United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Florida

Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in Florida in 1948, 48.8% to 33.6%, a margin of 15.2 points and 87,708 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.

Democrats led in 53 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 11 and other candidates in 3. The largest, Dade, cast 111,512 votes and went to the Democrat by 16.5 points. The closest was Osceola, where 2 votes separated the top two.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harry S. Truman won Democratic 281,988 48.8%
Thomas E. Dewey Republican 194,280 33.6%
Strom Thurmond States' Rights Democratic 89,755 15.5%
All other candidates 11,620 2.0%
Total577,643

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Dade 59,681 53.5% 41,301 37.0% 10,530 111,512 D+16.5
Duval 28,567 47.9% 15,379 25.8% 15,749 59,695 D+22.1
Pinellas 15,724 35.3% 24,900 55.9% 3,900 44,524 R+20.6
Hillsborough 18,854 45.7% 13,529 32.8% 8,903 41,286 D+12.9
Orange 10,063 39.2% 11,971 46.7% 3,618 25,652 R+7.4
Palm Beach 9,408 39.0% 10,996 45.6% 3,711 24,115 R+6.6
Polk 12,034 52.6% 7,692 33.6% 3,166 22,892 D+19.0
Escambia 13,982 63.1% 3,267 14.7% 4,907 22,156 D+48.4
Volusia 9,202 46.8% 7,764 39.5% 2,712 19,678 D+7.3
Broward 7,096 36.4% 9,933 50.9% 2,492 19,521 R+14.5
Alachua 3,745 36.8% 2,403 23.6% 4,034 10,182 Others
Lake 3,474 42.0% 3,579 43.2% 1,226 8,279 R+1.3
Marion 4,650 57.0% 1,829 22.4% 1,677 8,156 D+34.6
Manatee 2,766 36.3% 3,371 44.3% 1,473 7,610 R+8.0
Bay 5,168 70.7% 928 12.7% 1,216 7,312 D+58.0
Sarasota 2,302 32.3% 3,559 50.0% 1,264 7,125 R+17.6
St. Johns 1,994 31.6% 1,840 29.2% 2,471 6,305 Others
Leon 3,607 58.5% 1,149 18.6% 1,405 6,161 D+39.9
Lee 1,883 32.5% 2,276 39.3% 1,638 5,797 R+6.8
Jackson 3,169 55.1% 648 11.3% 1,933 5,750 D+43.8
Brevard 2,348 42.2% 2,315 41.6% 901 5,564 D+0.6
Seminole 2,261 45.2% 1,665 33.3% 1,081 5,007 D+11.9
Pasco 2,375 48.7% 1,839 37.7% 667 4,881 D+11.0
Putnam 1,947 40.3% 1,435 29.7% 1,453 4,835 D+10.6
Monroe 3,759 83.5% 548 12.2% 196 4,503 D+71.3
St. Lucie 1,704 38.4% 1,689 38.0% 1,047 4,440 D+0.3
Highlands 2,257 53.0% 1,471 34.5% 532 4,260 D+18.5
Suwannee 3,033 71.6% 398 9.4% 804 4,235 D+62.2
Okaloosa 2,519 62.9% 486 12.1% 1,002 4,007 D+50.7
Walton 2,366 62.3% 652 17.2% 781 3,799 D+45.1
Osceola 1,577 44.6% 1,575 44.6% 380 3,532 D+0.1
Santa Rosa 2,316 65.7% 549 15.6% 659 3,524 D+50.1
Columbia 1,797 53.9% 553 16.6% 982 3,332 D+37.3
Holmes 1,799 56.3% 492 15.4% 905 3,196 D+40.9
Hardee 1,871 65.5% 689 24.1% 297 2,857 D+41.4
Gadsden 1,427 50.9% 376 13.4% 999 2,802 D+37.5
Nassau 1,518 55.1% 540 19.6% 697 2,755 D+35.5
Clay 1,544 56.3% 722 26.3% 476 2,742 D+30.0
Indian River 1,055 43.1% 1,134 46.3% 259 2,448 R+3.2
Madison 1,189 51.7% 207 9.0% 904 2,300 D+42.7
Washington 1,380 62.4% 297 13.4% 534 2,211 D+49.0
Bradford 1,228 56.1% 357 16.3% 605 2,190 D+39.8
Sumter 1,411 65.6% 251 11.7% 490 2,152 D+53.9
Martin 815 38.6% 948 44.8% 351 2,114 R+6.3
De Soto 1,157 55.6% 569 27.3% 356 2,082 D+28.2
Levy 1,128 55.8% 225 11.1% 670 2,023 D+44.6
Taylor 1,354 67.7% 216 10.8% 429 1,999 D+56.9
Calhoun 1,404 78.3% 128 7.1% 262 1,794 D+71.1
Hernando 825 49.3% 441 26.4% 406 1,672 D+23.0
Citrus 940 56.9% 461 27.9% 251 1,652 D+29.0
Hamilton 1,071 66.4% 202 12.5% 339 1,612 D+53.9
Gulf 1,219 77.2% 146 9.2% 214 1,579 D+68.0
Wakulla 997 72.3% 72 5.2% 310 1,379 D+67.1
Jefferson 700 52.9% 153 11.6% 470 1,323 D+41.3
Hendry 699 53.9% 340 26.2% 258 1,297 D+27.7
Dixie 862 67.8% 111 8.7% 298 1,271 D+59.1
Charlotte 520 41.0% 559 44.1% 189 1,268 R+3.1
Baker 849 72.2% 112 9.5% 215 1,176 D+62.7
Lafayette 975 85.2% 52 4.5% 118 1,145 D+80.6
Franklin 635 59.8% 130 12.2% 297 1,062 D+47.6
Gilchrist 884 83.3% 46 4.3% 131 1,061 D+79.0
Okeechobee 784 74.8% 179 17.1% 85 1,048 D+57.7
Collier 362 41.1% 247 28.1% 271 880 D+13.1
Union 594 68.0% 55 6.3% 225 874 D+61.7
Liberty 737 86.8% 30 3.5% 82 849 D+83.3
Flagler 153 23.6% 154 23.8% 341 648 Others
Glades 274 49.4% 150 27.0% 131 555 D+22.3

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0