.7
Jackson 7,713 41.2% 9,870 52.7% 1,130 18,713 R+11.5
Alexander 3,767 20.6% 13,893 76.0% 611 18,271 R+55.4
Hoke 9,726 53.4% 7,760 42.6% 744 18,230 D+10.8
Transylvania 6,558 36.7% 10,520 58.9% 791 17,869 R+22.2
Macon 4,876 27.5% 12,127 68.4% 731 17,734 R+40.9
Yadkin 3,160 17.9% 13,880 78.8% 584 17,624 R+60.8
Pasquotank 8,615 49.5% 8,180 47.0% 596 17,391 D+2.5
Bladen 7,058 44.4% 8,550 53.8% 289 15,897 R+9.4
Cherokee 2,860 20.2% 10,844 76.5% 477 14,181 R+56.3
Scotland 7,319 52.5% 6,256 44.9% 353 13,928 D+7.6
Ashe 3,500 26.1% 9,412 70.1% 512 13,424 R+44.0
Currituck 2,913 23.0% 9,163 72.3% 593 12,669 R+49.3
Martin 5,846 48.9% 5,897 49.3% 221 11,964 R+0.4
Montgomery 4,150 36.0% 7,130 61.8% 260 11,540 R+25.8
Madison 3,926 34.8% 6,783 60.2% 560 11,269 R+25.4
Caswell 4,792 43.3% 6,026 54.4% 252 11,070 R+11.1
Polk 3,735 34.2% 6,768 61.9% 431 10,934 R+27.7
Anson 5,859 55.6% 4,506 42.7% 180 10,545 D+12.8
Hertford 6,910 67.8% 3,099 30.4% 177 10,186 D+37.4
Yancey 3,196 32.1% 6,385 64.1% 379 9,960 R+32.0
Northampton 6,144 62.4% 3,582 36.4% 122 9,848 D+26.0
Warren 6,413 65.2% 3,214 32.7% 215 9,842 D+32.5
Bertie 5,778 61.8% 3,456 37.0% 113 9,347 D+24.8
Avery 1,689 20.5% 6,298 76.3% 262 8,249 R+55.9
Mitchell 1,596 19.7% 6,282 77.6% 218 8,096 R+57.9
Greene 3,605 44.5% 4,374 54.0% 116 8,095 R+9.5
Chowan 2,992 41.4% 4,014 55.5% 222 7,228 R+14.1
Pamlico 2,448 35.6% 4,258 62.0% 164 6,870 R+26.3
Perquimans 2,319 34.6% 4,177 62.3% 212 6,708 R+27.7
Washington 3,510 56.9% 2,564 41.6% 91 6,165 D+15.3
Swain 2,196 35.9% 3,565 58.2% 363 6,124 R+22.4
Clay 1,367 22.7% 4,437 73.8% 206 6,010 R+51.1
Gates 2,385 44.2% 2,874 53.3% 133 5,392 R+9.1
Alleghany 1,306 24.6% 3,814 71.8% 195 5,315 R+47.2
Jones 2,065 40.2% 2,974 57.9% 96 5,135 R+17.7
Camden 1,274 25.4% 3,546 70.8% 186 5,006 R+45.4
Graham 768 18.4% 3,283 78.8% 117 4,168 R+60.3
Hyde 965 41.9% 1,288 55.9% 51 2,304 R+14.0
Tyrrell 720 41.4% 975 56.1% 44 1,739 R+14.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+3.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+1.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.7
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+2.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+0.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+12.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+12.8
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+0.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+11.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+40.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+4.2
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+1.3
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+7.8
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+25.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+46.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+19.2
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+13.5
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+16.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+47.3
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+20.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.6
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+3.6
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+7.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.8