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United States · Election results history · 2022 Senate · Kentucky
Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US Senate election in Kentucky

Rand Paul (Republican) beat Charles Booker (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2022, 61.8% to 38.2%, a margin of 23.6 points and 349,026 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Rand Paul also won.

Republicans led in 117 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Jefferson, cast 277,772 votes and went to the Democrat by 18.1 points. The closest was Robertson, where 389 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rand Paul won Republican 913,257 61.8%
Charles Booker Democratic 564,231 38.2%
Total1,477,488

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 164,065 59.1% 113,707 40.9% 277,772 D+18.1
Fayette 64,465 60.5% 42,041 39.5% 106,506 D+21.1
Kenton 21,096 41.2% 30,057 58.8% 51,153 R+17.5
Boone 14,409 31.8% 30,898 68.2% 45,307 R+36.4
Warren 15,403 40.2% 22,951 59.8% 38,354 R+19.7
Campbell 14,812 41.5% 20,849 58.5% 35,661 R+16.9
Daviess 11,906 36.2% 20,998 63.8% 32,904 R+27.6
Hardin 11,459 37.1% 19,413 62.9% 30,872 R+25.8
Madison 11,420 38.1% 18,592 61.9% 30,012 R+23.9
Oldham 10,295 39.2% 15,998 60.8% 26,293 R+21.7
Bullitt 6,895 27.8% 17,945 72.2% 24,840 R+44.5
McCracken 7,466 32.8% 15,294 67.2% 22,760 R+34.4
Pulaski 4,177 19.7% 17,000 80.3% 21,177 R+60.6
Scott 8,198 40.0% 12,302 60.0% 20,500 R+20.0
Franklin 10,589 52.5% 9,570 47.5% 20,159 D+5.1
Shelby 6,194 34.8% 11,606 65.2% 17,800 R+30.4
Laurel 3,096 17.6% 14,474 82.4% 17,570 R+64.8
Jessamine 5,732 33.1% 11,569 66.9% 17,301 R+33.7
Nelson 5,787 34.1% 11,205 65.9% 16,992 R+31.9
Pike 4,067 25.8% 11,667 74.2% 15,734 R+48.3
Christian 5,210 33.7% 10,255 66.3% 15,465 R+32.6
Hopkins 4,205 28.4% 10,592 71.6% 14,797 R+43.2
Boyd 5,098 36.0% 9,071 64.0% 14,169 R+28.0
Barren 3,845 27.2% 10,298 72.8% 14,143 R+45.6
Henderson 5,233 37.4% 8,765 62.6% 13,998 R+25.2
Marshall 3,054 23.6% 9,875 76.4% 12,929 R+52.8
Clark 4,533 35.4% 8,270 64.6% 12,803 R+29.2
Greenup 3,735 29.6% 8,899 70.4% 12,634 R+40.9
Graves 2,575 21.3% 9,514 78.7% 12,089 R+57.4
Calloway 3,934 33.2% 7,906 66.8% 11,840 R+33.5
Floyd 4,000 34.4% 7,636 65.6% 11,636 R+31.2
Woodford 5,023 44.6% 6,227 55.4% 11,250 R+10.7
Boyle 4,021 38.9% 6,304 61.1% 10,325 R+22.1
Muhlenberg 3,137 30.8% 7,062 69.2% 10,199 R+38.5
Whitley 1,822 18.1% 8,221 81.9% 10,043 R+63.7
Meade 2,672 28.0% 6,881 72.0% 9,553 R+44.1
Anderson 2,691 28.7% 6,687 71.3% 9,378 R+42.6
Taylor 2,244 24.9% 6,751 75.1% 8,995 R+50.1
Montgomery 2,834 31.5% 6,152 68.5% 8,986 R+36.9
