United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in Arizona

Ruben Gallego (Democrat) beat Kari Lake (Republican) in Arizona in 2024, 50.1% to 47.7%, a margin of 2.4 points and 80,574 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2018, when Kyrsten Sinema won.

Republicans led in 10 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Maricopa, cast 2,030,083 votes and went to the Democrat by 5.2 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 976 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ruben Gallego won Democratic 1,676,335 50.1%
Kari Lake Republican 1,595,761 47.7%
All other candidates 75,868 2.3%
Total3,347,964

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 1,045,766 51.5% 940,465 46.3% 43,852 2,030,083 D+5.2
Pima 298,751 59.1% 193,021 38.2% 13,859 505,631 D+20.9
Pinal 86,674 41.9% 115,595 55.9% 4,622 206,891 R+14.0
Yavapai 51,888 35.3% 92,426 62.9% 2,536 146,850 R+27.6
Mohave 26,567 24.5% 79,469 73.3% 2,397 108,433 R+48.8
Coconino 42,924 61.8% 24,825 35.7% 1,721 69,470 D+26.1
Yuma 29,199 43.5% 36,212 54.0% 1,691 67,102 R+10.5
Cochise 23,347 40.2% 33,184 57.1% 1,562 58,093 R+16.9
Navajo 22,173 43.9% 27,218 53.9% 1,078 50,469 R+10.0
Apache 19,901 62.5% 11,283 35.4% 675 31,859 D+27.1
Gila 9,330 34.1% 17,433 63.8% 564 27,327 R+29.7
Santa Cruz 11,974 63.2% 6,367 33.6% 596 18,937 D+29.6
Graham 4,235 28.2% 10,385 69.3% 373 14,993 R+41.0
La Paz 2,292 30.5% 4,998 66.6% 219 7,509 R+36.0
Greenlee 1,102 33.6% 2,078 63.3% 103 3,283 R+29.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ruben Gallego (D) D+2.4
2022 Mark Kelly (D) D+4.9
2018 Kyrsten Sinema (D) D+2.3
2016 John McCain (R) R+13.0
2012 Jeff Flake (R) R+3.0
2010 John McCain (R) R+24.2
2006 Jon Kyl (R) R+9.8
2004 John McCain (R) R+56.1
2000 Jon Kyl (R) R+79.3
1998 John McCain (R) R+41.6
1994 Jon Kyl (R) R+14.2
1992 John McCain (R) R+24.2
1988 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+15.7
1986 John McCain (R) R+21.0
1982 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+16.6
1980 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.1
1976 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+10.7
1974 Barry Goldwater (R) R+16.5
1970 Paul Fannin (R) R+12.0
1968 Barry Goldwater (R) R+14.4
1964 Paul Fannin (R) R+2.9
1962 Carl Hayden (D) D+9.9
1958 Barry Goldwater (R) R+12.1
1956 Carl Hayden (D) D+22.8
1952 Barry Goldwater (R) R+2.6
1950 Carl Hayden (D) D+25.6
1946 Ernest McFarland (D) D+39.1
1944 Carl Hayden (D) D+38.7
1940 Ernest McFarland (D) D+43.6
1938 Carl Hayden (D) D+53.0
1934 Henry Ashurst (D) D+46.4
1932 Carl Hayden (D) D+34.6
1928 Henry Ashurst (D) D+8.5
1926 Carl Hayden (D) D+16.7
1922 Henry Ashurst (D) D+30.1
1920 Ralph H. Cameron (R) R+10.3
1916 Henry Ashurst (D) D+16.0
1914 Marcus A. Smith (D) D+34.3