United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in Texas

Ted Cruz (Republican) beat Colin Allred (Democrat) in Texas in 2024, 53.1% to 44.6%, a margin of 8.5 points and 959,492 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2018, when Ted Cruz also won.

Republicans led in 235 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 19. The largest, Harris, cast 1,548,914 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.3 points. The closest was Kenedy, where 44 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ted Cruz won Republican 5,990,741 53.1%
Colin Allred Democratic 5,031,249 44.6%
All other candidates 269,864 2.4%
Total11,291,854

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 841,784 54.3% 666,027 43.0% 41,103 1,548,914 D+11.3
Dallas 531,111 63.1% 291,497 34.6% 19,514 842,122 D+28.5
Tarrant 401,742 48.9% 399,927 48.7% 19,804 821,473 D+0.2
Bexar 422,903 56.8% 303,262 40.8% 17,774 743,939 D+16.1
Travis 407,198 70.4% 157,197 27.2% 13,889 578,284 D+43.2
Collin 236,579 46.3% 263,381 51.5% 11,173 511,133 R+5.2
Denton 200,676 44.7% 237,978 53.1% 9,805 448,459 R+8.3
Fort Bend 186,710 52.4% 159,691 44.9% 9,638 356,039 D+7.6
Montgomery 86,879 28.3% 213,797 69.8% 5,841 306,517 R+41.4
Williamson 151,076 49.4% 146,451 47.9% 8,409 305,936 D+1.5
El Paso 141,826 57.9% 92,997 38.0% 10,074 244,897 D+19.9
Hidalgo 110,139 52.0% 96,208 45.5% 5,275 211,622 D+6.6
Brazoria 67,075 41.5% 90,208 55.9% 4,163 161,446 R+14.3
Galveston 59,316 37.4% 95,114 60.0% 3,962 158,392 R+22.6
Bell 55,441 42.9% 70,468 54.5% 3,431 129,340 R+11.6
Hays 67,475 53.7% 54,436 43.3% 3,665 125,576 D+10.4
Lubbock 37,560 30.2% 83,643 67.2% 3,266 124,469 R+37.0
Nueces 55,433 46.0% 62,062 51.5% 2,964 120,459 R+5.5
Cameron 58,330 50.9% 53,391 46.6% 2,778 114,499 D+4.3
Comal 29,149 28.2% 71,757 69.4% 2,418 103,324 R+41.2
Smith 28,971 28.1% 72,205 69.9% 2,052 103,228 R+41.9
McLennan 35,632 35.7% 62,054 62.2% 2,091 99,777 R+26.5
Ellis 35,685 36.1% 61,020 61.8% 2,070 98,775 R+25.6
Brazos 34,849 38.0% 54,153 59.0% 2,743 91,745 R+21.0
Parker 16,349 18.0% 72,477 79.9% 1,900 90,726 R+61.9
Jefferson 39,643 46.7% 43,888 51.7% 1,400 84,931 R+5.0
Guadalupe 30,981 36.8% 50,972 60.6% 2,134 84,087 R+23.8
Johnson 20,935 26.1% 57,382 71.5% 1,993 80,310 R+45.4
Kaufman 26,235 38.1% 41,177 59.8% 1,405 68,817 R+21.7
Randall 13,596 20.3% 51,991 77.7% 1,302 66,889 R+57.4
Grayson 15,453 23.7% 48,504 74.3% 1,319 65,276 R+50.6
