United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Tennessee

Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2012, 59.5% to 39.1%, a margin of 20.4 points and 501,621 votes.

Tennessee voted 24.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Republican hold continued from 2008, when John McCain won.

Republicans led in 91 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Shelby, cast 371,109 votes and went to the Democrat by 26.1 points. The closest was Houston, where 179 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mitt Romney won Republican 1,462,330 59.5%
Barack Obama Democratic 960,709 39.1%
All other candidates 35,538 1.4%
Total2,458,577

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 232,443 62.6% 135,649 36.6% 3,017 371,109 D+26.1
Davidson 143,120 58.4% 97,622 39.9% 4,131 244,873 D+18.6
Knox 59,399 34.4% 109,707 63.6% 3,401 172,507 R+29.2
Hamilton 58,836 41.7% 79,933 56.6% 2,412 141,181 R+14.9
Rutherford 36,414 36.8% 60,846 61.6% 1,588 98,848 R+24.7
Williamson 25,142 26.1% 69,850 72.6% 1,233 96,225 R+46.5
Sumner 18,579 28.4% 46,003 70.4% 784 65,366 R+42.0
Sullivan 15,321 25.6% 43,562 72.7% 1,004 59,887 R+47.2
Montgomery 24,499 44.1% 30,245 54.4% 840 55,584 R+10.3
Wilson 14,695 28.5% 36,109 70.1% 695 51,499 R+41.6
Blount 12,934 26.3% 35,441 72.0% 859 49,234 R+45.7
Washington 14,325 29.8% 32,808 68.3% 899 48,032 R+38.5
Madison 18,367 45.1% 21,993 54.0% 342 40,702 R+8.9
Bradley 8,037 22.3% 27,422 76.3% 504 35,963 R+53.9
Sevier 7,418 21.9% 25,984 76.7% 462 33,864 R+54.8
Maury 11,825 35.8% 20,708 62.7% 473 33,006 R+26.9
Anderson 10,122 34.1% 18,968 64.0% 569 29,659 R+29.8
Robertson 8,290 31.5% 17,643 67.1% 356 26,289 R+35.6
Putnam 7,802 30.6% 17,254 67.7% 444 25,500 R+37.1
Cumberland 6,261 24.8% 18,653 73.9% 333 25,247 R+49.1
Tipton 7,133 29.6% 16,672 69.2% 276 24,081 R+39.6
Greene 6,225 26.1% 17,245 72.2% 417 23,887 R+46.1
Loudon 5,058 22.9% 16,707 75.7% 308 22,073 R+52.8
Roane 6,018 28.5% 14,724 69.8% 348 21,090 R+41.3
Carter 4,789 23.2% 15,503 75.2% 325 20,617 R+52.0
Hamblen 5,234 26.1% 14,522 72.5% 276 20,032 R+46.4
Hawkins 5,088 25.7% 14,382 72.6% 327 19,797 R+46.9
Gibson 6,564 33.4% 12,883 65.5% 220 19,667 R+32.1
Fayette 6,688 34.2% 12,689 64.8% 197 19,574 R+30.7
Coffee 5,870 30.5% 13,023 67.6% 366 19,259 R+37.1
Dickson 6,233 34.9% 11,296 63.3% 306 17,835 R+28.4
McMinn 4,609 25.8% 12,967 72.7% 258 17,834 R+46.9
Jefferson 4,232 24.1% 13,038 74.3% 289 17,559 R+50.2
Monroe 4,372 26.8% 11,731 71.8% 235 16,338 R+45.0
Franklin 5,603 34.8% 10,262 63.7% 254 16,119 R+28.9
Lawrence 4,237 27.8% 10,770 70.8% 212 15,219 R+42.9
Cheatham 4,659 30.7% 10,268 67.6% 255 15,182 R+36.9
Bedford 4,211 29.2% 10,034 69.5% 200 14,445 R+40.3
Dyer 3,757 27.2% 9,921 71.9% 122 13,800 R+44.7
