United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 US Senate election in Texas

John Cornyn (Republican) beat MJ Hegar (Democrat) in Texas in 2020, 53.5% to 43.9%, a margin of 9.6 points and 1,073,599 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2014, when John Cornyn also won.

Republicans led in 233 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 21. The largest, Harris, cast 1,614,492 votes and went to the Democrat by 8.4 points. The closest was Culberson, where 18 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Cornyn won Republican 5,962,983 53.5%
MJ Hegar Democratic 4,889,384 43.9%
All other candidates 292,293 2.6%
Total11,144,660

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 854,158 52.9% 718,228 44.5% 42,106 1,614,492 D+8.4
Dallas 560,603 61.2% 330,851 36.1% 24,187 915,641 D+25.1
Tarrant 382,408 46.2% 423,117 51.1% 22,573 828,098 R+4.9
Bexar 411,328 54.6% 320,095 42.5% 21,512 752,935 D+12.1
Travis 408,528 68.0% 175,860 29.3% 16,197 600,585 D+38.7
Collin 207,005 43.0% 263,074 54.7% 11,216 481,295 R+11.6
Denton 170,984 41.4% 231,025 55.9% 11,180 413,189 R+14.5
Fort Bend 178,984 51.5% 160,977 46.3% 7,471 347,432 D+5.2
Williamson 132,441 47.1% 141,224 50.2% 7,532 281,197 R+3.1
Montgomery 68,254 25.4% 194,528 72.4% 6,052 268,834 R+47.0
El Paso 164,931 63.6% 80,021 30.9% 14,284 259,236 D+32.8
Hidalgo 116,962 55.8% 84,284 40.2% 8,191 209,437 D+15.6
Galveston 55,094 35.9% 94,317 61.5% 3,972 153,383 R+25.6
Brazoria 58,759 38.3% 90,705 59.1% 3,898 153,362 R+20.8
Bell 54,413 42.9% 68,934 54.4% 3,452 126,799 R+11.5
Nueces 57,180 45.6% 64,558 51.5% 3,561 125,299 R+5.9
Lubbock 36,319 30.4% 79,459 66.5% 3,720 119,498 R+36.1
Cameron 61,508 55.3% 46,482 41.8% 3,230 111,220 D+13.5
Hays 55,597 51.2% 49,539 45.6% 3,409 108,545 D+5.6
Smith 28,385 28.4% 69,574 69.7% 1,927 99,886 R+41.2
McLennan 33,439 34.8% 60,036 62.5% 2,651 96,126 R+27.7
Jefferson 44,112 47.5% 46,928 50.5% 1,882 92,922 R+3.0
Comal 22,552 25.5% 63,545 72.0% 2,171 88,268 R+46.4
Ellis 25,780 30.3% 57,078 67.1% 2,174 85,032 R+36.8
Brazos 32,098 38.1% 49,342 58.6% 2,705 84,145 R+20.5
Guadalupe 26,697 34.7% 48,308 62.8% 1,973 76,978 R+28.1
Parker 11,919 15.8% 61,705 81.7% 1,893 75,517 R+65.9
Johnson 15,474 21.7% 54,403 76.1% 1,586 71,463 R+54.5
Webb 40,845 61.6% 23,159 34.9% 2,350 66,354 D+26.7
Randall 11,618 18.1% 51,116 79.5% 1,582 64,316 R+61.4
Grayson 13,938 23.6% 43,735 74.2% 1,301 58,974 R+50.5
