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Election 1984 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1984 presidential election in Tennessee

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Walter Mondale (Democrat) in Tennessee in 1984, 57.8% to 41.6%, a margin of 16.3 points and 278,498 votes.

Tennessee voted 2.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+18.2.

The Republican hold continued from 1980, when Ronald Reagan also won.

Republicans led in 72 of the 95 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 23. The largest, Shelby, cast 337,302 votes and went to the Republican by 1.1 points. The closest was Warren, where 2 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 990,212 57.8%
Walter Mondale Democratic 711,714 41.6%
All other candidates 10,067 0.6%
Total1,711,993

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 165,947 49.2% 169,717 50.3% 1,638 337,302 R+1.1
Davidson 89,498 47.4% 98,155 52.0% 1,161 188,814 R+4.6
Knox 43,448 35.9% 76,965 63.6% 574 120,987 R+27.7
Hamilton 41,449 37.1% 69,626 62.4% 547 111,622 R+25.2
Sullivan 16,925 31.4% 36,516 67.8% 394 53,835 R+36.4
Rutherford 11,618 36.9% 19,503 62.0% 348 31,469 R+25.1
Washington 9,452 30.1% 21,762 69.4% 154 31,368 R+39.2
Sumner 11,535 38.2% 18,442 61.1% 209 30,186 R+22.9
Madison 12,006 40.2% 17,819 59.6% 55 29,880 R+19.5
Blount 9,188 30.8% 20,525 68.7% 146 29,859 R+38.0
Anderson 10,415 38.0% 16,783 61.3% 176 27,374 R+23.3
Williamson 6,929 27.7% 17,975 71.9% 93 24,997 R+44.2
Montgomery 9,939 42.5% 13,228 56.6% 198 23,365 R+14.1
Bradley 6,085 27.0% 16,322 72.5% 95 22,502 R+45.5
Wilson 8,433 39.3% 12,858 59.9% 158 21,449 R+20.6
Roane 6,623 35.6% 11,882 63.8% 109 18,614 R+28.3
Greene 4,763 26.4% 13,215 73.2% 87 18,065 R+46.8
Gibson 8,334 46.3% 9,484 52.7% 174 17,992 R+6.4
Carter 4,642 25.9% 13,153 73.3% 138 17,933 R+47.5
Putnam 7,443 45.0% 8,999 54.4% 99 16,541 R+9.4
Hamblen 4,922 30.5% 11,144 69.0% 92 16,158 R+38.5
Sevier 3,384 21.1% 12,517 78.0% 140 16,041 R+56.9
Maury 6,950 43.3% 9,008 56.2% 75 16,033 R+12.8
McMinn 5,141 34.7% 9,604 64.8% 68 14,813 R+30.1
Hawkins 4,802 32.5% 9,863 66.7% 128 14,793 R+34.2
Coffee 5,691 42.3% 7,695 57.1% 82 13,468 R+14.9
Dickson 5,809 49.2% 5,846 49.5% 150 11,805 R+0.3
Franklin 5,846 50.3% 5,705 49.1% 70 11,621 D+1.2
Lawrence 5,458 47.2% 6,034 52.2% 71 11,563 R+5.0
Weakley 4,752 42.1% 6,480 57.4% 55 11,287 R+15.3
Robertson 5,756 51.1% 5,445 48.3% 62 11,263 D+2.8
Obion 4,769 42.4% 6,384 56.7% 99 11,252 R+14.4
Jefferson 3,185 29.0% 7,721 70.4% 69 10,975 R+41.3
Monroe 4,223 38.6% 6,665 60.9% 59 10,947 R+22.3
Henry 5,407 49.9% 5,376 49.6% 54 10,837 D+0.3
Cumberland 3,605 33.5% 7,083 65.9% 68 10,756 R+32.3
Carroll 4,568 42.8% 6,017 56.4% 77 10,662 R+13.6
Dyer 3,991 37.5% 6,610 62.1% 41 10,642 R+24.6