Webb 33,794 53.0% 28,135 44.1% 1,808 63,737 D+8.9
Rockwall 19,466 31.2% 41,726 67.0% 1,127 62,319 R+35.7
Midland 11,866 20.4% 45,032 77.4% 1,284 58,182 R+57.0
Taylor 14,479 26.2% 39,509 71.5% 1,264 55,252 R+45.3
Gregg 13,660 29.4% 31,862 68.5% 983 46,505 R+39.1
Hunt 11,067 23.8% 34,351 74.0% 991 46,409 R+50.2
Tom Green 12,332 27.3% 31,686 70.1% 1,152 45,170 R+42.8
Wichita 12,545 28.3% 30,711 69.4% 1,001 44,257 R+41.0
Ector 10,638 25.1% 30,766 72.7% 921 42,325 R+47.6
Bastrop 16,445 41.7% 21,835 55.4% 1,156 39,436 R+13.7
Henderson 7,453 19.5% 30,046 78.6% 718 38,217 R+59.1
Wise 6,350 16.6% 31,060 81.4% 730 38,140 R+64.8
Hood 6,586 18.1% 29,107 79.9% 746 36,439 R+61.8
Bowie 9,405 26.0% 26,219 72.4% 567 36,191 R+46.5
Orange 6,285 17.5% 29,050 80.8% 618 35,953 R+63.3
Victoria 10,176 29.2% 24,002 68.9% 650 34,828 R+39.7
Angelina 8,382 24.6% 24,994 73.4% 687 34,063 R+48.8
Potter 8,933 28.0% 22,109 69.3% 848 31,890 R+41.3
Liberty 6,429 20.7% 23,983 77.2% 651 31,063 R+56.5
Harrison 7,408 24.6% 22,137 73.6% 534 30,079 R+49.0
Kendall 6,666 22.8% 22,068 75.4% 543 29,277 R+52.6
Kerr 6,672 23.7% 20,840 74.1% 610 28,122 R+50.4
Burnet 6,401 22.8% 21,056 75.0% 629 28,086 R+52.2
Hardin 3,603 12.8% 23,992 85.5% 473 28,068 R+72.6
Van Zandt 3,838 13.7% 23,626 84.6% 463 27,927 R+70.9
Waller 10,432 38.0% 16,385 59.7% 625 27,442 R+21.7
Wilson 6,802 25.1% 19,783 72.9% 544 27,129 R+47.8
Nacogdoches 7,927 31.1% 17,072 67.0% 478 25,477 R+35.9
San Patricio 8,578 33.9% 16,116 63.6% 627 25,321 R+29.8
Walker 7,728 30.9% 16,775 67.2% 475 24,978 R+36.2
Chambers 4,613 18.6% 19,735 79.4% 514 24,862 R+60.8
Medina 7,416 30.3% 16,508 67.5% 533 24,457 R+37.2
Wood 3,757 15.4% 20,129 82.8% 438 24,324 R+67.3
Polk 5,106 21.1% 18,596 77.0% 441 24,143 R+55.9
Coryell 7,253 30.6% 15,708 66.3% 725 23,686 R+35.7
Rusk 4,488 20.9% 16,646 77.5% 356 21,490 R+56.6
Lamar 4,344 20.6% 16,454 78.0% 308 21,106 R+57.4
Cherokee 3,915 19.2% 16,065 78.8% 413 20,393 R+59.6
Cooke 3,620 17.8% 16,284 80.2% 395 20,299 R+62.4
Upshur 2,994 15.1% 16,451 82.9% 394 19,839 R+67.8
Navarro 5,120 25.9% 14,327 72.4% 351 19,798 R+46.5
Anderson 3,872 20.2% 15,022 78.2% 317 19,211 R+58.0
Erath 3,126 17.2% 14,672 80.7% 380 18,178 R+63.5
Atascosa 5,739 31.6% 11,973 65.9% 445 18,157 R+34.3
Washington 4,240 23.4% 13,586 74.9% 314 18,140 R+51.5
Brown 2,358 14.1% 14,106 84.1% 313 16,777 R+70.0
Hopkins 3,142 18.8% 13,269 79.4% 294 16,705 R+60.6
Hill 3,223 19.3% 13,104 78.7% 331 16,658 R+59.3