Midland 11,417 19.5% 45,733 78.1% 1,378 58,528 R+58.6
Kaufman 17,507 31.0% 37,649 66.7% 1,313 56,469 R+35.7
Taylor 13,074 24.0% 39,887 73.2% 1,518 54,479 R+49.2
Rockwall 15,023 27.9% 37,584 69.9% 1,194 53,801 R+41.9
Gregg 14,025 29.5% 32,467 68.4% 991 47,483 R+38.8
Wichita 12,399 27.4% 31,626 69.8% 1,256 45,281 R+42.5
Tom Green 11,329 25.3% 32,274 72.2% 1,109 44,712 R+46.8
Ector 10,682 24.5% 31,711 72.8% 1,179 43,572 R+48.3
Hunt 8,319 21.9% 28,888 75.9% 851 38,058 R+54.0
Bowie 10,344 27.4% 26,848 71.0% 613 37,805 R+43.7
Bastrop 15,071 41.3% 20,468 56.1% 965 36,504 R+14.8
Henderson 6,672 18.5% 28,717 79.6% 706 36,095 R+61.1
Orange 6,249 17.5% 28,720 80.5% 712 35,681 R+63.0
Angelina 8,771 25.5% 24,962 72.7% 622 34,355 R+47.1
Victoria 9,834 29.2% 23,144 68.7% 696 33,674 R+39.5
Potter 9,168 27.9% 22,683 69.1% 985 32,836 R+41.2
Hood 5,282 16.3% 26,425 81.5% 700 32,407 R+65.2
Wise 4,644 14.5% 26,630 83.2% 725 31,999 R+68.7
Harrison 7,605 25.9% 21,221 72.3% 540 29,366 R+46.4
Liberty 5,662 19.5% 22,743 78.4% 604 29,009 R+58.9
Kerr 5,946 21.6% 21,022 76.3% 574 27,542 R+54.7
Hardin 3,388 12.4% 23,516 85.9% 480 27,384 R+73.5
Nacogdoches 8,487 32.0% 17,370 65.6% 639 26,496 R+33.5
Kendall 5,335 20.2% 20,584 78.0% 473 26,392 R+57.8
Van Zandt 3,374 13.1% 22,010 85.4% 389 25,773 R+72.3
San Patricio 8,494 33.6% 16,174 63.9% 648 25,316 R+30.3
Wilson 5,943 24.1% 18,327 74.2% 427 24,697 R+50.1
Burnet 5,323 21.7% 18,687 76.1% 530 24,540 R+54.5
Polk 5,237 22.3% 17,735 75.4% 559 23,531 R+53.1
Walker 7,414 31.6% 15,480 65.9% 582 23,476 R+34.4
Coryell 7,096 30.7% 15,303 66.1% 747 23,146 R+35.5
Wood 3,318 14.8% 18,757 83.5% 393 22,468 R+68.7
Waller 7,701 34.4% 14,189 63.3% 514 22,404 R+29.0
Medina 6,207 27.9% 15,594 70.2% 409 22,210 R+42.3
Chambers 3,779 17.7% 17,037 79.8% 529 21,345 R+62.1
Rusk 4,455 21.0% 16,367 77.3% 355 21,177 R+56.2
Lamar 4,264 20.3% 16,417 78.0% 375 21,056 R+57.7
Cherokee 4,058 21.0% 14,945 77.3% 328 19,331 R+56.3
Anderson 3,792 19.9% 14,943 78.4% 337 19,072 R+58.5
Navarro 4,821 25.4% 13,701 72.3% 440 18,962 R+46.8
Cooke 2,999 15.9% 15,516 82.2% 362 18,877 R+66.3
Upshur 2,804 15.0% 15,470 83.0% 375 18,649 R+67.9
Atascosa 5,588 31.2% 11,906 66.5% 400 17,894 R+35.3
Washington 4,017 23.2% 12,988 75.2% 274 17,279 R+51.9
Erath 2,707 16.2% 13,564 81.2% 437 16,708 R+65.0
Wharton 4,513 27.2% 11,832 71.2% 274 16,619 R+44.0
Gillespie 2,996 19.0% 12,544 79.5% 239 15,779 R+60.5
Brown 1,965 12.5% 13,482 85.6% 308 15,755 R+73.1
