United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US Senate election in Florida

Marco Rubio (Republican) beat Val Demings (Democrat) in Florida in 2022, 57.4% to 41.1%, a margin of 16.3 points and 1,273,324 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Marco Rubio also won.

Republicans led in 61 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 716,322 votes and went to the Republican by 9.4 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 1,208 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Marco Rubio won Republican 4,474,846 57.4%
Val Demings Democratic 3,201,522 41.1%
All other candidates 120,544 1.5%
Total7,796,912

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 318,978 44.5% 386,251 53.9% 11,093 716,322 R+9.4
Broward 353,575 58.8% 238,962 39.8% 8,439 600,976 D+19.1
Palm Beach 269,839 49.5% 267,715 49.1% 7,996 545,550 D+0.4
Hillsborough 222,378 45.9% 253,495 52.3% 9,043 484,916 R+6.4
Pinellas 192,058 45.2% 223,747 52.7% 8,744 424,549 R+7.5
Orange 225,569 55.2% 177,105 43.3% 5,943 408,617 D+11.9
Duval 147,646 44.7% 177,401 53.7% 5,256 330,303 R+9.0
Lee 87,108 31.6% 185,123 67.1% 3,850 276,081 R+35.5
Brevard 98,978 36.9% 165,233 61.6% 4,124 268,335 R+24.7
Polk 82,261 35.7% 144,548 62.6% 3,917 230,726 R+27.0
Volusia 84,543 37.2% 139,085 61.3% 3,334 226,962 R+24.0
Pasco 77,664 34.4% 143,760 63.7% 4,125 225,549 R+29.3
Sarasota 86,618 39.5% 129,865 59.2% 3,031 219,514 R+19.7
Seminole 83,285 45.3% 97,760 53.2% 2,771 183,816 R+7.9
Manatee 61,423 35.7% 108,234 62.9% 2,526 172,183 R+27.2
Collier 46,537 28.3% 116,050 70.6% 1,678 164,265 R+42.3
Lake 55,377 34.5% 103,103 64.2% 2,092 160,572 R+29.7
Marion 49,698 31.8% 104,655 66.9% 2,074 156,427 R+35.1
St. Johns 44,371 30.6% 98,564 68.0% 2,076 145,011 R+37.4
St. Lucie 50,851 41.6% 69,924 57.1% 1,586 122,361 R+15.6
Leon 69,677 58.9% 46,511 39.3% 2,028 118,216 D+19.6
Escambia 40,790 35.1% 73,225 63.1% 2,075 116,090 R+27.9
Osceola 49,907 48.4% 51,422 49.8% 1,844 103,173 R+1.5
Alachua 55,439 57.6% 39,220 40.8% 1,536 96,195 D+16.9
Charlotte 27,757 29.9% 63,845 68.7% 1,331 92,933 R+38.8
Clay 23,054 25.5% 65,972 73.0% 1,307 90,333 R+47.5
Sumter 25,010 27.9% 63,806 71.2% 852 89,668 R+43.3
Okaloosa 18,851 23.2% 60,808 74.9% 1,507 81,166 R+51.7
Hernando 24,298 30.1% 54,822 68.0% 1,478 80,598 R+37.9
Martin 24,639 31.6% 52,312 67.1% 956 77,907 R+35.5
Indian River 25,613 33.0% 50,878 65.5% 1,133 77,624 R+32.5
Citrus 19,634 25.8% 55,087 72.5% 1,264 75,985 R+46.7
Santa Rosa 15,554 20.5% 59,111 77.9% 1,190 75,855 R+57.4
Bay 14,547 21.6% 51,657 76.8% 1,039 67,243 R+55.2
Flagler 20,204 34.3% 37,934 64.4% 748 58,886 R+30.1
Nassau 11,337 23.7% 35,944 75.1% 610 47,891 R+51.4
Highlands 10,480 26.3% 28,777 72.1% 665 39,922 R+45.8
Walton 6,326 18.1% 28,203 80.6% 446 34,975 R+62.6
Monroe 13,756 40.3% 19,897 58.3% 463 34,116 R+18.0
