United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Tennessee

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2016, 60.7% to 34.7%, a margin of 26.0 points and 652,230 votes.

Tennessee voted 28.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 92 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Shelby, cast 337,383 votes and went to the Democrat by 27.5 points. The closest was Haywood, where 698 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,522,925 60.7%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 870,695 34.7%
All other candidates 114,407 4.6%
Total2,508,027

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 208,992 61.9% 116,344 34.5% 12,047 337,383 D+27.5
Davidson 148,864 59.8% 84,550 33.9% 15,654 249,068 D+25.8
Knox 62,878 34.8% 105,767 58.5% 12,052 180,697 R+23.7
Hamilton 55,316 38.8% 78,733 55.3% 8,359 142,408 R+16.4
Rutherford 36,706 34.2% 64,515 60.0% 6,215 107,436 R+25.9
Williamson 31,013 29.2% 68,212 64.2% 7,046 106,271 R+35.0
Sumner 18,161 25.4% 50,129 70.1% 3,215 71,505 R+44.7
Sullivan 12,578 20.2% 46,979 75.4% 2,721 62,278 R+55.2
Montgomery 21,699 37.7% 32,341 56.1% 3,580 57,620 R+18.5
Wilson 14,385 25.4% 39,406 69.5% 2,943 56,734 R+44.1
Blount 12,100 23.2% 37,443 71.7% 2,665 52,208 R+48.5
Washington 13,024 26.2% 34,252 68.8% 2,474 49,750 R+42.7
Bradley 7,070 18.3% 29,768 77.0% 1,828 38,666 R+58.7
Madison 15,448 40.5% 21,335 56.0% 1,337 38,120 R+15.4
Sevier 6,297 17.3% 28,629 78.8% 1,386 36,312 R+61.5
Maury 10,038 28.4% 23,799 67.3% 1,532 35,369 R+38.9
Anderson 9,013 30.2% 19,212 64.3% 1,656 29,881 R+34.1
Putnam 6,851 25.2% 19,002 69.8% 1,359 27,212 R+44.7
Robertson 6,637 24.5% 19,410 71.6% 1,066 27,113 R+47.1
Cumberland 5,202 19.7% 20,413 77.4% 745 26,360 R+57.7
Greene 4,216 17.9% 18,562 78.7% 805 23,583 R+60.8
Tipton 5,785 24.6% 16,910 72.0% 786 23,481 R+47.4
Loudon 4,919 21.0% 17,610 75.3% 862 23,391 R+54.3
Roane 4,837 22.3% 15,880 73.3% 952 21,669 R+51.0
Carter 3,453 16.4% 16,898 80.1% 733 21,084 R+63.8
Hawkins 3,507 16.9% 16,648 80.1% 619 20,774 R+63.3
Hamblen 4,075 19.7% 15,857 76.6% 760 20,692 R+56.9
Coffee 4,743 23.7% 14,417 72.2% 811 19,971 R+48.4
Gibson 5,258 26.9% 13,786 70.5% 503 19,547 R+43.6
Fayette 5,874 30.3% 13,055 67.3% 465 19,394 R+37.0
Jefferson 3,494 18.3% 14,776 77.5% 802 19,072 R+59.2
McMinn 3,510 18.7% 14,691 78.3% 554 18,755 R+59.6
Dickson 4,722 25.3% 13,233 70.8% 744 18,699 R+45.5
Monroe 3,186 18.6% 13,374 78.2% 533 17,093 R+59.6
Franklin 4,374 26.7% 11,532 70.3% 498 16,404 R+43.6
Cheatham 3,878 24.4% 11,297 70.9% 749 15,924 R+46.6
Lawrence 2,821 18.0% 12,420 79.3% 425 15,666 R+61.3
Bedford 3,395 22.1% 11,486 74.8% 474 15,355 R+52.7
Warren 3,535 26.0% 9,540 70.1% 537 13,612 R+44.1