Logan 2,268 26.7% 6,240 73.3% 8,508 R+46.7
Mercer 2,308 27.8% 5,980 72.2% 8,288 R+44.3
Carter 2,383 29.1% 5,792 70.9% 8,175 R+41.7
Knox 1,516 19.0% 6,457 81.0% 7,973 R+62.0
Grayson 1,687 21.3% 6,229 78.7% 7,916 R+57.4
Spencer 1,889 24.4% 5,844 75.6% 7,733 R+51.1
Harlan 1,333 17.3% 6,386 82.7% 7,719 R+65.5
Perry 2,250 30.2% 5,212 69.8% 7,462 R+39.7
Grant 1,592 21.4% 5,847 78.6% 7,439 R+57.2
Rowan 3,180 42.9% 4,235 57.1% 7,415 R+14.2
Lincoln 1,715 23.2% 5,687 76.8% 7,402 R+53.7
Ohio 1,660 22.8% 5,617 77.2% 7,277 R+54.4
Bourbon 2,429 35.7% 4,381 64.3% 6,810 R+28.7
Breckinridge 1,723 25.3% 5,076 74.7% 6,799 R+49.3
Bell 1,375 20.2% 5,420 79.8% 6,795 R+59.5
Harrison 2,030 30.5% 4,624 69.5% 6,654 R+39.0
Russell 973 15.3% 5,373 84.7% 6,346 R+69.3
Wayne 1,310 20.7% 5,021 79.3% 6,331 R+58.6
Adair 1,075 17.0% 5,249 83.0% 6,324 R+66.0
Hart 1,602 25.7% 4,624 74.3% 6,226 R+48.5
Allen 1,171 19.2% 4,931 80.8% 6,102 R+61.6
Henry 1,810 30.0% 4,228 70.0% 6,038 R+40.0
Garrard 1,346 22.8% 4,560 77.2% 5,906 R+54.4
Marion 2,112 35.8% 3,782 64.2% 5,894 R+28.3
Mason 1,927 33.2% 3,879 66.8% 5,806 R+33.6
Simpson 1,763 30.7% 3,975 69.3% 5,738 R+38.6
Letcher 1,854 32.4% 3,873 67.6% 5,727 R+35.3
Johnson 1,084 19.2% 4,559 80.8% 5,643 R+61.6
Trigg 1,396 25.6% 4,057 74.4% 5,453 R+48.8
Larue 1,250 24.0% 3,955 76.0% 5,205 R+52.0
Casey 751 14.6% 4,396 85.4% 5,147 R+70.8
Fleming 1,254 24.8% 3,803 75.2% 5,057 R+50.4
Washington 1,464 29.5% 3,492 70.5% 4,956 R+40.9
Clay 687 13.9% 4,238 86.1% 4,925 R+72.1
Pendleton 1,051 21.5% 3,841 78.5% 4,892 R+57.0
Union 1,193 24.4% 3,688 75.6% 4,881 R+51.1
Magoffin 1,472 30.2% 3,404 69.8% 4,876 R+39.6
Knott 1,540 32.1% 3,252 67.9% 4,792 R+35.7
Rockcastle 761 15.9% 4,020 84.1% 4,781 R+68.2
Caldwell 1,104 23.6% 3,580 76.4% 4,684 R+52.9
Estill 1,110 24.0% 3,511 76.0% 4,621 R+52.0
McCreary 629 14.4% 3,738 85.6% 4,367 R+71.2
Green 655 15.2% 3,658 84.8% 4,313 R+69.6
Edmonson 957 22.4% 3,309 77.6% 4,266 R+55.1
Bath 1,404 33.2% 2,827 66.8% 4,231 R+33.6
Webster 1,054 25.0% 3,158 75.0% 4,212 R+50.0
Butler 766 18.3% 3,429 81.7% 4,195 R+63.5
Lawrence 948 23.0% 3,179 77.0% 4,127 R+54.1
Morgan 1,127 28.0% 2,894 72.0% 4,021 R+43.9
Metcalfe 952 23.8% 3,047 76.2% 3,999 R+52.4
Owen 958 24.6% 2,937 75.4% 3,895 R+50.8
Lewis 572 14.9% 3,259 85.1% 3,831 R+70.1
Monroe 451 11.8% 3,356 88.2% 3,807 R+76.3
Jackson 385 10.5% 3,283 89.5% 3,668 R+79.0
McLean 874 24.1% 2,760 75.9% 3,634 R+51.9
Powell 1,089 30.3% 2,503 69.7% 3,592 R+39.4
Breathitt 1,267 35.7% 2,285 64.3% 3,552 R+28.7
Todd 814 23.3% 2,681 76.7% 3,495 R+53.4
Clinton 409 11.9% 3,016 88.1% 3,425 R+76.1
Hancock 1,034 31.7% 2,223 68.3% 3,257 R+36.5
