United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US Senate election in Pennsylvania

John K Fetterman (Democrat) beat Mehmet C Oz (Republican) in Pennsylvania in 2022, 51.2% to 46.3%, a margin of 4.9 points and 263,226 votes.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 2016 it went Republican, for Patrick J. Toomey.

Republicans led in 54 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Allegheny, cast 573,709 votes and went to the Democrat by 28.5 points. The closest was Cameron, where 700 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John K Fetterman won Democratic 2,750,317 51.2%
Mehmet C Oz Republican 2,487,091 46.3%
All other candidates 129,230 2.4%
Total5,366,638

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Allegheny 363,873 63.4% 200,632 35.0% 9,204 573,709 D+28.5
Philadelphia 412,246 82.7% 78,386 15.7% 7,899 498,531 D+67.0
Montgomery 260,207 63.0% 143,077 34.6% 9,670 412,954 D+28.4
Bucks 164,536 52.3% 141,340 45.0% 8,435 314,311 D+7.4
Chester 147,559 57.2% 104,020 40.3% 6,384 257,963 D+16.9
Delaware 157,599 62.9% 87,322 34.8% 5,746 250,667 D+28.0
Lancaster 94,632 42.1% 124,798 55.6% 5,118 224,548 R+13.4
York 71,929 38.6% 109,631 58.8% 4,991 186,551 R+20.2
Westmoreland 66,240 39.4% 98,238 58.5% 3,531 168,009 R+19.0
Berks 71,349 46.1% 78,019 50.4% 5,456 154,824 R+4.3
Lehigh 73,096 53.6% 59,219 43.4% 3,986 136,301 D+10.2
Northampton 66,565 51.2% 59,860 46.1% 3,562 129,987 D+5.2
Luzerne 51,504 44.3% 61,978 53.3% 2,841 116,323 R+9.0
Cumberland 53,278 46.0% 59,663 51.5% 2,986 115,927 R+5.5
Dauphin 61,599 53.8% 50,141 43.8% 2,706 114,446 D+10.0
Erie 56,404 53.3% 46,507 44.0% 2,823 105,734 D+9.4
Washington 39,684 42.3% 52,337 55.8% 1,815 93,836 R+13.5
Butler 33,921 36.3% 57,168 61.3% 2,246 93,335 R+24.9
Lackawanna 50,489 56.8% 36,534 41.1% 1,920 88,943 D+15.7
Beaver 32,692 44.5% 38,772 52.8% 1,979 73,443 R+8.3
Franklin 18,718 28.7% 44,819 68.7% 1,683 65,220 R+40.0
Centre 32,597 52.5% 27,902 45.0% 1,562 62,061 D+7.6
Monroe 30,251 51.5% 26,746 45.5% 1,733 58,730 D+6.0
Lebanon 19,695 34.9% 35,023 62.0% 1,773 56,491 R+27.1
Cambria 18,849 33.5% 35,847 63.6% 1,652 56,348 R+30.2
Schuylkill 17,954 32.4% 35,293 63.7% 2,166 55,413 R+31.3
Blair 14,763 29.4% 34,214 68.1% 1,243 50,220 R+38.7
Fayette 17,731 37.9% 28,234 60.3% 859 46,824 R+22.4
Adams 16,096 34.7% 29,039 62.6% 1,284 46,419 R+27.9
Lycoming 13,573 29.4% 31,171 67.4% 1,489 46,233 R+38.1
Mercer 17,080 37.7% 27,049 59.6% 1,223 45,352 R+22.0
Lawrence 13,658 38.0% 21,384 59.5% 913 35,955 R+21.5
Crawford 11,081 33.5% 20,992 63.5% 960 33,033 R+30.0
Northumberland 10,812 32.9% 20,992 63.8% 1,091 32,895 R+30.9
Indiana 11,218 34.2% 20,769 63.4% 768 32,755 R+29.2
Somerset 7,660 23.5% 23,964 73.7% 904 32,528 R+50.1
