Election 2024 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2024 presidential election in Montana
Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Montana in 2024, 58.4% to 38.5%, a margin of 19.9 points and 120,173 votes.
Montana voted 18.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.
The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.
Republicans led in 51 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 81,409 votes and went to the Republican by 27.1 points. The closest was Deer Lodge, where 47 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump won | Republican | 352,079 | 58.4% |
| Kamala Harris | Democratic | 231,906 | 38.5% |
| All other candidates | 19,005 | 3.2% | |
| Total | 602,990 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellowstone | 28,398 34.9% | 50,471 62.0% | 2,540 | 81,409 | R+27.1 |
| Missoula | 42,912 59.0% | 27,312 37.5% | 2,565 | 72,789 | D+21.4 |
| Gallatin | 34,946 50.0% | 32,702 46.8% | 2,264 | 69,912 | D+3.2 |
| Flathead | 20,066 31.8% | 41,399 65.6% | 1,689 | 63,154 | R+33.8 |
| Lewis and Clark | 19,089 45.4% | 21,484 51.1% | 1,459 | 42,032 | R+5.7 |
| Cascade | 13,974 37.3% | 22,346 59.7% | 1,140 | 37,460 | R+22.3 |
| Ravalli | 8,487 28.4% | 20,622 68.9% | 801 | 29,910 | R+40.6 |
| Silver Bow | 9,388 51.5% | 8,112 44.5% | 730 | 18,230 | D+7.0 |
| Lake | 6,511 38.5% | 9,882 58.4% | 521 | 16,914 | R+19.9 |
| Lincoln | 2,616 22.2% | 8,911 75.6% | 265 | 11,792 | R+53.4 |
| Park | 5,225 44.6% | 6,129 52.3% | 366 | 11,720 | R+7.7 |
| Jefferson | 2,517 30.4% | 5,545 66.9% | 231 | 8,293 | R+36.5 |
| Sanders | 1,705 21.1% | 6,151 76.2% | 215 | 8,071 | R+55.1 |
| Carbon | 2,354 32.3% | 4,720 64.7% | 225 | 7,299 | R+32.4 |
| Hill | 2,635 38.7% | 3,872 56.9% | 298 | 6,805 | R+18.2 |
| Fergus | 1,522 22.7% | 4,966 74.0% | 225 | 6,713 | R+51.3 |
| Madison | 1,689 26.1% | 4,616 71.4% | 157 | 6,462 | R+45.3 |
| Stillwater | 1,056 17.9% | 4,700 79.6% | 151 | 5,907 | R+61.7 |
| Custer | 1,385 23.9% | 4,209 72.6% | 204 | 5,798 | R+48.7 |
| Beaverhead | 1,543 26.6% | 4,059 70.0% | 193 | 5,795 | R+43.4 |
| Richland | 778 14.7% | 4,388 82.6% | 144 | 5,310 | R+68.0 |
| Glacier | 2,934 57.8% | 1,939 38.2% | 206 | 5,079 | D+19.6 |
| Deer Lodge | 2,377 48.8% | 2,330 47.8% | 164 | 4,871 | D+1.0 |
| Broadwater | 885 18.4% | 3,771 78.4% | 155 | 4,811 | R+60.0 |
| Dawson | 894 19.3% | 3,628 78.2% | 117 | 4,639 | R+58.9 |
| Big Horn | 2,112 47.2% | 2,188 48.9% | 171 | 4,471 | R+1.7 |
| Valley | 935 22.9% | 3,020 74.0% | 125 | 4,080 | R+51.1 |
| Roosevelt | 1,680 42.9% | 2,055 52.5% | 180 | 3,915 | R+9.6 |
| Rosebud | 1,095 29.6% | 2,467 66.8% | 132 | 3,694 | R+37.1 |
| Teton | 927 26.0% | 2,534 71.0% | 108 | 3,569 | R+45.0 |
| Powell | 710 21.6% | 2,467 75.1% | 106 | 3,283 | R+53.5 |
| Blaine | 1,348 44.6% | 1,526 50.5% | 146 | 3,020 | R+5.9 |
| Musselshell | 396 13.1% | 2,551 84.7% | 66 | 3,013 | R+71.5 |
| Chouteau | 940 32.0% | 1,885 64.2% | 110 | 2,935 | R+32.2 |
| Pondera | 782 27.4% | 1,972 69.1% | 99 | 2,853 | R+41.7 |
| Mineral | 689 24.3% | 2,049 72.3% | 96 | 2,834 | R+48.0 |
| Sweet Grass | 525 22.0% | 1,789 75.1% | 68 | 2,382 | R+53.1 |
| Phillips | 385 17.6% | 1,753 80.1% | 51 | 2,189 | R+62.5 |
| Granite | 579 26.6% | 1,537 70.6% | 60 | 2,176 | R+44.0 |
| Toole | 415 20.3% | 1,571 76.8% | 60 | 2,046 | R+56.5 |
| Sheridan | 509 26.6% | 1,321 69.1% | 82 | 1,912 | R+42.5 |
| Fallon | 163 10.8% | 1,303 86.5% | 41 | 1,507 | R+75.6 |
| Judith Basin | 265 19.6% | 1,051 77.7% | 37 | 1,353 | R+58.1 |
| Meagher | 256 21.8% | 888 75.8% | 28 | 1,172 | R+53.9 |
| Powder River | 131 11.8% | 963 87.1% | 12 | 1,106 | R+75.2 |
| Wheatland | 209 19.2% | 843 77.6% | 34 | 1,086 | R+58.4 |
| McCone | 129 11.9% | 931 86.0% | 22 | 1,082 | R+74.1 |
| Liberty | 214 21.7% | 752 76.1% | 22 | 988 | R+54.5 |
| Daniels | 154 16.2% | 778 81.8% | 19 | 951 | R+65.6 |
| Carter | 75 8.8% | 760 89.0% | 19 | 854 | R+80.2 |
| Garfield | 39 4.9% | 756 94.5% | 5 | 800 | R+89.6 |
| Prairie | 122 17.7% | 546 79.4% | 20 | 688 | R+61.6 |
| Wibaux | 71 13.0% | 463 84.8% | 12 | 546 | R+71.8 |
| Golden Valley | 67 13.0% | 440 85.4% | 8 | 515 | R+72.4 |
| Treasure | 57 12.9% | 367 83.0% | 18 | 442 | R+70.1 |
| Petroleum | 37 11.4% | 284 87.7% | 3 | 324 | R+76.2 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Montana in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+19.9 |
| 2020 | Donald Trump (R) | R+16.4 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+20.4 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+13.7 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+2.3 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+20.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+25.1 |
| 1996 | Bob Dole (R) | R+2.9 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.5 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+5.9 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+22.3 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+24.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+7.4 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+20.1 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+9.0 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+18.4 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+2.5 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+14.3 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+19.3 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+9.9 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+9.4 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+41.7 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+22.7 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+17.9 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+23.1 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+29.1 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+19.3 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+11.8 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+4.4 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+20.4 |
| 1900 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1896 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+60.6 |
| 1892 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+2.7 |