Hopkins 2,833 18.1% 12,497 79.9% 317 15,647 R+61.8
Jasper 2,851 18.5% 12,312 80.0% 222 15,385 R+61.5
Val Verde 6,430 43.0% 8,102 54.2% 422 14,954 R+11.2
Caldwell 6,449 43.4% 8,044 54.1% 375 14,868 R+10.7
Hill 2,688 18.1% 11,845 79.9% 294 14,827 R+61.8
Fannin 2,559 17.4% 11,836 80.3% 353 14,748 R+62.9
Starr 8,139 55.3% 5,825 39.6% 741 14,705 D+15.7
Austin 2,752 19.0% 11,454 79.1% 272 14,478 R+60.1
Maverick 7,956 55.7% 5,708 40.0% 618 14,282 D+15.7
Cass 2,672 19.5% 10,796 79.0% 205 13,673 R+59.4
Matagorda 3,551 26.3% 9,647 71.6% 284 13,482 R+45.2
Jim Wells 6,025 45.4% 6,957 52.5% 278 13,260 R+7.0
Fayette 2,623 20.4% 10,047 78.2% 174 12,844 R+57.8
Llano 2,331 18.5% 10,047 79.8% 218 12,596 R+61.3
Bandera 2,291 18.3% 9,957 79.4% 289 12,537 R+61.1
San Jacinto 2,268 18.3% 9,808 79.3% 287 12,363 R+61.0
Palo Pinto 2,028 16.5% 9,999 81.1% 301 12,328 R+64.7
Grimes 2,678 21.8% 9,338 76.1% 259 12,275 R+54.3
Aransas 2,729 22.4% 9,189 75.5% 246 12,164 R+53.1
Panola 2,015 17.8% 9,145 80.9% 139 11,299 R+63.1
Kleberg 5,129 47.3% 5,438 50.2% 271 10,838 R+2.9
Titus 2,748 26.5% 7,426 71.6% 202 10,376 R+45.1
Milam 2,382 23.1% 7,759 75.1% 190 10,331 R+52.0
Lampasas 1,978 19.1% 8,102 78.4% 250 10,330 R+59.3
Uvalde 3,821 37.9% 5,968 59.2% 291 10,080 R+21.3
Lavaca 1,305 13.0% 8,599 85.7% 132 10,036 R+72.7
Howard 1,954 19.5% 7,840 78.2% 237 10,031 R+58.7
Shelby 2,022 20.2% 7,868 78.7% 102 9,992 R+58.5
Colorado 2,362 23.9% 7,367 74.5% 159 9,888 R+50.6
Montague 1,051 10.8% 8,526 87.4% 182 9,759 R+76.6
Tyler 1,400 14.7% 7,916 83.1% 207 9,523 R+68.4
Hale 2,155 23.0% 6,999 74.6% 222 9,376 R+51.7
Houston 2,230 23.9% 6,984 74.8% 120 9,334 R+50.9
Bee 3,102 34.3% 5,713 63.2% 229 9,044 R+28.9
Bosque 1,490 16.5% 7,367 81.5% 181 9,038 R+65.0
Limestone 2,112 23.6% 6,656 74.2% 199 8,967 R+50.7
Hutchinson 900 10.4% 7,575 87.2% 214 8,689 R+76.8
Leon 1,028 12.0% 7,421 86.4% 143 8,592 R+74.4
Freestone 1,553 18.1% 6,838 79.9% 166 8,557 R+61.8
Burleson 1,709 20.1% 6,596 77.7% 184 8,489 R+57.6
Young 967 11.9% 6,996 86.3% 146 8,109 R+74.3
Eastland 910 11.3% 7,015 86.7% 162 8,087 R+75.5
Lee 1,689 21.0% 6,211 77.3% 132 8,032 R+56.3
Robertson 2,244 28.1% 5,590 70.0% 154 7,988 R+41.9
Hockley 1,384 17.3% 6,449 80.8% 152 7,985 R+63.4
Dewitt 1,384 17.5% 6,399 81.1% 104 7,887 R+63.6
Calhoun 2,092 27.0% 5,531 71.4% 122 7,745 R+44.4
Gray 774 10.1% 6,705 87.2% 209 7,688 R+77.1
Gonzales 1,782 23.7% 5,617 74.6% 131 7,530 R+50.9