Clearfield 8,533 27.2% 21,948 69.9% 918 31,399 R+42.7
Armstrong 8,065 28.4% 19,575 68.9% 773 28,413 R+40.5
Carbon 9,682 36.9% 15,659 59.7% 891 26,232 R+22.8
Pike 9,821 39.0% 14,792 58.7% 583 25,196 R+19.7
Columbia 9,023 36.5% 14,830 59.9% 892 24,745 R+23.5
Bradford 6,632 28.2% 16,033 68.3% 816 23,481 R+40.0
Wayne 7,669 33.8% 14,425 63.5% 618 22,712 R+29.7
Bedford 3,796 17.1% 17,954 80.7% 491 22,241 R+63.7
Venango 6,777 32.5% 13,406 64.3% 671 20,854 R+31.8
Perry 5,646 27.9% 13,956 69.0% 629 20,231 R+41.1
Huntingdon 4,665 25.5% 13,035 71.4% 564 18,264 R+45.8
Susquehanna 5,245 30.3% 11,520 66.5% 546 17,311 R+36.2
Jefferson 4,135 23.9% 13,139 76.1% 17,274 R+52.1
Mifflin 3,965 23.6% 12,263 73.1% 557 16,785 R+49.4
Tioga 4,103 24.7% 11,988 72.1% 541 16,632 R+47.4
Union 6,249 38.8% 9,401 58.4% 444 16,094 R+19.6
Warren 5,420 33.7% 10,175 63.2% 497 16,092 R+29.5
Clarion 4,327 28.2% 10,620 69.1% 424 15,371 R+40.9
Snyder 4,220 27.5% 10,657 69.5% 459 15,336 R+42.0
McKean 4,135 28.2% 10,076 68.8% 440 14,651 R+40.6
Clinton 4,750 33.9% 8,791 62.7% 476 14,017 R+28.8
Elk 4,066 29.9% 9,128 67.0% 425 13,619 R+37.2
Greene 4,394 33.6% 8,348 63.8% 349 13,091 R+30.2
Wyoming 4,059 34.5% 7,338 62.3% 382 11,779 R+27.8
Juniata 2,111 21.7% 7,265 74.7% 352 9,728 R+53.0
Montour 3,213 41.0% 4,328 55.3% 292 7,833 R+14.2
Potter 1,415 19.9% 5,486 77.2% 207 7,108 R+57.3
Fulton 953 15.3% 5,171 82.8% 122 6,246 R+67.5
Sullivan 869 28.8% 2,023 67.1% 124 3,016 R+38.3
Forest 694 31.8% 1,434 65.7% 54 2,182 R+33.9
Cameron 547 29.0% 1,247 66.1% 92 1,886 R+37.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Dave McCormick (R) R+0.2
2022 John K Fetterman (D) D+4.9
2018 Robert P Casey Jr (D) D+12.9
2016 Patrick J. Toomey (R) R+1.4
2012 Robert P. Casey, Jr. (D) D+9.1
2010 Pat Toomey (R) R+2.0
2006 Bob Casey, Jr. (D) D+17.4
2004 Arlen Specter (R) R+10.6
2000 Rick Santorum (R) R+6.9
1998 Arlen Specter (R) R+26.6
1994 Rick Santorum (R) R+2.5
1992 Arlen Specter (R) R+2.8
1988 John Heinz (R) R+34.0
1986 Arlen Specter (R) R+13.6
1982 John Heinz (R) R+20.1
1980 Arlen Specter (R) R+2.4
1976 H. John Heinz III (R) R+5.6
1974 Richard Schweiker (R) R+7.1
1970 Hugh Scott (R) R+6.0
1968 Richard Schweiker (R) R+6.1
1964 Hugh Scott (R) R+1.5
1962 Joseph S. Clark (D) D+2.4
1958 Hugh Scott (R) R+2.8
1956 Joseph S. Clark (D) D+0.4
1952 Edward Martin (R) R+3.6
1950 James H. Duff (R) R+3.6
1946 Edward Martin (R) R+19.4
1944 Francis Myers (D) D+0.6
1940 Joseph F. Guffey (D) D+4.4
1938 James J. Davis (R) R+10.6
1934 Joseph F. Guffey (D) D+4.3
1932 James J. Davis (R) R+6.2
1928 David A. Reed (R) R+30.4
1926 William S. Vare (R) R+11.5
1922 David A. Reed (R) R+25.5
1920 Boies Penrose (R) R+32.8
1916 Philander Knox (R) R+19.1
1914 Boies Penrose (R) R+22.8