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United States · Election results history · 2024 Senate · Montana
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in Montana

Tim Sheehy (Republican) beat Jon Tester (Democrat) in Montana in 2024, 52.6% to 45.5%, a margin of 7.1 points and 43,377 votes.

Montana changed party: in 2018 it went Democratic, for Jon Tester.

Republicans led in 45 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 81,985 votes and went to the Republican by 16.2 points. The closest was Hill, where 221 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Tim Sheehy won Republican 319,682 52.6%
Jon Tester Democratic 276,305 45.5%
All other candidates 11,275 1.9%
Total607,262

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 33,493 40.9% 46,812 57.1% 1,680 81,985 R+16.2
Missoula 48,429 66.0% 23,743 32.4% 1,200 73,372 D+33.6
Gallatin 39,094 55.4% 30,537 43.3% 924 70,555 D+12.1
Flathead 23,647 37.2% 38,582 60.7% 1,313 63,542 R+23.5
Lewis and Clark 22,175 52.3% 19,367 45.7% 847 42,389 D+6.6
Cascade 17,270 45.7% 19,744 52.3% 743 37,757 R+6.6
Ravalli 10,449 34.8% 19,116 63.6% 482 30,047 R+28.8
Silver Bow 11,854 64.4% 6,232 33.8% 332 18,418 D+30.5
Lake 7,798 45.9% 8,881 52.3% 314 16,993 R+6.4
Lincoln 3,287 27.8% 8,291 70.1% 241 11,819 R+42.3
Park 6,009 50.9% 5,614 47.5% 193 11,816 D+3.3
Jefferson 3,099 37.1% 5,108 61.2% 146 8,353 R+24.1
Sanders 2,241 27.6% 5,663 69.9% 202 8,106 R+42.2
Carbon 2,794 37.8% 4,459 60.4% 135 7,388 R+22.5
Hill 3,438 50.3% 3,217 47.1% 177 6,832 D+3.2
Fergus 1,910 28.2% 4,749 70.2% 104 6,763 R+42.0
Madison 2,025 31.1% 4,388 67.4% 101 6,514 R+36.3
Stillwater 1,352 22.8% 4,473 75.4% 107 5,932 R+52.6
Beaverhead 2,024 34.7% 3,707 63.5% 110 5,841 R+28.8
Custer 1,855 31.9% 3,818 65.6% 147 5,820 R+33.7
Richland 1,238 23.4% 3,914 73.8% 148 5,300 R+50.5
Glacier 3,638 70.9% 1,426 27.8% 70 5,134 D+43.1
Deer Lodge 2,991 60.9% 1,820 37.1% 99 4,910 D+23.8
Broadwater 1,219 25.2% 3,503 72.3% 120 4,842 R+47.2
Dawson 1,259 27.1% 3,269 70.3% 125 4,653 R+43.2
Big Horn 2,805 63.0% 1,580 35.5% 68 4,453 D+27.5
Valley 1,307 31.9% 2,672 65.3% 114 4,093 R+33.3
Roosevelt 2,249 56.8% 1,636 41.3% 73 3,958 D+15.5
Rosebud 1,435 38.5% 2,208 59.3% 81 3,724 R+20.8
Teton 1,216 33.7% 2,323 64.4% 67 3,606 R+30.7
Powell 1,065 32.3% 2,160 65.4% 76 3,301 R+33.2
Blaine 1,814 59.3% 1,192 39.0% 51 3,057 D+20.3
Musselshell 536 17.8% 2,408 80.1% 61 3,005 R+62.3
Chouteau 1,274 43.0% 1,643 55.5% 44 2,961 R+12.5
Pondera 1,017 35.5% 1,804 62.9% 45 2,866 R+27.5
Mineral 950 33.3% 1,831 64.3% 68 2,849 R+30.9
Sweet Grass 665 27.7% 1,685 70.1% 52 2,402 R+42.5
Phillips 490 22.3% 1,678 76.3% 32 2,200 R+54.0
Granite 778 35.6% 1,377 63.0% 30 2,185 R+27.4
Toole 558 27.3% 1,436 70.3% 50 2,044 R+43.0
Sheridan 685 36.1% 1,159 61.1% 53 1,897 R+25.0
Fallon 256 17.1% 1,200 80.3% 39 1,495 R+63.1
Judith Basin 352 25.9% 991 72.9% 17 1,360 R+47.0
Meagher 309 26.2% 845 71.6% 26 1,180 R+45.4
Powder River 205 18.5% 886 79.8% 19 1,110 R+61.4
Wheatland 278 25.6% 792 72.9% 16 1,086 R+47.3
McCone 173 15.9% 890 82.0% 22 1,085 R+66.1
Liberty 307 30.6% 683 68.2% 12 1,002 R+37.5
Daniels 220 23.1% 719 75.4% 15 954 R+52.3
Carter 109 12.8% 732 85.7% 13 854 R+73.0
Garfield 68 8.5% 720 90.5% 8 796 R+81.9
Prairie 180 26.0% 489 70.6% 24 693 R+44.6
Wibaux 121 22.0% 414 75.3% 15 550 R+53.3
Golden Valley 91 17.5% 422 81.2% 7 520 R+63.7
Treasure 101 22.6% 336 75.2% 10 447 R+52.6
Petroleum 50 15.2% 274 83.5% 4 328 R+68.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Tim Sheehy (R) R+7.1
2020 Steve Daines (R) R+10.0
2018 Jon Tester (D) D+3.6
2014 Steve Daines (R) R+17.7
2012 Jon Tester (D) D+3.7
2008 Max Baucus (D) D+45.8
2006 Jon Tester (D) D+0.9
2002 Max Baucus (D) D+31.0
2000 Conrad Burns (R) R+3.3
1996 Max Baucus (D) D+4.9
1994 Conrad R. Burns (R) R+24.7
1990 Max Baucus (D) D+38.7
1988 Conrad Burns (R) R+3.7
1984 Max Baucus (D) D+16.2
1982 John Melcher (D) D+12.8
1978 Max Baucus (D) D+11.4
1976 John Melcher (D) D+28.3
1972 Lee Metcalf (D) D+3.9
1970 Mike Mansfield (D) D+21.1
1966 Lee Metcalf (D) D+6.3
1964 Mike Mansfield (D) D+29.0
1960 Lee Metcalf (D) D+1.5
1958 Mike Mansfield (D) D+52.4
1954 James E. Murray (D) D+0.8
1952 Mike Mansfield (D) D+2.2
1948 James E. Murray (D) D+13.9
1946 Zales N. Ecton (R) R+8.1
1942 James E. Murray (D) D+0.7
1940 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+46.9
1936 James E. Murray (D) D+27.9
1934 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+41.4
1930 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+22.5
1928 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+6.4
1924 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+10.4
1922 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+11.8
1918 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+5.3
1916 Henry L. Myers (D) D+7.7