United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in Florida

Rick Scott (Republican) beat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (Democrat) in Florida in 2024, 55.6% to 42.8%, a margin of 12.8 points and 1,374,629 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2018, when Rick Scott also won.

Republicans led in 61 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 1,076,112 votes and went to the Republican by 10.0 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 1,888 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rick Scott won Republican 5,977,706 55.6%
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Democratic 4,603,077 42.8%
All other candidates 176,645 1.6%
Total10,757,428

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 477,598 44.4% 585,445 54.4% 13,069 1,076,112 R+10.0
Broward 512,458 59.4% 338,969 39.3% 11,248 862,675 D+20.1
Palm Beach 368,640 50.2% 356,386 48.5% 9,213 734,239 D+1.7
Hillsborough 316,262 47.5% 336,341 50.6% 12,718 665,321 R+3.0
Orange 330,386 55.0% 256,770 42.8% 13,406 600,562 D+12.3
Pinellas 241,729 47.3% 260,571 50.9% 9,204 511,504 R+3.7
Duval 223,191 48.1% 232,168 50.1% 8,323 463,682 R+1.9
Lee 125,524 32.6% 255,340 66.3% 4,447 385,311 R+33.7
Brevard 140,412 39.3% 209,204 58.5% 8,022 357,638 R+19.2
Polk 135,475 39.5% 201,722 58.8% 6,114 343,311 R+19.3
Pasco 119,344 38.1% 186,620 59.5% 7,682 313,646 R+21.4
Volusia 120,503 39.3% 179,997 58.7% 6,103 306,603 R+19.4
Sarasota 111,763 40.6% 160,328 58.2% 3,326 275,417 R+17.6
Seminole 118,325 47.2% 127,316 50.8% 4,885 250,526 R+3.6
Manatee 85,462 37.7% 137,928 60.9% 3,278 226,668 R+23.1
Lake 83,276 37.2% 136,284 60.9% 4,297 223,857 R+23.7
Collier 63,988 29.7% 150,015 69.6% 1,580 215,583 R+39.9
Marion 72,779 34.4% 135,179 63.9% 3,457 211,415 R+29.5
St. Johns 64,516 33.0% 128,463 65.7% 2,652 195,631 R+32.7
St. Lucie 84,650 46.3% 95,644 52.3% 2,422 182,716 R+6.0
Osceola 81,586 47.9% 85,085 50.0% 3,653 170,324 R+2.1
Escambia 60,111 37.2% 98,502 60.9% 3,108 161,721 R+23.7
Leon 88,881 57.3% 63,554 41.0% 2,646 155,081 D+16.3
Alachua 78,314 57.9% 54,458 40.3% 2,436 135,208 D+17.6
Clay 37,009 29.4% 86,368 68.7% 2,398 125,775 R+39.2
Charlotte 38,154 31.2% 82,377 67.4% 1,680 122,211 R+36.2
Okaloosa 28,850 25.6% 81,192 72.1% 2,561 112,603 R+46.5
Santa Rosa 24,555 22.0% 84,815 76.0% 2,162 111,532 R+54.0
Hernando 36,545 33.5% 70,178 64.4% 2,307 109,030 R+30.8
Sumter 31,273 29.9% 72,344 69.2% 965 104,582 R+39.3
Indian River 35,299 36.1% 61,075 62.5% 1,407 97,781 R+26.4
Martin 34,015 35.0% 61,948 63.7% 1,244 97,207 R+28.7
Bay 22,988 23.7% 72,045 74.2% 2,032 97,065 R+50.5
Citrus 27,975 28.9% 66,837 69.0% 2,065 96,877 R+40.1
Flagler 28,051 35.5% 49,683 63.0% 1,179 78,913 R+27.4
Nassau 16,804 25.7% 47,668 73.0% 845 65,317 R+47.3
Highlands 15,688 30.6% 34,858 68.0% 713 51,259 R+37.4
Walton 9,618 19.5% 38,828 78.9% 753 49,199 R+59.4
