United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US Senate election in Florida

Rick Scott (Republican) beat Bill Nelson (Democrat) in Florida in 2018, 50.1% to 49.9%, a margin of 0.1 points and 10,033 votes.

Florida changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Bill Nelson.

Republicans led in 53 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 803,252 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.1 points. The closest was Monroe, where 18 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rick Scott won Republican 4,099,505 50.1%
Bill Nelson Democratic 4,089,472 49.9%
All other candidates 1,028 0.0%
Total8,190,005

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 485,418 60.4% 316,056 39.3% 1,778 803,252 D+21.1
Broward 471,829 68.9% 211,261 30.9% 1,511 684,601 D+38.1
Palm Beach 344,008 58.3% 244,850 41.5% 1,308 590,166 D+16.8
Hillsborough 281,567 53.8% 239,622 45.8% 1,752 522,941 D+8.0
Orange 294,076 61.8% 180,740 38.0% 1,297 476,113 D+23.8
Pinellas 228,625 52.4% 205,905 47.2% 1,740 436,270 D+5.2
Duval 192,381 50.7% 185,904 49.0% 1,200 379,485 D+1.7
Lee 114,815 39.6% 174,276 60.1% 1,108 290,199 R+20.5
Brevard 121,112 42.9% 160,305 56.7% 1,069 282,486 R+13.9
Polk 105,664 43.1% 138,710 56.5% 935 245,309 R+13.5
Volusia 102,775 44.8% 125,719 54.8% 737 229,231 R+10.0
Pasco 89,425 42.3% 121,191 57.3% 1,028 211,644 R+15.0
Sarasota 96,961 45.9% 113,612 53.8% 758 211,331 R+7.9
Seminole 101,471 50.9% 97,447 48.8% 579 199,497 D+2.0
Manatee 68,842 42.0% 94,358 57.6% 520 163,720 R+15.6
Collier 54,390 34.9% 101,266 64.9% 286 155,942 R+30.1
Marion 58,989 38.0% 95,553 61.6% 501 155,043 R+23.6
Lake 61,402 39.6% 93,537 60.4% 15 154,954 R+20.7
Leon 91,077 65.0% 48,760 34.8% 340 140,177 D+30.2
St. Johns 45,610 34.8% 85,032 64.9% 316 130,958 R+30.1
Escambia 52,874 40.9% 75,931 58.7% 465 129,270 R+17.8
St. Lucie 63,962 51.5% 59,608 48.0% 525 124,095 D+3.5
Alachua 74,442 64.5% 40,595 35.2% 334 115,371 D+29.3
Osceola 67,085 58.2% 47,886 41.5% 366 115,337 D+16.6
Clay 27,706 29.6% 65,627 70.1% 274 93,607 R+40.5
Charlotte 33,525 38.8% 52,916 61.2% 16 86,457 R+22.4
Okaloosa 22,902 27.2% 60,924 72.4% 337 84,163 R+45.2
Hernando 30,796 38.2% 49,494 61.3% 409 80,699 R+23.2
Martin 30,690 39.5% 46,734 60.1% 303 77,727 R+20.6
Santa Rosa 19,047 25.2% 56,374 74.5% 270 75,691 R+49.3
Sumter 21,664 29.0% 52,857 70.8% 103 74,624 R+41.8
Indian River 29,173 39.3% 44,784 60.3% 268 74,225 R+21.0
Citrus 22,660 31.9% 48,008 67.7% 282 70,950 R+35.7
Bay 16,723 26.3% 46,681 73.4% 177 63,581 R+47.1
Flagler 21,419 40.4% 31,467 59.3% 139 53,025 R+18.9
Nassau 11,695 26.8% 31,791 72.9% 96 43,582 R+46.1
Highlands 13,398 33.7% 26,282 66.0% 120 39,800 R+32.4
Monroe 18,050 49.9% 18,032 49.8% 109 36,191 level
Walton 7,485 24.7% 22,776 75.0% 92 30,353 R+50.4
