United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Wisconsin

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Wisconsin in 2016, 47.2% to 46.5%, a margin of 0.8 points and 22,748 votes.

Wisconsin voted 2.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Wisconsin changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 60 of the 72 counties and Democrats in 12. The largest, Milwaukee, cast 440,247 votes and went to the Democrat by 37.0 points. The closest was Sauk, where 99 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,405,284 47.2%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 1,382,536 46.5%
All other candidates 188,330 6.3%
Total2,976,150

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Milwaukee 288,797 65.6% 125,846 28.6% 25,604 440,247 D+37.0
Dane 217,526 70.2% 71,279 23.0% 21,212 310,017 D+47.2
Waukesha 79,200 33.1% 142,521 59.6% 17,321 239,042 R+26.5
Brown 53,364 41.4% 67,199 52.1% 8,416 128,979 R+10.7
Racine 42,512 45.2% 46,611 49.5% 5,010 94,133 R+4.4
Outagamie 38,087 40.6% 49,884 53.1% 5,897 93,868 R+12.6
Winnebago 37,054 42.5% 43,448 49.9% 6,642 87,144 R+7.3
Washington 20,855 26.7% 51,729 66.3% 5,419 78,003 R+39.6
Kenosha 35,771 46.4% 36,025 46.7% 5,280 77,076 R+0.3
Rock 39,343 51.7% 31,488 41.4% 5,237 76,068 D+10.3
Marathon 26,477 38.1% 39,013 56.1% 4,025 69,515 R+18.0
La Crosse 32,406 51.5% 26,389 41.9% 4,173 62,968 D+9.6
Sheboygan 22,956 38.5% 32,458 54.4% 4,241 59,655 R+15.9
Eau Claire 27,294 49.7% 23,311 42.5% 4,280 54,885 D+7.3
Ozaukee 20,168 37.0% 30,430 55.8% 3,925 54,523 R+18.8
Fond du Lac 17,391 33.9% 31,044 60.5% 2,892 51,327 R+26.6
Walworth 18,706 36.4% 28,851 56.2% 3,767 51,324 R+19.8
St. Croix 17,486 36.8% 26,220 55.2% 3,802 47,508 R+18.4
Jefferson 16,561 38.4% 23,410 54.3% 3,175 43,146 R+15.9
Dodge 13,968 32.4% 26,643 61.9% 2,454 43,065 R+29.4
Manitowoc 14,506 36.0% 23,193 57.5% 2,647 40,346 R+21.5
Portage 18,521 48.1% 17,306 45.0% 2,669 38,496 D+3.2
Wood 14,232 37.7% 21,503 56.9% 2,065 37,800 R+19.2
Chippewa 11,886 37.7% 17,909 56.7% 1,766 31,561 R+19.1
Sauk 14,692 46.9% 14,791 47.2% 1,835 31,318 R+0.3
Columbia 13,526 45.4% 14,160 47.6% 2,085 29,771 R+2.1
Calumet 9,646 36.2% 15,348 57.6% 1,656 26,650 R+21.4
Waupaca 8,440 32.4% 16,189 62.2% 1,395 26,024 R+29.8
Grant 10,046 41.3% 12,349 50.8% 1,926 24,321 R+9.5
Polk 7,570 33.3% 13,815 60.7% 1,364 22,749 R+27.5
Barron 7,879 34.8% 13,606 60.1% 1,158 22,643 R+25.3
Douglas 11,345 50.4% 9,659 42.9% 1,507 22,511 D+7.5
Dunn 9,026 40.9% 11,488 52.0% 1,577 22,091 R+11.1
Oneida 8,104 37.7% 12,117 56.4% 1,252 21,473 R+18.7
Pierce 8,382 39.6% 11,258 53.1% 1,549 21,189 R+13.6
Marinette 6,243 31.1% 12,995 64.8% 808 20,046 R+33.7
Oconto 5,884 29.5% 13,253 66.3% 841 19,978 R+36.9
Shawano 6,056 30.7% 12,742 64.5% 953 19,751 R+33.9
Monroe 7,048 35.8% 11,352 57.7% 1,270 19,670 R+21.9
Green 9,122 48.0% 8,693 45.8% 1,170 18,985 D+2.3
Door 8,026 45.6% 8,584 48.8% 998 17,608 R+3.2
Lincoln 5,370 36.5% 8,400 57.1% 936 14,706 R+20.6
Vernon 6,352 44.7% 6,996 49.2% 865 14,213 R+4.5
Trempealeau 5,636 41.2% 7,364 53.9% 675 13,675 R+12.6
Vilas 4,770 35.0% 8,169 60.0% 673 13,612 R+25.0
Clark 4,227 31.1% 8,646 63.6% 723 13,596 R+32.5
Iowa 6,669 54.4% 4,809 39.2% 782 12,260 D+15.2
Waushara 3,792 31.6% 7,669 63.9% 538 11,999 R+32.3
Juneau 4,073 34.7% 7,123 60.7% 536 11,732 R+26.0
Kewaunee 3,623 33.7% 6,616 61.5% 519 10,758 R+27.8
Adams 3,770 37.1% 5,983 58.9% 411 10,164 R+21.8
Langlade 3,260 32.2% 6,436 63.5% 436 10,132 R+31.3
Bayfield 4,954 52.0% 4,125 43.3% 450 9,529 D+8.7
Taylor 2,398 25.3% 6,589 69.5% 497 9,484 R+44.2
Green Lake 2,701 28.8% 6,213 66.2% 474 9,388 R+37.4
Jackson 3,821 41.2% 4,907 52.9% 544 9,272 R+11.7
Washburn 3,284 35.9% 5,404 59.1% 460 9,148 R+23.2
Sawyer 3,504 38.4% 5,185 56.8% 432 9,121 R+18.4
Burnett 2,948 33.7% 5,412 61.9% 383 8,743 R+28.2
Richland 3,577 44.4% 4,023 49.9% 455 8,055 R+5.5
Ashland 4,228 52.7% 3,302 41.1% 499 8,029 D+11.5
Marquette 2,809 35.6% 4,714 59.7% 370 7,893 R+24.1
Crawford 3,425 44.2% 3,844 49.6% 475 7,744 R+5.4
Lafayette 3,288 42.9% 3,977 51.9% 397 7,662 R+9.0
Price 2,669 35.2% 4,562 60.2% 346 7,577 R+25.0
Rusk 2,171 30.6% 4,564 64.4% 352 7,087 R+33.8
Buffalo 2,531 36.2% 4,049 57.9% 408 6,988 R+21.7
Forest 1,584 34.9% 2,788 61.4% 168 4,540 R+26.5
Pepin 1,345 36.0% 2,206 59.0% 188 3,739 R+23.0
Iron 1,273 36.4% 2,090 59.8% 134 3,497 R+23.4
Florence 666 25.1% 1,897 71.4% 94 2,657 R+46.3
Menominee 1,003 78.4% 269 21.0% 7 1,279 D+57.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Wisconsin in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+0.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.8
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+6.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+13.9
2004 John Kerry (D) D+0.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+9.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+4.7
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+23.7
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+4.4
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.5
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+32.3
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.2
1924 Robert M. La Follette (other)
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+54.9
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+6.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+8.4
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.8
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+35.2
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.1
1896 William McKinley (R) R+22.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+4.6
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+11.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+12.5