Bracken 756 23.4% 2,478 76.6% 3,234 R+53.2
Lyon 874 27.1% 2,356 72.9% 3,230 R+45.9
Livingston 606 18.8% 2,609 81.2% 3,215 R+62.3
Trimble 795 24.9% 2,394 75.1% 3,189 R+50.1
Ballard 639 20.4% 2,488 79.6% 3,127 R+59.1
Crittenden 534 17.4% 2,540 82.6% 3,074 R+65.3
Gallatin 788 26.2% 2,224 73.8% 3,012 R+47.7
Leslie 371 12.9% 2,509 87.1% 2,880 R+74.2
Carroll 886 30.8% 1,992 69.2% 2,878 R+38.4
Martin 358 13.8% 2,241 86.2% 2,599 R+72.5
Cumberland 355 14.3% 2,123 85.7% 2,478 R+71.3
Nicholas 824 33.3% 1,649 66.7% 2,473 R+33.4
Menifee 679 30.0% 1,586 70.0% 2,265 R+40.0
Wolfe 853 37.9% 1,400 62.1% 2,253 R+24.3
Carlisle 377 17.7% 1,750 82.3% 2,127 R+64.6
Lee 423 20.4% 1,648 79.6% 2,071 R+59.2
Elliott 658 31.9% 1,406 68.1% 2,064 R+36.2
Owsley 292 16.6% 1,467 83.4% 1,759 R+66.8
Hickman 283 18.3% 1,264 81.7% 1,547 R+63.4
Fulton 445 29.0% 1,087 71.0% 1,532 R+41.9
Robertson 295 30.1% 684 69.9% 979 R+39.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Rand Paul (R) R+23.6
2020 Mitch McConnell (R) R+19.5
2016 Rand Paul (R) R+14.5
2014 Mich McConnell (R) R+15.5
2010 Rand Paul (R) R+11.5
2008 Mitch McConnell (R) R+5.9
2004 Jim Bunning (R) R+1.3
2002 Mitch McConnell (R) R+29.4
1998 Jim Bunning (R) R+0.6
1996 Mitch McConnell (R) R+12.6
1992 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+27.1
1990 Mitch McConnell (R) R+4.4
1986 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+48.8
1984 Mitch McConnell (R) R+0.4
1980 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+30.3
1978 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+24.1
1974 Wendell Ford (D) D+9.4
1972 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+3.3
1968 Marlow W. Cook (R) R+3.7
1966 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+29.1
1962 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+5.5
1960 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+18.4
1956 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+0.7
1954 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+8.9
1950 Earle C. Clements (D) D+9.1
1948 Virgil Chapman (D) D+3.1
1944 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+9.9
1942 Happy Chandler (D) D+10.7
1938 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+24.1
1936 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+19.0
1932 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+18.6
1930 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+4.3
1926 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+3.7
1924 Frederic M. Sackett (R) R+3.1
1920 Richard P. Ernst (R) R+0.6
1918 Augustus Owsley Stanley (D) D+1.5
1914 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+9.4