United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2016 president · California
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in California

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in California in 2016, 61.7% to 31.6%, a margin of 30.1 points and 4,269,978 votes.

California voted 28.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Democrats led in 33 of the 58 counties and Republicans in 25. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 3,434,308 votes and went to the Democrat by 49.3 points. The closest was Alpine, where 117 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 8,753,788 61.7%
Donald Trump Republican 4,483,810 31.6%
All other candidates 943,997 6.7%
Total14,181,595

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Los Angeles 2,464,364 71.8% 769,743 22.4% 200,201 3,434,308 D+49.3
San Diego 735,476 56.3% 477,766 36.6% 93,158 1,306,400 D+19.7
Orange 609,961 50.9% 507,148 42.3% 80,412 1,197,521 D+8.6
Riverside 373,695 49.7% 333,243 44.4% 44,453 751,391 D+5.4
Santa Clara 511,684 72.7% 144,826 20.6% 47,199 703,709 D+52.1
Alameda 514,842 78.7% 95,922 14.7% 43,502 654,266 D+64.0
San Bernardino 340,833 52.1% 271,240 41.5% 41,910 653,983 D+10.6
Sacramento 326,023 58.3% 189,789 33.9% 43,518 559,330 D+24.4
Contra Costa 319,287 68.5% 115,956 24.9% 30,932 466,175 D+43.6
San Francisco 345,084 85.0% 37,688 9.3% 23,020 405,792 D+75.8
Ventura 194,402 55.3% 132,323 37.6% 25,001 351,726 D+17.6
San Mateo 237,882 75.7% 57,929 18.4% 18,573 314,384 D+57.2
Fresno 141,341 50.1% 124,049 43.9% 16,929 282,319 D+6.1
Kern 98,689 40.4% 129,584 53.1% 15,890 244,163 R+12.7
Sonoma 160,435 69.4% 51,408 22.2% 19,410 231,253 D+47.1
San Joaquin 121,124 54.0% 88,936 39.7% 14,106 224,166 D+14.4
Placer 73,509 40.2% 95,138 52.0% 14,192 182,839 R+11.8
Santa Barbara 107,142 60.6% 56,365 31.9% 13,279 176,786 D+28.7
Stanislaus 81,647 47.4% 78,494 45.6% 12,005 172,146 D+1.8
Solano 102,360 61.6% 51,920 31.3% 11,833 166,113 D+30.4
Marin 108,707 78.1% 21,771 15.6% 8,795 139,273 D+62.4
San Luis Obispo 67,107 49.7% 56,164 41.6% 11,738 135,009 D+8.1
Monterey 89,088 66.8% 34,895 26.2% 9,425 133,408 D+40.6
Santa Cruz 95,249 73.9% 22,438 17.4% 11,134 128,821 D+56.5
Tulare 47,585 42.4% 58,299 51.9% 6,450 112,334 R+9.5
Butte 41,567 43.5% 45,144 47.2% 8,853 95,564 R+3.7
El Dorado 36,404 38.9% 49,247 52.6% 7,940 93,591 R+13.7
Yolo 54,752 66.7% 20,739 25.3% 6,599 82,090 D+41.4
Shasta 22,301 27.9% 51,778 64.7% 5,974 80,053 R+36.8
Merced 37,317 52.7% 28,725 40.6% 4,747 70,789 D+12.1
Napa 39,199 63.9% 17,411 28.4% 4,762 61,372 D+35.5
Humboldt 33,200 56.0% 18,373 31.0% 7,673 59,246 D+25.0
Nevada 26,053 47.4% 23,365 42.5% 5,517 54,935 D+4.9
Imperial 32,667 67.9% 12,704 26.4% 2,720 48,091 D+41.5
Madera 17,029 39.5% 23,357 54.2% 2,726 43,112 R+14.7
Mendocino 22,079 58.9% 10,888 29.1% 4,510 37,477 D+29.9
Kings 13,617 40.2% 18,093 53.3% 2,205 33,915 R+13.2
Sutter 13,076 39.0% 18,176 54.2% 2,271 33,523 R+15.2
Tuolumne 9,123 35.7% 14,551 57.0% 1,855 25,529 R+21.3
Lake 11,496 46.9% 10,599 43.3% 2,401 24,496 D+3.7
Tehama 6,809 28.5% 15,494 64.8% 1,605 23,908 R+36.3
Calaveras 7,944 34.3% 13,511 58.4% 1,681 23,136 R+24.1
Yuba 7,910 34.4% 13,170 57.3% 1,918 22,998 R+22.9
San Benito 12,521 57.1% 7,841 35.8% 1,562 21,924 D+21.3
Siskiyou 7,234 35.3% 11,341 55.3% 1,917 20,492 R+20.0
Amador 6,004 33.9% 10,485 59.1% 1,245 17,734 R+25.3
Lassen 2,224 21.1% 7,574 72.0% 726 10,524 R+50.8
Plumas 3,459 35.7% 5,420 56.0% 797 9,676 R+20.3
Del Norte 3,485 36.5% 5,134 53.7% 939 9,558 R+17.3
Glenn 3,065 32.4% 5,788 61.1% 617 9,470 R+28.8
Mariposa 3,122 35.2% 5,185 58.4% 570 8,877 R+23.2
Inyo 3,155 39.0% 4,248 52.5% 683 8,086 R+13.5
Colusa 2,661 40.1% 3,551 53.5% 420 6,632 R+13.4
Trinity 2,214 38.9% 2,812 49.5% 660 5,686 R+10.5
Mono 2,773 52.6% 2,111 40.0% 392 5,276 D+12.5
Modoc 877 23.2% 2,696 71.2% 215 3,788 R+48.0
Sierra 601 32.8% 1,048 57.3% 181 1,830 R+24.4
Alpine 334 55.5% 217 36.0% 51 602 D+19.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

California in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+20.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.2
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+30.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+23.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+24.1
2004 John Kerry (D) D+9.9
2000 Al Gore (D) D+11.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+12.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.8
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.8
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+0.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+0.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+35.3
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+30.5
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+49.0
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+41.9
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+0.4
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+22.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+34.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+13.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.1
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+6.6
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+1.8
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+0.5