United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US Senate election in Arizona

Mark Kelly (Democrat) beat Blake Masters (Republican) in Arizona in 2022, 51.4% to 46.5%, a margin of 4.9 points and 125,603 votes.

Arizona changed party: in 2016 it went Republican, for John McCain.

Republicans led in 10 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,551,181 votes and went to the Democrat by 6.4 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 422 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mark Kelly won Democratic 1,321,911 51.4%
Blake Masters Republican 1,196,308 46.5%
All other candidates 53,714 2.1%
Total2,571,933

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 809,588 52.2% 710,501 45.8% 31,092 1,551,181 D+6.4
Pima 248,230 61.9% 144,936 36.2% 7,544 400,710 D+25.8
Pinal 62,009 42.9% 78,820 54.6% 3,642 144,471 R+11.6
Yavapai 45,260 36.6% 75,740 61.3% 2,635 123,635 R+24.7
Mohave 21,040 25.7% 58,737 71.7% 2,117 81,894 R+46.0
Coconino 35,149 63.9% 18,697 34.0% 1,199 55,045 D+29.9
Cochise 20,002 42.6% 25,539 54.4% 1,383 46,924 R+11.8
Yuma 21,141 45.7% 23,915 51.7% 1,234 46,290 R+6.0
Navajo 18,724 46.1% 20,970 51.6% 927 40,621 R+5.5
Apache 17,884 67.3% 8,163 30.7% 535 26,582 D+36.6
Gila 7,984 35.4% 13,958 61.9% 601 22,543 R+26.5
Santa Cruz 8,993 68.2% 3,896 29.5% 304 13,193 D+38.6
Graham 3,226 29.7% 7,388 68.1% 241 10,855 R+38.3
La Paz 1,711 31.0% 3,656 66.1% 160 5,527 R+35.2
Greenlee 970 39.4% 1,392 56.5% 100 2,462 R+17.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ruben Gallego (D) D+2.4
2022 Mark Kelly (D) D+4.9
2018 Kyrsten Sinema (D) D+2.3
2016 John McCain (R) R+13.0
2012 Jeff Flake (R) R+3.0
2010 John McCain (R) R+24.2
2006 Jon Kyl (R) R+9.8
2004 John McCain (R) R+56.1
2000 Jon Kyl (R) R+79.3
1998 John McCain (R) R+41.6
1994 Jon Kyl (R) R+14.2
1992 John McCain (R) R+24.2
1988 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+15.7
1986 John McCain (R) R+21.0
1982 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+16.6
1980 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.1
1976 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+10.7
1974 Barry Goldwater (R) R+16.5
1970 Paul Fannin (R) R+12.0
1968 Barry Goldwater (R) R+14.4
1964 Paul Fannin (R) R+2.9
1962 Carl Hayden (D) D+9.9
1958 Barry Goldwater (R) R+12.1
1956 Carl Hayden (D) D+22.8
1952 Barry Goldwater (R) R+2.6
1950 Carl Hayden (D) D+25.6
1946 Ernest McFarland (D) D+39.1
1944 Carl Hayden (D) D+38.7
1940 Ernest McFarland (D) D+43.6
1938 Carl Hayden (D) D+53.0
1934 Henry Ashurst (D) D+46.4
1932 Carl Hayden (D) D+34.6
1928 Henry Ashurst (D) D+8.5
1926 Carl Hayden (D) D+16.7
1922 Henry Ashurst (D) D+30.1
1920 Ralph H. Cameron (R) R+10.3
1916 Henry Ashurst (D) D+16.0
1914 Marcus A. Smith (D) D+34.3