Monroe 18,227 41.6% 25,069 57.3% 475 43,771 R+15.6
Putnam 9,511 26.5% 25,621 71.5% 696 35,828 R+45.0
Columbia 8,283 24.9% 24,400 73.5% 536 33,219 R+48.5
Levy 5,763 23.9% 17,894 74.2% 454 24,111 R+50.3
Jackson 5,515 25.1% 16,033 73.0% 415 21,963 R+47.9
Gadsden 13,192 60.7% 8,221 37.8% 333 21,746 D+22.9
Suwannee 4,073 18.8% 17,123 79.1% 461 21,657 R+60.3
Wakulla 5,265 26.8% 14,013 71.3% 372 19,650 R+44.5
Okeechobee 4,002 25.3% 11,544 73.1% 244 15,790 R+47.8
Baker 2,161 14.6% 12,415 83.9% 221 14,797 R+69.3
Bradford 3,005 22.1% 10,363 76.1% 249 13,617 R+54.0
Hendry 3,837 28.9% 9,215 69.5% 204 13,256 R+40.6
Washington 1,988 15.9% 10,294 82.3% 233 12,515 R+66.4
Desoto 3,378 27.4% 8,708 70.7% 225 12,311 R+43.3
Gilchrist 1,617 15.3% 8,740 82.7% 207 10,564 R+67.4
Taylor 1,816 18.4% 7,914 80.0% 163 9,893 R+61.6
Madison 2,966 32.7% 5,984 65.9% 129 9,079 R+33.2
Holmes 866 9.6% 8,063 89.0% 132 9,061 R+79.4
Gulf 1,757 20.3% 6,745 78.0% 146 8,648 R+57.7
Jefferson 3,230 38.2% 5,118 60.5% 107 8,455 R+22.3
Hardee 1,879 23.3% 6,017 74.7% 163 8,059 R+51.3
Dixie 1,169 14.6% 6,673 83.4% 160 8,002 R+68.8
Franklin 1,795 26.7% 4,814 71.6% 115 6,724 R+44.9
Calhoun 976 15.3% 5,280 82.9% 113 6,369 R+67.6
Union 1,053 17.1% 4,967 80.8% 131 6,151 R+63.6
Hamilton 1,602 28.3% 3,945 69.7% 113 5,660 R+41.4
Glades 1,161 22.1% 3,987 76.1% 94 5,242 R+53.9
Lafayette 454 12.2% 3,183 85.5% 87 3,724 R+73.3
Liberty 539 15.6% 2,859 82.8% 54 3,452 R+67.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Rick Scott (R) R+12.8
2022 Marco Rubio (R) R+16.3
2018 Rick Scott (R) R+0.1
2016 Marco Rubio (R) R+7.7
2012 Bill Nelson (D) D+13.0
2010 Marco Rubio (R) R+28.7
2006 Bill Nelson (D) D+22.2
2004 Mel Martinez (R) R+1.1
2000 Bill Nelson (D) D+4.9
1998 Bob Graham (D) D+24.9
1994 Connie Mack (R) R+41.0
1992 Bob Graham (D) D+30.8
1988 Connie Mack (R) R+0.8
1986 Bob Graham (D) D+9.5
1982 Lawton Chiles (D) D+23.5
1980 Paula Hawkins (R) R+3.3
1976 Lawton Chiles (D) D+26.0
1974 Richard Stone (D) D+2.5
1970 Lawton Chiles (D) D+7.7
1968 Edward J. Gurney (R) R+11.8
1964 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+27.9
1962 George A. Smathers (D) D+40.1
1958 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+42.5
1956 George A. Smathers (D) D+100.0
1952 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+100.0
1950 George A. Smathers (D) D+52.6
1946 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+57.3
1944 Claude Pepper (D) D+42.6
1940 Charles O. Andrews (D) D+100.0
1938 Claude Pepper (D) D+64.9
1934 Park Trammell (D) D+100.0
1932 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+100.0
1928 Park Trammell (D) D+37.1
1926 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+65.1
1922 Park Trammell (D) D+88.3
1920 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+43.5
1916 Park Trammell (D) D+70.4
1914 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+99.5