Gillespie 3,296 20.0% 12,881 78.0% 334 16,511 R+58.1
Fannin 2,927 17.9% 13,084 80.1% 327 16,338 R+62.2
Wharton 4,150 25.4% 11,915 73.0% 258 16,323 R+47.6
Jasper 2,702 17.2% 12,842 81.6% 201 15,745 R+64.4
Caldwell 6,851 44.1% 8,227 52.9% 462 15,540 R+8.9
Austin 2,998 19.6% 11,981 78.4% 308 15,287 R+58.8
Maverick 6,859 46.6% 7,287 49.5% 586 14,732 R+2.9
Val Verde 5,782 40.5% 8,071 56.5% 440 14,293 R+16.0
Starr 6,745 47.6% 7,081 49.9% 356 14,182 R+2.4
Cass 2,457 17.4% 11,477 81.3% 183 14,117 R+63.9
Grimes 2,900 20.7% 10,830 77.4% 261 13,991 R+56.7
Llano 2,677 19.7% 10,698 78.5% 248 13,623 R+58.9
Bandera 2,735 20.2% 10,472 77.4% 323 13,530 R+57.2
Fayette 2,649 19.9% 10,408 78.4% 225 13,282 R+58.4
Palo Pinto 2,355 17.8% 10,611 80.1% 277 13,243 R+62.3
Matagorda 3,486 26.4% 9,482 71.8% 241 13,209 R+45.4
Jim Wells 5,895 45.5% 6,773 52.3% 292 12,960 R+6.8
Aransas 3,069 23.7% 9,605 74.1% 282 12,956 R+50.4
San Jacinto 2,338 18.4% 10,118 79.6% 254 12,710 R+61.2
Panola 1,935 17.0% 9,281 81.7% 145 11,361 R+64.7
Lampasas 2,314 20.7% 8,606 77.0% 263 11,183 R+56.3
Milam 2,462 22.3% 8,347 75.6% 227 11,036 R+53.3
Montague 1,353 12.3% 9,489 86.1% 182 11,024 R+73.8
Lavaca 1,378 13.2% 8,915 85.6% 125 10,418 R+72.3
Titus 2,386 23.6% 7,545 74.5% 196 10,127 R+50.9
Colorado 2,207 22.3% 7,554 76.2% 158 9,919 R+53.9
Kleberg 4,621 46.7% 5,049 51.0% 225 9,895 R+4.3
Shelby 1,756 17.8% 8,022 81.2% 98 9,876 R+63.4
Uvalde 3,493 36.3% 5,848 60.8% 278 9,619 R+24.5
Bosque 1,712 17.9% 7,643 80.0% 198 9,553 R+62.1
Tyler 1,343 14.1% 8,039 84.2% 169 9,551 R+70.1
Howard 1,895 19.9% 7,388 77.7% 228 9,511 R+57.8
Burleson 1,804 19.4% 7,325 78.6% 189 9,318 R+59.3
Houston 2,104 22.7% 7,033 75.7% 148 9,285 R+53.1
Hale 2,013 21.9% 6,941 75.5% 241 9,195 R+53.6
Limestone 2,045 22.7% 6,821 75.7% 143 9,009 R+53.0
Leon 1,115 12.4% 7,734 85.9% 159 9,008 R+73.5
Freestone 1,602 17.9% 7,206 80.4% 160 8,968 R+62.5
Bee 2,845 32.8% 5,639 65.0% 188 8,672 R+32.2
Blanco 2,071 24.4% 6,243 73.5% 180 8,494 R+49.1
Lee 1,719 20.6% 6,505 77.8% 138 8,362 R+57.2
Eastland 1,020 12.3% 7,131 85.9% 146 8,297 R+73.7
Young 1,063 12.9% 7,088 85.7% 120 8,271 R+72.8
Hutchinson 946 11.6% 7,047 86.3% 175 8,168 R+74.7
Robertson 2,006 24.7% 5,982 73.6% 136 8,124 R+48.9
Hockley 1,355 17.0% 6,437 80.9% 163 7,955 R+63.9
Calhoun 2,018 26.0% 5,603 72.2% 137 7,758 R+46.2
Dewitt 1,392 18.0% 6,240 80.5% 118 7,750 R+62.6
Gonzales 1,849 24.2% 5,607 73.4% 178 7,634 R+49.2