Putnam 9,342 33.2% 18,689 66.4% 132 28,163 R+33.2
Columbia 7,503 30.2% 17,230 69.3% 115 24,848 R+39.1
Gadsden 13,942 69.7% 6,053 30.3% 1 19,996 D+39.5
Levy 5,317 31.1% 11,657 68.3% 100 17,074 R+37.1
Jackson 5,182 32.4% 10,791 67.4% 36 16,009 R+35.0
Suwannee 4,044 25.4% 11,842 74.3% 51 15,937 R+48.9
Wakulla 4,868 34.2% 9,322 65.5% 40 14,230 R+31.3
Okeechobee 3,494 31.0% 7,727 68.6% 46 11,267 R+37.6
Baker 1,943 18.4% 8,580 81.3% 27 10,550 R+62.9
Bradford 2,879 27.4% 7,576 72.2% 39 10,494 R+44.8
Washington 1,959 21.6% 7,101 78.1% 29 9,089 R+56.6
Desoto 3,326 37.4% 5,502 61.9% 54 8,882 R+24.5
Hendry 3,542 39.9% 5,304 59.7% 32 8,878 R+19.8
Taylor 2,264 28.5% 5,642 71.0% 37 7,943 R+42.5
Madison 3,423 44.9% 4,183 54.9% 16 7,622 R+10.0
Gilchrist 1,633 22.2% 5,703 77.4% 31 7,367 R+55.2
Jefferson 3,624 49.3% 3,699 50.4% 23 7,346 R+1.0
Holmes 856 12.6% 5,919 87.1% 19 6,794 R+74.5
Hardee 1,915 29.9% 4,454 69.4% 45 6,414 R+39.6
Gulf 1,580 26.7% 4,321 73.1% 13 5,914 R+46.3
Dixie 1,318 22.8% 4,441 76.8% 26 5,785 R+54.0
Franklin 2,011 37.0% 3,404 62.6% 19 5,434 R+25.6
Union 1,197 24.6% 3,650 75.1% 16 4,863 R+50.4
Calhoun 1,033 22.3% 3,586 77.4% 12 4,631 R+55.1
Hamilton 1,671 36.8% 2,856 62.9% 14 4,541 R+26.1
Glades 1,156 30.1% 2,666 69.4% 19 3,841 R+39.3
Lafayette 621 22.0% 2,194 77.7% 10 2,825 R+55.7
Liberty 631 23.3% 2,075 76.5% 7 2,713 R+53.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Rick Scott (R) R+12.8
2022 Marco Rubio (R) R+16.3
2018 Rick Scott (R) R+0.1
2016 Marco Rubio (R) R+7.7
2012 Bill Nelson (D) D+13.0
2010 Marco Rubio (R) R+28.7
2006 Bill Nelson (D) D+22.2
2004 Mel Martinez (R) R+1.1
2000 Bill Nelson (D) D+4.9
1998 Bob Graham (D) D+24.9
1994 Connie Mack (R) R+41.0
1992 Bob Graham (D) D+30.8
1988 Connie Mack (R) R+0.8
1986 Bob Graham (D) D+9.5
1982 Lawton Chiles (D) D+23.5
1980 Paula Hawkins (R) R+3.3
1976 Lawton Chiles (D) D+26.0
1974 Richard Stone (D) D+2.5
1970 Lawton Chiles (D) D+7.7
1968 Edward J. Gurney (R) R+11.8
1964 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+27.9
1962 George A. Smathers (D) D+40.1
1958 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+42.5
1956 George A. Smathers (D) D+100.0
1952 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+100.0
1950 George A. Smathers (D) D+52.6
1946 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+57.3
1944 Claude Pepper (D) D+42.6
1940 Charles O. Andrews (D) D+100.0
1938 Claude Pepper (D) D+64.9
1934 Park Trammell (D) D+100.0
1932 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+100.0
1928 Park Trammell (D) D+37.1
1926 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+65.1
1922 Park Trammell (D) D+88.3
1920 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+43.5
1916 Park Trammell (D) D+70.4
1914 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+99.5