Putnam 6,450 24.2% 19,812 74.3% 394 26,656 R+50.1
Columbia 5,070 21.3% 18,344 77.2% 355 23,769 R+55.8
Levy 3,944 22.0% 13,690 76.3% 320 17,954 R+54.3
Gadsden 11,113 63.7% 6,086 34.9% 260 17,459 D+28.8
Suwannee 3,018 18.4% 13,125 80.0% 257 16,400 R+61.6
Jackson 3,956 24.2% 12,188 74.5% 211 16,355 R+50.3
Wakulla 4,343 28.7% 10,485 69.4% 285 15,113 R+40.6
Okeechobee 2,218 20.3% 8,532 78.0% 184 10,934 R+57.7
Baker 1,181 11.0% 9,431 87.8% 124 10,736 R+76.8
Bradford 1,942 18.9% 8,156 79.3% 192 10,290 R+60.4
Washington 1,345 14.7% 7,641 83.5% 161 9,147 R+68.8
Desoto 2,097 24.1% 6,469 74.2% 148 8,714 R+50.2
Hendry 2,121 25.6% 6,008 72.4% 164 8,293 R+46.9
Gilchrist 1,087 13.8% 6,657 84.4% 145 7,889 R+70.6
Taylor 1,495 19.6% 6,063 79.3% 87 7,645 R+59.8
Jefferson 2,929 41.0% 4,137 57.8% 86 7,152 R+16.9
Madison 2,442 34.8% 4,476 63.8% 102 7,020 R+29.0
Holmes 556 8.2% 6,151 90.6% 83 6,790 R+82.4
Gulf 1,295 20.1% 5,069 78.7% 74 6,438 R+58.6
Dixie 826 13.3% 5,225 84.4% 142 6,193 R+71.0
Hardee 981 17.7% 4,480 80.7% 91 5,552 R+63.0
Franklin 1,471 26.9% 3,885 71.1% 109 5,465 R+44.2
Calhoun 700 14.4% 4,067 83.5% 101 4,868 R+69.2
Union 580 12.7% 3,917 85.8% 70 4,567 R+73.1
Hamilton 1,215 28.1% 3,030 70.1% 75 4,320 R+42.0
Glades 764 19.9% 3,026 78.8% 49 3,839 R+58.9
Lafayette 348 11.9% 2,521 86.3% 52 2,921 R+74.4
Liberty 405 15.4% 2,164 82.5% 53 2,622 R+67.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Rick Scott (R) R+12.8
2022 Marco Rubio (R) R+16.3
2018 Rick Scott (R) R+0.1
2016 Marco Rubio (R) R+7.7
2012 Bill Nelson (D) D+13.0
2010 Marco Rubio (R) R+28.7
2006 Bill Nelson (D) D+22.2
2004 Mel Martinez (R) R+1.1
2000 Bill Nelson (D) D+4.9
1998 Bob Graham (D) D+24.9
1994 Connie Mack (R) R+41.0
1992 Bob Graham (D) D+30.8
1988 Connie Mack (R) R+0.8
1986 Bob Graham (D) D+9.5
1982 Lawton Chiles (D) D+23.5
1980 Paula Hawkins (R) R+3.3
1976 Lawton Chiles (D) D+26.0
1974 Richard Stone (D) D+2.5
1970 Lawton Chiles (D) D+7.7
1968 Edward J. Gurney (R) R+11.8
1964 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+27.9
1962 George A. Smathers (D) D+40.1
1958 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+42.5
1956 George A. Smathers (D) D+100.0
1952 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+100.0
1950 George A. Smathers (D) D+52.6
1946 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+57.3
1944 Claude Pepper (D) D+42.6
1940 Charles O. Andrews (D) D+100.0
1938 Claude Pepper (D) D+64.9
1934 Park Trammell (D) D+100.0
1932 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+100.0
1928 Park Trammell (D) D+37.1
1926 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+65.1
1922 Park Trammell (D) D+88.3
1920 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+43.5
1916 Park Trammell (D) D+70.4
1914 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+99.5