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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Montana

Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in Montana in 1948, 53.1% to 43.1%, a margin of 9.9 points and 22,301 votes.

Montana voted 5.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.

Democrats led in 35 of the 56 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 21. The largest, Silver Bow, cast 21,335 votes and went to the Democrat by 25.4 points. The closest was Big Horn, where 6 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harry S. Truman won Democratic 119,071 53.1%
Thomas E. Dewey Republican 96,770 43.1%
All other candidates 8,437 3.8%
Total224,278

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Silver Bow 12,715 59.6% 7,305 34.2% 1,315 21,335 D+25.4
Yellowstone 9,718 47.7% 10,342 50.7% 324 20,384 R+3.1
Cascade 12,082 61.0% 6,830 34.5% 905 19,817 D+26.5
Missoula 7,005 50.5% 6,426 46.3% 442 13,873 D+4.2
Lewis And Clark 4,745 46.6% 5,174 50.8% 257 10,176 R+4.2
Flathead 4,546 49.5% 4,240 46.1% 407 9,193 D+3.3
Gallatin 3,548 44.6% 4,220 53.1% 182 7,950 R+8.5
Deer Lodge 3,862 62.2% 2,036 32.8% 314 6,212 D+29.4
Fergus 3,059 54.1% 2,411 42.7% 182 5,652 D+11.5
Hill 3,321 64.1% 1,645 31.8% 215 5,181 D+32.3
Park 2,222 45.9% 2,461 50.8% 162 4,845 R+4.9
Ravalli 2,159 45.7% 2,354 49.8% 210 4,723 R+4.1
Lake 2,177 46.8% 2,295 49.4% 178 4,650 R+2.5
Custer 2,359 55.3% 1,845 43.3% 59 4,263 D+12.1
Carbon 1,997 47.9% 1,901 45.6% 271 4,169 D+2.3
Valley 2,535 61.7% 1,375 33.5% 200 4,110 D+28.2
Glacier 2,238 63.8% 1,238 35.3% 32 3,508 D+28.5
Chouteau 1,832 58.4% 1,181 37.6% 125 3,138 D+20.7
Roosevelt 1,820 58.2% 1,142 36.5% 166 3,128 D+21.7
Richland 1,673 54.1% 1,332 43.1% 85 3,090 D+11.0
Dawson 1,397 46.3% 1,555 51.5% 65 3,017 R+5.2
Beaverhead 1,356 45.1% 1,583 52.7% 66 3,005 R+7.6
Lincoln 1,689 58.4% 1,079 37.3% 125 2,893 D+21.1
Toole 1,756 60.8% 1,092 37.8% 40 2,888 D+23.0
Sanders 1,425 51.5% 1,191 43.0% 151 2,767 D+8.5
Blaine 1,669 60.7% 997 36.3% 82 2,748 D+24.5
Teton 1,632 60.0% 1,005 36.9% 83 2,720 D+23.1
Big Horn 1,328 49.1% 1,334 49.4% 40 2,702 R+0.2
Powell 1,427 53.4% 1,163 43.5% 84 2,674 D+9.9
Phillips 1,506 58.6% 964 37.5% 99 2,569 D+21.1
Pondera 1,555 61.0% 902 35.4% 93 2,550 D+25.6
Musselshell 1,188 47.6% 1,010 40.5% 298 2,496 D+7.1
Sheridan 1,515 61.9% 699 28.6% 233 2,447 D+33.3
Madison 1,006 42.7% 1,300 55.2% 51 2,357 R+12.5
Rosebud 1,031 47.3% 1,106 50.7% 44 2,181 R+3.4
Stillwater 890 42.6% 1,137 54.5% 60 2,087 R+11.8
Judith Basin 934 56.2% 609 36.6% 119 1,662 D+19.6
Jefferson 836 50.9% 750 45.6% 58 1,644 D+5.2
Wheatland 733 47.8% 780 50.9% 20 1,533 R+3.1
Daniels 826 54.2% 624 41.0% 73 1,523 D+13.3
McCone 702 51.2% 518 37.8% 151 1,371 D+13.4
Sweet Grass 499 36.5% 843 61.7% 24 1,366 R+25.2
Fallon 623 46.9% 678 51.0% 28 1,329 R+4.1
Powder River 480 36.8% 784 60.2% 39 1,303 R+23.3
Granite 567 44.7% 659 52.0% 42 1,268 R+7.3
Broadwater 536 42.3% 704 55.6% 26 1,266 R+13.3
Carter 568 52.4% 501 46.2% 15 1,084 D+6.2
Prairie 527 50.6% 499 47.9% 16 1,042 D+2.7
Meagher 497 48.0% 518 50.0% 20 1,035 R+2.0
Garfield 451 46.4% 501 51.5% 21 973 R+5.1
Liberty 542 58.5% 354 38.2% 30 926 D+20.3
Wibaux 471 52.0% 421 46.5% 13 905 D+5.5
Mineral 475 55.2% 338 39.3% 47 860 D+15.9
Golden Valley 295 44.5% 352 53.1% 16 663 R+8.6
Treasure 291 52.0% 253 45.2% 16 560 D+6.8
Petroleum 235 51.0% 214 46.4% 12 461 D+4.6

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7