Blanco 1,816 24.5% 5,457 73.7% 135 7,408 R+49.1
Trinity 1,258 18.5% 5,445 79.9% 108 6,811 R+61.5
Callahan 680 10.1% 5,892 87.7% 147 6,719 R+77.6
Jones 967 14.6% 5,546 83.8% 108 6,621 R+69.2
Jackson 1,021 16.2% 5,167 82.1% 107 6,295 R+65.9
Falls 1,787 29.6% 4,157 68.8% 95 6,039 R+39.2
Newton 1,163 19.3% 4,784 79.5% 70 6,017 R+60.2
Comanche 831 13.8% 5,053 84.2% 120 6,004 R+70.3
Rains 789 13.2% 5,060 85.0% 107 5,956 R+71.7
Scurry 805 13.9% 4,870 84.0% 121 5,796 R+70.1
Andrews 779 13.4% 4,888 84.4% 127 5,794 R+70.9
Gaines 548 9.5% 5,118 88.9% 94 5,760 R+79.3
Red River 1,191 20.8% 4,452 77.7% 89 5,732 R+56.9
Clay 632 11.1% 4,958 87.2% 96 5,686 R+76.1
Morris 1,634 30.0% 3,727 68.4% 87 5,448 R+38.4
Moore 999 18.3% 4,314 79.2% 134 5,447 R+60.9
Sabine 688 12.7% 4,678 86.1% 69 5,435 R+73.4
Willacy 2,968 56.1% 2,183 41.3% 135 5,286 D+14.9
Nolan 1,077 20.4% 4,102 77.7% 102 5,281 R+57.3
Madison 1,030 19.7% 4,118 78.8% 75 5,223 R+59.1
Karnes 1,178 23.1% 3,833 75.3% 78 5,089 R+52.2
Camp 1,359 27.0% 3,597 71.4% 79 5,035 R+44.4
Live Oak 790 15.9% 4,125 82.8% 69 4,984 R+66.9
Franklin 753 15.2% 4,114 83.2% 75 4,942 R+68.0
Frio 2,283 46.4% 2,489 50.6% 149 4,921 R+4.2
Somervell 712 14.5% 4,103 83.4% 105 4,920 R+68.9
Brewster 2,167 45.4% 2,453 51.4% 148 4,768 R+6.0
Marion 1,276 26.8% 3,380 71.0% 102 4,758 R+44.2
Archer 467 9.9% 4,178 88.4% 79 4,724 R+78.6
Pecos 1,376 30.1% 3,081 67.4% 111 4,568 R+37.3
Deaf Smith 1,150 25.4% 3,272 72.2% 109 4,531 R+46.8
Duval 2,458 55.6% 1,787 40.4% 174 4,419 D+15.2
Wilbarger 874 19.8% 3,473 78.6% 72 4,419 R+58.8
Lamb 802 18.4% 3,469 79.4% 97 4,368 R+61.1
Runnels 515 11.9% 3,722 86.0% 91 4,328 R+74.1
Hamilton 590 13.8% 3,570 83.7% 106 4,266 R+69.9
Coleman 426 10.5% 3,586 88.2% 53 4,065 R+77.7
Zavala 2,633 65.9% 1,232 30.8% 129 3,994 D+35.1
Ward 725 18.4% 3,138 79.6% 77 3,940 R+61.2
Goliad 840 21.6% 3,000 77.0% 57 3,897 R+55.4
San Augustine 928 23.9% 2,898 74.7% 51 3,877 R+50.8
Stephens 374 10.0% 3,312 88.7% 49 3,735 R+78.7
Jack 319 8.6% 3,322 89.8% 58 3,699 R+81.2
Dawson 732 20.2% 2,811 77.7% 73 3,616 R+57.5
Terry 714 20.3% 2,731 77.5% 79 3,524 R+57.2
Dimmit 2,122 61.2% 1,274 36.8% 69 3,465 D+24.5
Reeves 1,337 39.0% 1,978 57.7% 115 3,430 R+18.7
McCulloch 460 13.6% 2,843 84.0% 82 3,385 R+70.4
Zapata 1,821 53.9% 1,454 43.1% 102 3,377 D+10.9
Refugio 1,023 32.3% 2,073 65.4% 76 3,172 R+33.1
Carson 286 9.2% 2,756 88.6% 68 3,110 R+79.4
Ochiltree 278 9.0% 2,783 89.6% 44 3,105 R+80.7