Lincoln 2,554 19.1% 10,398 77.9% 396 13,348 R+58.8
Dyer 2,816 21.1% 10,180 76.3% 340 13,336 R+55.2
Henry 3,063 23.7% 9,508 73.4% 374 12,945 R+49.8
Campbell 2,248 17.9% 9,870 78.8% 414 12,532 R+60.8
Obion 2,426 19.8% 9,526 77.8% 297 12,249 R+58.0
Weakley 2,772 22.8% 9,008 73.9% 404 12,184 R+51.2
Cocke 1,981 16.3% 9,791 80.7% 354 12,126 R+64.4
Marshall 2,852 24.9% 8,184 71.4% 419 11,455 R+46.5
Giles 2,917 26.2% 7,970 71.6% 250 11,137 R+45.4
Rhea 1,942 17.6% 8,660 78.3% 460 11,062 R+60.7
Marion 2,832 26.1% 7,696 70.9% 334 10,862 R+44.8
Claiborne 1,832 17.1% 8,602 80.1% 306 10,740 R+63.0
Carroll 2,327 22.4% 7,756 74.7% 301 10,384 R+52.3
Henderson 1,800 17.6% 8,138 79.7% 279 10,217 R+62.0
McNairy 1,848 18.4% 7,841 78.1% 349 10,038 R+59.7
Hardin 1,622 16.3% 8,012 80.5% 315 9,949 R+64.2
White 1,845 18.8% 7,671 78.1% 309 9,825 R+59.3
Hardeman 4,185 45.1% 4,919 53.0% 169 9,273 R+7.9
Overton 1,945 23.6% 6,059 73.6% 225 8,229 R+50.0
Lauderdale 3,056 37.8% 4,884 60.4% 147 8,087 R+22.6
Grainger 1,154 14.4% 6,626 82.7% 228 8,008 R+68.3
Hickman 1,824 23.3% 5,695 72.9% 294 7,813 R+49.5
Macon 1,072 14.3% 6,263 83.5% 169 7,504 R+69.2
Smith 1,689 22.7% 5,494 73.9% 253 7,436 R+51.2
Fentress 1,100 15.0% 6,038 82.3% 195 7,333 R+67.3
Unicoi 1,262 17.5% 5,671 78.8% 262 7,195 R+61.3
Humphreys 1,967 27.5% 4,930 68.9% 256 7,153 R+41.4
Scott 934 13.1% 6,044 84.9% 145 7,123 R+71.7
DeKalb 1,569 22.6% 5,171 74.3% 215 6,955 R+51.8
Haywood 3,711 54.3% 3,013 44.1% 110 6,834 D+10.2
Morgan 1,054 15.7% 5,441 81.1% 210 6,705 R+65.4
Johnson 988 15.0% 5,410 82.2% 181 6,579 R+67.2
Polk 1,252 19.2% 5,097 78.2% 171 6,520 R+59.0
Chester 1,243 19.1% 5,081 78.1% 183 6,507 R+59.0
Benton 1,474 23.3% 4,716 74.5% 138 6,328 R+51.2
Union 1,012 16.2% 5,053 80.9% 182 6,247 R+64.7
Wayne 717 12.2% 5,036 86.0% 104 5,857 R+73.7
Sequatchie 1,053 18.5% 4,441 78.0% 200 5,694 R+59.5
Crockett 1,303 24.1% 3,982 73.8% 112 5,397 R+49.6
Cannon 1,127 21.2% 4,007 75.4% 180 5,314 R+54.2
Stewart 1,222 23.1% 3,864 72.9% 213 5,299 R+49.9
Grundy 999 21.0% 3,636 76.3% 128 4,763 R+55.4
Bledsoe 897 19.2% 3,622 77.7% 145 4,664 R+58.4
Lewis 890 19.3% 3,585 77.6% 147 4,622 R+58.3
Decatur 894 19.5% 3,588 78.1% 110 4,592 R+58.7
Jackson 1,129 25.3% 3,236 72.5% 101 4,466 R+47.2
Meigs 856 19.8% 3,342 77.4% 122 4,320 R+57.5
Houston 866 27.3% 2,182 68.9% 120 3,168 R+41.5
Trousdale 946 29.9% 2,103 66.6% 111 3,160 R+36.6
Moore 496 17.0% 2,325 79.5% 105 2,926 R+62.5
Clay 707 24.2% 2,141 73.3% 72 2,920 R+49.1
Perry 597 20.9% 2,167 75.9% 91 2,855 R+55.0
Pickett 536 20.5% 2,021 77.3% 58 2,615 R+56.8
Van Buren 539 22.3% 1,820 75.2% 60 2,419 R+53.0
Hancock 322 14.4% 1,843 82.6% 66 2,231 R+68.2
Lake 577 29.3% 1,357 68.9% 36 1,970 R+39.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9