Gray 878 11.7% 6,489 86.3% 153 7,520 R+74.6
Trinity 1,293 17.7% 5,897 80.6% 128 7,318 R+62.9
Callahan 863 12.4% 5,973 85.6% 140 6,976 R+73.3
Jones 1,039 15.1% 5,729 83.0% 133 6,901 R+68.0
Rains 951 14.6% 5,450 83.5% 127 6,528 R+68.9
Comanche 962 14.8% 5,435 83.5% 109 6,506 R+68.8
Gaines 561 8.8% 5,700 89.5% 106 6,367 R+80.7
Jackson 994 15.9% 5,197 82.9% 80 6,271 R+67.0
Falls 1,782 28.4% 4,351 69.4% 133 6,266 R+41.0
Andrews 873 14.6% 4,976 83.3% 123 5,972 R+68.7
Clay 663 11.3% 5,128 87.2% 88 5,879 R+75.9
Red River 1,148 20.0% 4,498 78.4% 91 5,737 R+58.4
Newton 972 17.1% 4,650 81.7% 69 5,691 R+64.6
Scurry 811 14.4% 4,683 83.2% 137 5,631 R+68.8
Sabine 612 11.0% 4,864 87.8% 64 5,540 R+76.8
Madison 1,012 18.6% 4,336 79.7% 95 5,443 R+61.1
Willacy 2,892 53.4% 2,365 43.7% 158 5,415 D+9.7
Morris 1,353 25.1% 3,958 73.4% 79 5,390 R+48.3
Franklin 859 16.3% 4,349 82.4% 68 5,276 R+66.1
Somervell 859 16.3% 4,298 81.5% 119 5,276 R+65.2
Moore 954 18.2% 4,186 79.8% 108 5,248 R+61.6
Camp 1,257 24.1% 3,894 74.5% 75 5,226 R+50.5
Archer 562 11.0% 4,483 87.7% 64 5,109 R+76.7
Live Oak 822 16.2% 4,165 82.3% 75 5,062 R+66.0
Nolan 1,123 22.3% 3,808 75.6% 108 5,039 R+53.3
Karnes 1,175 23.5% 3,743 74.7% 92 5,010 R+51.3
Frio 2,036 43.2% 2,567 54.4% 114 4,717 R+11.3
Marion 1,101 23.5% 3,509 74.8% 84 4,694 R+51.3
Brewster 1,998 44.0% 2,422 53.3% 124 4,544 R+9.3
Hamilton 679 15.2% 3,699 82.8% 92 4,470 R+67.6
Wilbarger 926 20.9% 3,419 77.1% 88 4,433 R+56.2
Zapata 1,957 45.9% 2,197 51.5% 111 4,265 R+5.6
Deaf Smith 1,025 24.3% 3,113 73.7% 87 4,225 R+49.4
Jack 427 10.2% 3,689 88.2% 65 4,181 R+78.0
Duval 2,180 52.4% 1,868 44.9% 115 4,163 D+7.5
Pecos 1,206 29.1% 2,817 68.0% 119 4,142 R+38.9
Coleman 470 11.4% 3,585 87.0% 67 4,122 R+75.6
Lamb 729 17.7% 3,285 79.9% 97 4,111 R+62.2
Runnels 525 13.0% 3,430 85.2% 72 4,027 R+72.1
Goliad 853 21.7% 3,016 76.6% 67 3,936 R+55.0
Stephens 450 12.1% 3,216 86.3% 61 3,727 R+74.2
Ward 710 19.1% 2,931 78.6% 86 3,727 R+59.6
San Augustine 808 21.8% 2,834 76.4% 65 3,707 R+54.7
McCulloch 497 14.2% 2,938 84.0% 63 3,498 R+69.8
Dawson 688 19.9% 2,686 77.7% 81 3,455 R+57.8
Terry 609 18.2% 2,663 79.6% 75 3,347 R+61.4
Reeves 1,142 34.7% 2,034 61.9% 112 3,288 R+27.1
Zavala 1,994 61.0% 1,165 35.7% 108 3,267 D+25.4
Dimmit 1,835 56.9% 1,300 40.3% 89 3,224 D+16.6
Carson 328 10.4% 2,755 87.5% 64 3,147 R+77.1
Refugio 958 31.6% 2,004 66.1% 69 3,031 R+34.5
Ochiltree 280 9.3% 2,669 89.1% 47 2,996 R+79.7