Lincoln 3,290 24.8% 9,803 73.9% 175 13,268 R+49.1
Warren 4,752 36.5% 8,010 61.5% 253 13,015 R+25.0
Henry 4,339 34.1% 8,193 64.3% 207 12,739 R+30.3
Weakley 3,548 28.8% 8,605 69.7% 184 12,337 R+41.0
Obion 3,321 27.0% 8,814 71.7% 162 12,297 R+44.7
Campbell 3,328 27.5% 8,604 71.1% 169 12,101 R+43.6
Cocke 2,804 24.5% 8,459 73.9% 191 11,454 R+49.4
Carroll 3,475 32.0% 7,225 66.6% 151 10,851 R+34.6
Giles 3,760 34.8% 6,915 64.0% 124 10,799 R+29.2
Marshall 3,725 34.7% 6,832 63.6% 184 10,741 R+28.9
Rhea 2,628 24.8% 7,802 73.7% 160 10,590 R+48.9
Hardin 2,467 23.5% 7,886 75.1% 142 10,495 R+51.6
Hardeman 5,482 52.5% 4,865 46.6% 92 10,439 D+5.9
Marion 3,953 38.0% 6,272 60.3% 184 10,409 R+22.3
Claiborne 2,433 23.9% 7,617 74.8% 128 10,178 R+50.9
Henderson 2,517 25.0% 7,421 73.8% 117 10,055 R+48.8
McNairy 2,645 27.0% 7,015 71.6% 142 9,802 R+44.6
White 2,795 30.6% 6,197 67.8% 148 9,140 R+37.2
Lauderdale 4,011 46.2% 4,616 53.1% 62 8,689 R+7.0
Overton 2,805 36.6% 4,775 62.3% 84 7,664 R+25.7
Hickman 2,698 35.5% 4,758 62.6% 146 7,602 R+27.1
Haywood 4,569 60.4% 2,960 39.1% 40 7,569 D+21.3
Grainger 1,668 23.0% 5,470 75.4% 114 7,252 R+52.4
Smith 2,470 34.9% 4,495 63.4% 122 7,087 R+28.6
Unicoi 1,913 27.0% 5,032 71.0% 141 7,086 R+44.0
Macon 1,552 22.5% 5,260 76.2% 93 6,905 R+53.7
Fentress 1,561 22.6% 5,243 76.0% 91 6,895 R+53.4
Humphreys 2,905 42.3% 3,833 55.9% 125 6,863 R+13.5
Scott 1,452 21.8% 5,117 76.7% 99 6,668 R+55.0
Morgan 1,725 26.5% 4,669 71.8% 110 6,504 R+45.3
DeKalb 2,174 33.9% 4,143 64.5% 105 6,422 R+30.7
Chester 1,624 25.3% 4,684 73.1% 102 6,410 R+47.7
Benton 2,258 36.3% 3,850 61.8% 118 6,226 R+25.6
Johnson 1,483 23.9% 4,611 74.4% 100 6,194 R+50.5
Polk 1,856 30.6% 4,108 67.8% 95 6,059 R+37.2
Union 1,478 25.4% 4,282 73.5% 68 5,828 R+48.1
Crockett 1,669 30.4% 3,783 68.8% 46 5,498 R+38.5
Wayne 1,163 21.2% 4,253 77.5% 70 5,486 R+56.3
Sequatchie 1,489 29.0% 3,541 68.9% 112 5,142 R+39.9
Stewart 2,069 40.4% 2,963 57.9% 83 5,115 R+17.5
Cannon 1,564 31.4% 3,309 66.5% 100 4,973 R+35.1
Lewis 1,447 30.8% 3,117 66.4% 130 4,694 R+35.6
Bledsoe 1,267 29.1% 3,022 69.3% 70 4,359 R+40.3
Decatur 1,303 30.7% 2,874 67.6% 74 4,251 R+37.0
Grundy 1,643 38.8% 2,516 59.4% 78 4,237 R+20.6
Jackson 1,739 41.6% 2,383 57.0% 62 4,184 R+15.4
Meigs 1,163 29.3% 2,734 69.0% 67 3,964 R+39.6
Houston 1,400 46.3% 1,579 52.2% 48 3,027 R+5.9
Trousdale 1,240 42.7% 1,612 55.5% 53 2,905 R+12.8
Clay 1,037 36.8% 1,747 62.0% 36 2,820 R+25.2
Moore 705 25.2% 2,053 73.3% 41 2,799 R+48.2
Perry 992 37.8% 1,578 60.2% 51 2,621 R+22.4
Pickett 712 29.0% 1,712 69.8% 29 2,453 R+40.8
Van Buren 875 38.0% 1,386 60.3% 39 2,300 R+22.2
Lake 884 42.4% 1,163 55.7% 40 2,087 R+13.4
Hancock 475 23.2% 1,527 74.6% 44 2,046 R+51.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9