Parmer 454 17.3% 2,132 81.2% 41 2,627 R+63.9
Yoakum 387 14.9% 2,153 82.8% 59 2,599 R+67.9
Mitchell 359 14.1% 2,129 83.8% 52 2,540 R+69.7
Delta 370 14.6% 2,111 83.3% 53 2,534 R+68.7
San Saba 270 10.8% 2,218 88.7% 12 2,500 R+77.9
Mills 252 10.1% 2,196 88.3% 39 2,487 R+78.2
Mason 443 18.0% 1,980 80.7% 32 2,455 R+62.6
Brooks 1,425 60.5% 859 36.5% 72 2,356 D+24.0
Swisher 464 20.0% 1,795 77.4% 59 2,318 R+57.4
Wheeler 165 7.2% 2,079 91.1% 37 2,281 R+83.9
Lynn 412 18.2% 1,817 80.3% 35 2,264 R+62.1
Childress 283 12.5% 1,936 85.7% 40 2,259 R+73.2
Kimble 254 11.3% 1,962 87.1% 37 2,253 R+75.8
Haskell 347 15.9% 1,808 82.8% 28 2,183 R+66.9
La Salle 1,005 46.8% 1,082 50.4% 59 2,146 R+3.6
Martin 263 12.5% 1,811 85.7% 38 2,112 R+73.3
Winkler 338 16.1% 1,714 81.9% 42 2,094 R+65.7
Presidio 1,374 65.7% 651 31.1% 66 2,091 D+34.6
Hartley 176 8.5% 1,859 89.7% 37 2,072 R+81.2
Castro 432 21.2% 1,572 77.0% 37 2,041 R+55.9
Hansford 158 7.8% 1,838 90.9% 26 2,022 R+83.1
Floyd 397 19.9% 1,554 78.1% 39 1,990 R+58.1
Real 286 14.7% 1,626 83.9% 27 1,939 R+69.1
Crosby 486 25.8% 1,356 72.1% 39 1,881 R+46.3
Jim Hogg 1,136 61.6% 652 35.4% 56 1,844 D+26.2
Bailey 383 21.0% 1,400 76.8% 39 1,822 R+55.8
Fisher 351 19.5% 1,418 78.6% 35 1,804 R+59.1
Coke 171 9.7% 1,557 88.8% 26 1,754 R+79.0
Hemphill 197 11.6% 1,465 86.5% 31 1,693 R+74.9
Baylor 177 10.5% 1,462 87.1% 39 1,678 R+76.6
Donley 181 11.1% 1,418 87.3% 26 1,625 R+76.1
Garza 225 13.9% 1,374 85.0% 18 1,617 R+71.1
Shackelford 115 7.2% 1,475 91.8% 17 1,607 R+84.6
Dallam 200 12.5% 1,369 85.8% 26 1,595 R+73.3
Hardeman 232 14.9% 1,313 84.4% 10 1,555 R+69.5
Sutton 305 19.9% 1,204 78.7% 20 1,529 R+58.8
Kinney 395 26.3% 1,070 71.2% 38 1,503 R+44.9
Crockett 314 21.0% 1,146 76.8% 33 1,493 R+55.7
Crane 229 15.5% 1,213 82.0% 37 1,479 R+66.5
Knox 263 18.4% 1,147 80.2% 20 1,430 R+61.8
Upton 159 12.0% 1,139 85.8% 29 1,327 R+73.9
Lipscomb 117 8.8% 1,181 89.2% 26 1,324 R+80.4
Jeff Davis 483 37.6% 767 59.6% 36 1,286 R+22.1
Concho 193 15.5% 1,029 82.5% 25 1,247 R+67.0
Collingsworth 145 12.2% 1,032 86.6% 14 1,191 R+74.5
Hall 156 13.7% 967 84.8% 17 1,140 R+71.1
Schleicher 191 16.9% 927 81.9% 14 1,132 R+65.0
Armstrong 64 5.8% 1,025 92.7% 17 1,106 R+86.9
Hudspeth 373 34.5% 673 62.2% 36 1,082 R+27.7
Reagan 154 14.4% 893 83.5% 22 1,069 R+69.1
Menard 189 18.9% 797 79.7% 14 1,000 R+60.8
Oldham 74 7.4% 908 91.2% 14 996 R+83.7
Edwards 144 14.6% 824 83.7% 17 985 R+69.0
Sherman 88 8.9% 888 90.2% 9 985 R+81.2
