United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Arkansas

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Arkansas in 2016, 60.6% to 33.7%, a margin of 26.9 points and 304,378 votes.

Arkansas voted 29.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 67 of the 75 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Pulaski, cast 159,776 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.7 points. The closest was Monroe, where 177 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 684,872 60.6%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 380,494 33.7%
All other candidates 65,310 5.8%
Total1,130,676

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Pulaski 89,574 56.1% 61,257 38.3% 8,945 159,776 D+17.7
Benton 28,005 28.9% 60,871 62.9% 7,948 96,824 R+33.9
Washington 33,366 40.8% 41,476 50.7% 7,019 81,861 R+9.9
Saline 13,256 25.4% 35,863 68.8% 2,981 52,100 R+43.4
Faulkner 14,629 30.8% 29,346 61.7% 3,552 47,527 R+31.0
Sebastian 12,300 27.6% 29,127 65.3% 3,210 44,637 R+37.7
Garland 12,311 30.2% 26,087 63.9% 2,407 40,805 R+33.8
Craighead 10,538 29.6% 22,892 64.4% 2,143 35,573 R+34.7
White 5,170 19.0% 21,077 77.4% 972 27,219 R+58.4
Lonoke 5,664 20.9% 19,958 73.6% 1,478 27,100 R+52.7
Jefferson 15,772 60.9% 9,250 35.7% 872 25,894 D+25.2
Pope 5,000 22.2% 16,256 72.0% 1,313 22,569 R+49.9
Crawford 4,488 20.0% 16,686 74.3% 1,276 22,450 R+54.3
Baxter 4,169 21.1% 14,682 74.3% 915 19,766 R+53.2
Union 5,855 34.7% 10,456 61.9% 583 16,894 R+27.2
Boone 2,926 18.2% 12,235 75.9% 950 16,111 R+57.8
Miller 4,273 26.6% 11,294 70.2% 524 16,091 R+43.6
Crittenden 8,410 52.7% 6,964 43.7% 578 15,952 D+9.1
Greene 3,071 21.0% 10,720 73.4% 809 14,600 R+52.4
Independence 2,881 21.2% 9,936 73.0% 797 13,614 R+51.8
Mississippi 5,670 42.9% 7,061 53.5% 473 13,204 R+10.5
Cleburne 2,101 17.4% 9,458 78.3% 526 12,085 R+60.9
Hot Spring 3,149 26.4% 8,172 68.4% 623 11,944 R+42.1
Carroll 3,342 31.1% 6,786 63.1% 630 10,758 R+32.0
Ouachita 4,321 43.5% 5,351 53.9% 263 9,935 R+10.4
Johnson 2,427 26.6% 6,091 66.8% 594 9,112 R+40.2
Columbia 3,140 35.3% 5,456 61.4% 291 8,887 R+26.1
Clark 3,620 42.5% 4,404 51.7% 502 8,526 R+9.2
Polk 1,212 14.7% 6,618 80.4% 401 8,231 R+65.7
Ashley 2,408 29.8% 5,338 66.0% 337 8,083 R+36.2
Conway 2,656 33.5% 4,849 61.2% 422 7,927 R+27.7
Logan 1,715 21.7% 5,746 72.5% 460 7,921 R+50.9
Poinsett 1,880 24.3% 5,502 71.3% 340 7,722 R+46.9
Grant 1,373 18.4% 5,725 76.9% 347 7,445 R+58.5
St. Francis 4,031 54.3% 3,195 43.0% 204 7,430 D+11.3
Van Buren 1,549 21.1% 5,382 73.3% 408 7,339 R+52.2
Sharp 1,472 20.3% 5,407 74.6% 370 7,249 R+54.3
Marion 1,434 20.2% 5,336 75.1% 337 7,107 R+54.9
Hempstead 2,377 33.7% 4,401 62.4% 271 7,049 R+28.7
Phillips 4,310 62.0% 2,446 35.2% 197 6,953 D+26.8
Cross 1,999 29.1% 4,584 66.7% 291 6,874 R+37.6
Madison 1,588 23.2% 4,928 72.0% 325 6,841 R+48.8
Franklin 1,376 20.3% 5,039 74.4% 355 6,770 R+54.1
Drew 2,365 35.9% 3,968 60.2% 262 6,595 R+24.3
Yell 1,480 23.0% 4,608 71.6% 351 6,439 R+48.6
Randolph 1,425 22.3% 4,509 70.7% 445 6,379 R+48.3
Arkansas 1,939 31.2% 3,826 61.6% 447 6,212 R+30.4
Lawrence 1,263 22.2% 4,064 71.5% 358 5,685 R+49.3
Stone 1,203 21.4% 4,113 73.2% 302 5,618 R+51.8
Izard 1,113 20.4% 4,042 74.2% 293 5,448 R+53.8
Little River 1,397 26.7% 3,605 69.0% 225 5,227 R+42.2
Clay 1,199 23.1% 3,781 72.7% 220 5,200 R+49.7
Jackson 1,583 30.7% 3,267 63.4% 306 5,156 R+32.7
Fulton 1,067 22.4% 3,471 72.7% 234 4,772 R+50.4
Howard 1,351 28.9% 3,157 67.5% 166 4,674 R+38.6
Sevier 1,075 23.6% 3,282 71.9% 205 4,562 R+48.4
Perry 1,049 24.4% 3,008 69.9% 249 4,306 R+45.5
Desha 2,228 52.3% 1,919 45.1% 110 4,257 D+7.3
Chicot 2,350 56.3% 1,716 41.1% 110 4,176 D+15.2
Pike 685 17.2% 3,150 79.1% 146 3,981 R+61.9
Lincoln 1,252 32.7% 2,455 64.2% 119 3,826 R+31.4
Newton 699 18.6% 2,875 76.6% 179 3,753 R+58.0
Searcy 601 16.1% 2,955 79.3% 172 3,728 R+63.1
Bradley 1,317 36.1% 2,164 59.2% 172 3,653 R+23.2
Montgomery 748 21.0% 2,643 74.3% 168 3,559 R+53.2
Scott 602 17.2% 2,731 77.8% 177 3,510 R+60.7
Prairie 814 23.6% 2,505 72.7% 125 3,444 R+49.1
Cleveland 723 21.6% 2,462 73.4% 169 3,354 R+51.8
Nevada 1,157 35.6% 2,000 61.6% 89 3,246 R+26.0
Lee 1,735 57.3% 1,229 40.6% 62 3,026 D+16.7
Monroe 1,312 45.5% 1,489 51.6% 83 2,884 R+6.1
Lafayette 1,032 36.1% 1,758 61.5% 70 2,860 R+25.4
Dallas 1,165 42.0% 1,509 54.5% 97 2,771 R+12.4
Woodruff 1,118 43.5% 1,347 52.4% 106 2,571 R+8.9
Calhoun 639 28.2% 1,556 68.6% 74 2,269 R+40.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arkansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.6
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+27.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.9
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+23.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+19.9
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+9.8
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+5.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+14.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+30.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.1
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.1
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+6.6
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+12.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+40.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.1
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+58.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+63.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+73.1
1928 Al Smith (D) D+20.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+31.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+19.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+37.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+34.6
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+20.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+15.2
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+28.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+48.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+27.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+16.8
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.1
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+17.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+20.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.4