Mills 344 12.6% 2,343 85.8% 43 2,730 R+73.2
San Saba 333 12.4% 2,314 86.1% 42 2,689 R+73.7
Delta 453 17.1% 2,158 81.3% 44 2,655 R+64.2
Lynn 363 14.4% 2,113 83.9% 43 2,519 R+69.5
Mason 441 17.6% 2,027 80.9% 39 2,507 R+63.3
Parmer 374 15.1% 2,060 83.3% 40 2,474 R+68.1
Mitchell 374 15.1% 2,059 83.3% 40 2,473 R+68.1
Kimble 298 12.5% 2,039 85.7% 42 2,379 R+73.2
Yoakum 357 15.2% 1,928 82.4% 56 2,341 R+67.1
Brooks 1,379 59.9% 874 38.0% 49 2,302 D+21.9
Wheeler 192 8.5% 2,025 89.9% 36 2,253 R+81.4
Childress 285 12.7% 1,919 85.5% 40 2,244 R+72.8
Swisher 440 19.7% 1,744 78.1% 49 2,233 R+58.4
Haskell 357 16.0% 1,823 81.9% 45 2,225 R+65.9
La Salle 956 45.3% 1,088 51.5% 68 2,112 R+6.3
Floyd 406 19.6% 1,617 78.1% 47 2,070 R+58.5
Martin 264 12.8% 1,756 85.0% 47 2,067 R+72.2
Hartley 172 8.6% 1,817 90.6% 16 2,005 R+82.0
Castro 408 20.6% 1,530 77.1% 46 1,984 R+56.6
Hansford 147 7.4% 1,802 91.1% 30 1,979 R+83.6
Real 336 17.2% 1,574 80.8% 39 1,949 R+63.5
Presidio 1,247 64.3% 651 33.6% 40 1,938 D+30.8
Winkler 303 16.0% 1,560 82.5% 28 1,891 R+66.5
Crosby 438 23.5% 1,370 73.7% 52 1,860 R+50.1
Fisher 358 19.8% 1,420 78.4% 33 1,811 R+58.6
Coke 218 12.1% 1,567 86.9% 19 1,804 R+74.8
Bailey 325 19.0% 1,352 78.9% 36 1,713 R+60.0
Shackelford 173 10.1% 1,520 88.7% 20 1,713 R+78.6
Donley 192 11.5% 1,453 87.0% 25 1,670 R+75.5
Baylor 198 11.9% 1,431 85.7% 40 1,669 R+73.9
Hemphill 195 12.2% 1,380 86.3% 25 1,600 R+74.1
Garza 223 14.2% 1,318 84.1% 27 1,568 R+69.8
Jim Hogg 917 60.4% 586 38.6% 16 1,519 D+21.8
Dallam 158 11.1% 1,229 86.2% 38 1,425 R+75.2
Hardeman 217 15.5% 1,163 83.2% 18 1,398 R+67.7
Sutton 239 17.2% 1,129 81.3% 21 1,389 R+64.1
Kinney 390 28.2% 969 70.0% 26 1,385 R+41.8
Crockett 328 23.9% 1,008 73.5% 36 1,372 R+49.6
Knox 249 18.3% 1,096 80.4% 19 1,364 R+62.1
Crane 196 14.7% 1,115 83.5% 24 1,335 R+68.8
Upton 164 13.0% 1,069 84.6% 31 1,264 R+71.6
Lipscomb 131 10.5% 1,094 87.7% 23 1,248 R+77.2
Collingsworth 141 11.8% 1,039 87.2% 12 1,192 R+75.3
Concho 176 14.9% 989 83.5% 19 1,184 R+68.7
Jeff Davis 447 38.7% 671 58.1% 37 1,155 R+19.4
Hall 155 13.7% 957 84.6% 19 1,131 R+70.9
Armstrong 97 8.7% 1,001 90.0% 14 1,112 R+81.3
Schleicher 205 18.7% 872 79.4% 21 1,098 R+60.7
Menard 194 18.7% 824 79.5% 18 1,036 R+60.8
Hudspeth 280 27.8% 694 69.0% 32 1,006 R+41.2
Dickens 148 15.1% 817 83.1% 18 983 R+68.1
Edwards 152 15.6% 800 82.1% 22 974 R+66.5
Oldham 91 9.5% 862 89.7% 8 961 R+80.2
Reagan 156 16.7% 764 81.6% 16 936 R+65.0