Cochran 183 18.7% 765 78.2% 30 978 R+59.5
Dickens 133 13.9% 808 84.3% 17 958 R+70.5
Irion 111 12.6% 763 86.3% 10 884 R+73.8
Throckmorton 76 8.7% 788 90.2% 10 874 R+81.5
Culberson 385 49.5% 367 47.2% 25 777 D+2.3
Briscoe 79 11.0% 625 87.4% 11 715 R+76.4
Stonewall 122 17.1% 586 82.1% 6 714 R+65.0
Cottle 110 16.8% 534 81.4% 12 656 R+64.6
Glasscock 35 5.4% 603 93.3% 8 646 R+87.9
Motley 44 6.9% 591 92.6% 3 638 R+85.7
Sterling 47 7.6% 567 91.3% 7 621 R+83.7
Roberts 15 2.8% 526 96.5% 4 545 R+93.8
Foard 107 20.6% 404 77.8% 8 519 R+57.2
McMullen 43 8.6% 454 90.8% 3 500 R+82.2
Terrell 116 25.9% 324 72.3% 8 448 R+46.4
Kent 53 11.9% 386 86.7% 6 445 R+74.8
Borden 18 4.4% 390 94.9% 3 411 R+90.5
Kenedy 57 33.7% 107 63.3% 5 169 R+29.6
King 5 3.2% 149 96.8% 154 R+93.5
Loving 5 7.7% 58 89.2% 2 65 R+81.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ted Cruz (R) R+8.5
2020 John Cornyn (R) R+9.6
2018 Ted Cruz (R) R+2.6
2014 John Cornyn (R) R+27.2
2012 Ted Cruz (R) R+15.8
2008 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2006 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+25.6
2002 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2000 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+32.8
1996 Phil Gramm (R) R+10.8
1994 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+22.5
1990 Phil Gramm (R) R+22.8
1988 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+19.2
1984 Phil Gramm (R) R+17.1
1982 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+18.1
1978 John G. Tower (R) R+0.5
1976 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+14.5
1972 John G. Tower (R) R+9.1
1970 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+7.1
1966 John G. Tower (R) R+13.3
1964 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+12.7
1960 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+16.9
1958 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+51.0
1954 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+69.9
1952 Price Daniel (D) D+100.0
1948 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.3
1946 Tom Connally (D) D+77.1
1942 Pappy O'Daniel (D) D+90.5
1940 Tom Connally (D) D+88.5
1936 Morris Sheppard (D) D+85.4
1934 Tom Connally (D) D+93.8
1930 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.2
1928 Tom Connally (D) D+62.5
1924 Morris Sheppard (D) D+70.8
1922 Earle B. Mayfield (D) D+66.9
1918 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.3
1916 Charles Culberson (D) D+68.2