Campbell 4,692 44.9% 5,685 54.4% 67 10,444 R+9.5
Loudon 3,227 31.0% 7,113 68.4% 65 10,405 R+37.3
Tipton 3,895 39.4% 5,945 60.2% 34 9,874 R+20.8
Warren 4,813 49.7% 4,811 49.6% 67 9,691 level
Bedford 4,499 48.4% 4,699 50.5% 98 9,296 R+2.2
Cocke 2,068 23.4% 6,665 75.5% 95 8,828 R+52.1
McNairy 3,825 44.3% 4,776 55.3% 30 8,631 R+11.0
Rhea 2,804 32.7% 5,692 66.3% 91 8,587 R+33.6
Marion 3,942 47.3% 4,337 52.1% 52 8,331 R+4.7
Lincoln 4,103 50.6% 3,982 49.1% 29 8,114 D+1.5
Henderson 2,426 31.0% 5,362 68.6% 33 7,821 R+37.5
Hardin 3,051 39.3% 4,632 59.6% 90 7,773 R+20.3
Giles 3,812 49.3% 3,875 50.1% 52 7,739 R+0.8
Hardeman 3,797 49.8% 3,712 48.7% 117 7,626 D+1.1
Fayette 3,634 49.1% 3,733 50.4% 34 7,401 R+1.3
Claiborne 2,870 38.9% 4,474 60.7% 27 7,371 R+21.8
Cheatham 3,007 41.9% 4,109 57.3% 53 7,169 R+15.4
Lauderdale 3,506 49.4% 3,566 50.2% 27 7,099 R+0.8
Marshall 2,935 45.9% 3,416 53.4% 42 6,393 R+7.5
Haywood 3,308 53.6% 2,839 46.0% 19 6,166 D+7.6
Unicoi 1,696 28.4% 4,249 71.1% 34 5,979 R+42.7
White 3,033 50.9% 2,895 48.6% 30 5,958 D+2.3
Humphreys 3,668 61.8% 2,249 37.9% 16 5,933 D+23.9
Benton 3,398 57.6% 2,481 42.1% 18 5,897 D+15.6
Smith 3,258 57.2% 2,393 42.0% 40 5,691 D+15.2
Hickman 2,941 55.1% 2,370 44.4% 23 5,334 D+10.7
Macon 1,747 34.2% 3,330 65.2% 28 5,105 R+31.0
Morgan 2,121 41.8% 2,903 57.2% 52 5,076 R+15.4
Dekalb 2,645 52.8% 2,337 46.6% 28 5,010 D+6.1
Scott 1,810 36.5% 3,107 62.6% 44 4,961 R+26.1
Polk 2,112 42.6% 2,785 56.1% 63 4,960 R+13.6
Wayne 1,534 31.4% 3,332 68.3% 13 4,879 R+36.9
Johnson 999 20.5% 3,853 79.1% 19 4,871 R+58.6
Overton 2,749 56.9% 2,054 42.5% 27 4,830 D+14.4
Grainger 1,565 32.5% 3,212 66.7% 37 4,814 R+34.2
Fentress 1,755 37.3% 2,922 62.2% 22 4,699 R+24.8
Chester 1,854 39.6% 2,793 59.7% 33 4,680 R+20.1
Jackson 2,894 64.5% 1,544 34.4% 48 4,486 D+30.1
Decatur 2,031 45.7% 2,390 53.8% 20 4,441 R+8.1
Crockett 1,937 43.7% 2,479 56.0% 13 4,429 R+12.2
Grundy 2,596 64.7% 1,396 34.8% 23 4,015 D+29.9
Union 1,495 37.6% 2,447 61.5% 36 3,978 R+23.9
Cannon 1,846 51.9% 1,669 46.9% 45 3,560 D+5.0
Stewart 2,174 62.3% 1,285 36.8% 31 3,490 D+25.5
Lewis 1,556 47.1% 1,733 52.4% 17 3,306 R+5.4
Bledsoe 1,316 40.0% 1,950 59.3% 20 3,286 R+19.3
Sequatchie 1,238 40.7% 1,785 58.7% 19 3,042 R+18.0
Clay 1,281 48.6% 1,338 50.8% 15 2,634 R+2.2
Houston 1,716 65.5% 882 33.7% 21 2,619 D+31.8
Meigs 1,012 38.9% 1,575 60.5% 15 2,602 R+21.6
Perry 1,316 58.1% 948 41.8% 3 2,267 D+16.2
Hancock 619 29.0% 1,491 69.9% 24 2,134 R+40.9
Lake 1,191 56.9% 878 42.0% 23 2,092 D+15.0
Pickett 706 36.1% 1,246 63.7% 5 1,957 R+27.6
Trousdale 1,142 59.0% 781 40.4% 12 1,935 D+18.7
Moore 808 48.1% 863 51.4% 9 1,680 R+3.3
Van Buren 810 52.8% 718 46.8% 7 1,535 D+6.0

Counties as they stood in 1984; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9