United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in California

Adam B. Schiff (Democrat) beat Steve Garvey (Republican) in California in 2024, 58.9% to 41.1%, a margin of 17.7 points and 2,723,658 votes.

Adam Schiff (Democrat) beat Steve Garvey (Republican) in California in 2024, 58.8% to 41.2%, a margin of 17.5 points and 2,632,414 votes. (This was a special election.)

The Democratic hold continued from 2018, when Dianne Feinstein won.

Republicans led in 34 of the 58 counties and Democrats in 24. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 3,554,773 votes and went to the Democrat by 31.4 points. The closest was Imperial, where 50 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Adam B. Schiff won Democratic 9,036,252 58.9%
Steve Garvey Republican 6,312,594 41.1%
Total15,348,846

Special election

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Adam Schiff won Democratic 8,837,051 58.8%
Steve Garvey Republican 6,204,637 41.2%
Total15,041,688

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Los Angeles 2,334,647 65.7% 1,220,126 34.3% 3,554,773 D+31.4
San Diego 817,470 56.7% 624,722 43.3% 1,442,192 D+13.4
Orange 674,727 49.5% 688,640 50.5% 1,363,367 R+1.0
Riverside 442,837 48.3% 473,516 51.7% 916,353 R+3.3
San Bernardino 354,820 48.1% 382,510 51.9% 737,330 R+3.8
Santa Clara 498,592 69.0% 224,409 31.0% 723,001 D+37.9
Sacramento 375,168 58.7% 263,830 41.3% 638,998 D+17.4
Alameda 488,864 76.8% 147,584 23.2% 636,448 D+53.6
Contra Costa 342,636 67.5% 164,676 32.5% 507,312 D+35.1
Ventura 210,755 55.5% 168,900 44.5% 379,655 D+11.0
San Francisco 310,920 82.4% 66,418 17.6% 377,338 D+64.8
San Mateo 237,063 73.8% 84,374 26.2% 321,437 D+47.5
Fresno 148,209 47.1% 166,314 52.9% 314,523 R+5.8
Kern 107,310 39.0% 167,998 61.0% 275,308 R+22.0
San Joaquin 127,146 49.7% 128,921 50.3% 256,067 R+0.7
Sonoma 176,066 72.0% 68,487 28.0% 244,553 D+44.0
Placer 98,143 43.1% 129,741 56.9% 227,884 R+13.9
Stanislaus 85,995 44.7% 106,315 55.3% 192,310 R+10.6
Solano 113,121 61.0% 72,245 39.0% 185,366 D+22.1
Santa Barbara 110,470 61.2% 69,976 38.8% 180,446 D+22.4
San Luis Obispo 77,500 53.1% 68,519 46.9% 146,019 D+6.2
Monterey 92,302 64.0% 51,913 36.0% 144,215 D+28.0
Marin 112,774 79.9% 28,453 20.1% 141,227 D+59.7
Tulare 51,972 38.4% 83,439 61.6% 135,411 R+23.2
Santa Cruz 98,515 76.3% 30,678 23.7% 129,193 D+52.5
El Dorado 45,703 41.4% 64,576 58.6% 110,279 R+17.1
Butte 42,359 46.3% 49,069 53.7% 91,428 R+7.3
Yolo 61,084 67.2% 29,758 32.8% 90,842 D+34.5
Shasta 25,995 29.7% 61,395 70.3% 87,390 R+40.5
Merced 39,981 48.5% 42,397 51.5% 82,378 R+2.9
Napa 42,131 65.8% 21,863 34.2% 63,994 D+31.7
Humboldt 40,205 63.9% 22,751 36.1% 62,956 D+27.7
Nevada 33,348 54.4% 27,946 45.6% 61,294 D+8.8
Madera 20,504 38.8% 32,400 61.2% 52,904 R+22.5
Imperial 26,283 50.0% 26,333 50.0% 52,616 R+0.1
Kings 15,181 37.6% 25,235 62.4% 40,416 R+24.9
Sutter 12,984 34.1% 25,129 65.9% 38,113 R+31.9
Mendocino 23,891 63.0% 14,030 37.0% 37,921 D+26.0
Yuba 10,501 35.9% 18,711 64.1% 29,212 R+28.1
Tuolumne 10,474 37.6% 17,357 62.4% 27,831 R+24.7
San Benito 14,991 55.5% 12,031 44.5% 27,022 D+11.0
Lake 12,793 48.8% 13,396 51.2% 26,189 R+2.3
Calaveras 8,956 34.4% 17,109 65.6% 26,065 R+31.3
Tehama 7,089 27.6% 18,594 72.4% 25,683 R+44.8
Amador 7,445 33.9% 14,489 66.1% 21,934 R+32.1
Siskiyou 8,087 38.4% 12,958 61.6% 21,045 R+23.1
Lassen 2,413 21.9% 8,599 78.1% 11,012 R+56.2
Del Norte 4,217 41.0% 6,076 59.0% 10,293 R+18.1
Glenn 3,059 30.6% 6,942 69.4% 10,001 R+38.8
Plumas 3,921 39.4% 6,034 60.6% 9,955 R+21.2
Mariposa 3,556 38.5% 5,689 61.5% 9,245 R+23.1
Inyo 4,130 47.0% 4,656 53.0% 8,786 R+6.0
Colusa 2,436 35.3% 4,471 64.7% 6,907 R+29.5
Mono 3,381 57.5% 2,496 42.5% 5,877 D+15.1
Trinity 2,413 43.4% 3,148 56.6% 5,561 R+13.2
Modoc 975 24.9% 2,939 75.1% 3,914 R+50.2
Sierra 617 35.7% 1,110 64.3% 1,727 R+28.5
Alpine 463 63.9% 262 36.1% 725 D+27.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

California Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Adam B. Schiff (D) D+17.7
2022 Alex Padilla (D) D+22.1
2018 Dianne Feinstein (D) D+54.2
2016 Kamala Harris (D) D+61.6
2012 Dianne Feinstein (D) D+25.0
2010 Barbara Boxer (D) D+10.0
2006 Dianne Feinstein (D) D+24.4
2004 Barbara Boxer (D) D+19.9
2000 Dianne Feinstein (D) D+19.3
1998 Barbara Boxer (D) D+10.0
1994 Dianne Feinstein (D) D+1.9
1992 Barbara Boxer (D) D+4.9
1988 Pete Wilson (R) R+8.8
1986 Alan Cranston (D) D+1.4
1982 Pete Wilson (R) R+6.8
1980 Alan Cranston (D) D+19.4
1976 S. I. Hayakawa (R) R+3.3
1974 Alan Cranston (D) D+24.3
1970 John V. Tunney (D) D+9.5
1968 Alan Cranston (D) D+4.9
1964 George Murphy (R) R+3.1
1962 Thomas Kuchel (R) R+12.9
1958 Clair Engle (D) D+14.1
1956 Thomas Kuchel (R) R+8.3
1952 William Knowland (R) R+87.8
1950 Richard M. Nixon (R) R+18.5
1946 William F. Knowland (R) R+9.9
1944 Sheridan Downey (D) D+4.6
1940 Hiram W. Johnson (R) R+82.5
1938 Sheridan Downey (D) D+9.8
1934 Hiram Johnson (R) R+94.5
1932 William Gibbs McAdoo (D) D+12.6
1928 Hiram W. Johnson (R) R+55.9
1926 Samuel M. Shortridge (R) R+26.2
1922 Hiram W. Johnson (R) R+38.4
1920 Samuel M. Shortridge (R) R+8.3
1916 Hiram W. Johnson (R) R+31.6
1914 James D. Phelan (D) D+2.9