United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2012 president · Florida
Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Florida

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in Florida in 2012, 50.0% to 49.1%, a margin of 0.9 points and 74,309 votes.

Florida voted 3.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Republicans led in 54 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 878,314 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.7 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 137 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 4,237,756 50.0%
Mitt Romney Republican 4,163,447 49.1%
All other candidates 72,976 0.9%
Total8,474,179

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 541,440 61.6% 332,981 37.9% 3,893 878,314 D+23.7
Broward 508,312 67.2% 244,101 32.3% 4,009 756,422 D+34.9
Palm Beach 349,651 58.2% 247,398 41.2% 3,672 600,721 D+17.0
Hillsborough 286,467 52.8% 250,186 46.2% 5,449 542,102 D+6.7
Orange 273,665 58.7% 188,589 40.4% 4,105 466,359 D+18.2
Pinellas 239,104 52.2% 213,258 46.6% 5,340 457,702 D+5.6
Duval 196,737 47.8% 211,615 51.4% 3,496 411,848 R+3.6
Brevard 122,993 43.1% 159,300 55.8% 3,266 285,559 R+12.7
Lee 110,157 41.4% 154,163 57.9% 1,846 266,166 R+16.5
Polk 114,622 46.1% 131,577 52.9% 2,484 248,683 R+6.8
Volusia 114,748 48.9% 117,490 50.1% 2,298 234,536 R+1.2
Pasco 98,263 46.0% 112,427 52.6% 2,883 213,573 R+6.6
Seminole 96,445 46.2% 109,943 52.7% 2,232 208,620 R+6.5
Sarasota 95,119 45.8% 110,504 53.3% 1,857 207,480 R+7.4
Marion 66,831 41.4% 93,043 57.7% 1,511 161,385 R+16.2
Manatee 66,503 43.3% 85,627 55.8% 1,361 153,491 R+12.5
Lake 61,799 41.0% 87,643 58.1% 1,369 150,811 R+17.1
Collier 51,698 34.7% 96,520 64.7% 894 149,112 R+30.1
Escambia 58,185 39.2% 88,711 59.7% 1,606 148,502 R+20.6
Leon 90,881 61.3% 55,805 37.6% 1,667 148,353 D+23.6
St. Lucie 65,869 53.5% 56,202 45.7% 956 123,027 D+7.9
Alachua 69,699 57.9% 48,797 40.5% 1,922 120,418 D+17.4
St. Johns 35,190 30.7% 78,513 68.4% 1,092 114,795 R+37.7
Osceola 67,239 61.9% 40,592 37.3% 867 108,698 D+24.5
Clay 25,759 26.7% 70,022 72.5% 808 96,589 R+45.8
Okaloosa 23,421 24.7% 70,168 74.0% 1,209 94,798 R+49.3
Charlotte 35,906 42.4% 47,996 56.7% 780 84,682 R+14.3
Hernando 37,830 45.2% 44,938 53.7% 899 83,667 R+8.5
Bay 22,051 27.6% 56,876 71.2% 934 79,861 R+43.6
Martin 30,107 38.2% 48,183 61.1% 583 78,873 R+22.9
Santa Rosa 17,768 23.1% 58,186 75.7% 892 76,846 R+52.6
Citrus 28,460 38.5% 44,662 60.4% 813 73,935 R+21.9
Indian River 27,492 38.5% 43,450 60.8% 522 71,464 R+22.3
Sumter 19,524 32.3% 40,646 67.2% 309 60,479 R+34.9
Flagler 23,207 45.9% 26,969 53.3% 419 50,595 R+7.4
Highlands 16,148 38.0% 25,915 61.1% 381 42,444 R+23.0
Nassau 10,251 25.3% 29,929 73.8% 348 40,528 R+48.6
Monroe 19,404 49.7% 19,234 49.2% 419 39,057 D+0.4
Putnam 11,667 37.2% 19,326 61.7% 331 31,324 R+24.5
Walton 6,671 23.4% 21,490 75.4% 333 28,494 R+52.0
Columbia 8,462 31.2% 18,429 67.8% 272 27,163 R+36.7
Gadsden 15,770 70.1% 6,630 29.5% 99 22,499 D+40.6
Jackson 7,342 35.1% 13,418 64.1% 181 20,941 R+29.0
Levy 6,119 33.3% 12,054 65.5% 226 18,399 R+32.3
Suwannee 4,751 26.9% 12,672 71.9% 206 17,629 R+44.9
Wakulla 5,175 35.3% 9,290 63.4% 195 14,660 R+28.1
Okeechobee 4,856 39.4% 7,328 59.5% 140 12,324 R+20.1
Bradford 3,325 28.6% 8,219 70.6% 91 11,635 R+42.1
Baker 2,311 20.3% 8,975 78.9% 82 11,368 R+58.6
Washington 2,820 25.6% 8,038 73.1% 141 10,999 R+47.4
Hendry 4,751 46.6% 5,355 52.6% 79 10,185 R+5.9
Desoto 4,174 42.3% 5,587 56.6% 104 9,865 R+14.3
Taylor 2,764 30.3% 6,249 68.5% 107 9,120 R+38.2
Madison 4,176 47.9% 4,474 51.3% 65 8,715 R+3.4
Holmes 1,264 15.3% 6,919 83.6% 91 8,274 R+68.3
Gilchrist 1,885 23.8% 5,917 74.8% 107 7,909 R+51.0
Jefferson 3,945 50.5% 3,808 48.8% 55 7,808 D+1.8
Hardee 2,463 34.1% 4,696 65.0% 67 7,226 R+30.9
Gulf 2,014 28.3% 4,995 70.3% 99 7,108 R+41.9
Dixie 1,798 25.9% 5,052 72.8% 91 6,941 R+46.9
Calhoun 1,664 27.0% 4,366 71.0% 122 6,152 R+43.9
Franklin 1,845 33.7% 3,570 65.2% 59 5,474 R+31.5
Hamilton 2,228 41.2% 3,138 58.0% 41 5,407 R+16.8
Union 1,339 24.8% 3,980 73.8% 74 5,393 R+49.0
Glades 1,603 40.2% 2,344 58.8% 42 3,989 R+18.6
Lafayette 687 20.2% 2,668 78.5% 44 3,399 R+58.3
Liberty 942 28.7% 2,301 70.1% 41 3,284 R+41.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0