Throckmorton 80 9.0% 801 90.0% 9 890 R+81.0
Sherman 82 9.2% 791 89.2% 14 887 R+79.9
Cochran 149 16.9% 706 80.2% 25 880 R+63.3
Irion 118 13.6% 732 84.4% 17 867 R+70.8
Culberson 340 45.6% 394 52.9% 11 745 R+7.2
Briscoe 79 10.6% 649 87.3% 15 743 R+76.7
Stonewall 118 16.6% 580 81.8% 11 709 R+65.2
Glasscock 37 5.6% 616 93.3% 7 660 R+87.7
Cottle 90 14.0% 544 84.6% 9 643 R+70.6
Motley 41 6.4% 592 92.2% 9 642 R+85.8
Sterling 56 9.0% 553 88.6% 15 624 R+79.6
Roberts 20 3.5% 542 94.9% 9 571 R+91.4
Foard 94 17.5% 438 81.4% 6 538 R+63.9
McMullen 48 10.1% 423 88.9% 5 476 R+78.8
Kent 58 12.9% 383 85.5% 7 448 R+72.5
Terrell 92 23.0% 301 75.3% 7 400 R+52.3
Borden 13 3.4% 366 95.6% 4 383 R+92.2
Kenedy 48 33.3% 92 63.9% 4 144 R+30.6
King 5 3.7% 129 96.3% 134 R+92.5
Loving 17 17.9% 75 78.9% 3 95 R+61.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ted Cruz (R) R+8.5
2020 John Cornyn (R) R+9.6
2018 Ted Cruz (R) R+2.6
2014 John Cornyn (R) R+27.2
2012 Ted Cruz (R) R+15.8
2008 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2006 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+25.6
2002 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2000 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+32.8
1996 Phil Gramm (R) R+10.8
1994 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+22.5
1990 Phil Gramm (R) R+22.8
1988 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+19.2
1984 Phil Gramm (R) R+17.1
1982 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+18.1
1978 John G. Tower (R) R+0.5
1976 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+14.5
1972 John G. Tower (R) R+9.1
1970 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+7.1
1966 John G. Tower (R) R+13.3
1964 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+12.7
1960 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+16.9
1958 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+51.0
1954 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+69.9
1952 Price Daniel (D) D+100.0
1948 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.3
1946 Tom Connally (D) D+77.1
1942 Pappy O'Daniel (D) D+90.5
1940 Tom Connally (D) D+88.5
1936 Morris Sheppard (D) D+85.4
1934 Tom Connally (D) D+93.8
1930 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.2
1928 Tom Connally (D) D+62.5
1924 Morris Sheppard (D) D+70.8
1922 Earle B. Mayfield (D) D+66.9
1918 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.3
1916 Charles Culberson (D) D+68.2