United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 US Senate election in Texas

Ted Cruz (Republican) beat Paul Sadler (Democrat) in Texas in 2012, 56.5% to 40.6%, a margin of 15.8 points and 1,245,210 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2006, when Kay Bailey Hutchison won.

Republicans led in 229 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 25. The largest, Harris, cast 1,174,884 votes and went to the Republican by 1.5 points. The closest was Kenedy, where 13 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ted Cruz won Republican 4,440,137 56.5%
Paul Sadler Democratic 3,194,927 40.6%
All other candidates 229,758 2.9%
Total7,864,822

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 564,355 48.0% 582,328 49.6% 28,201 1,174,884 R+1.5
Dallas 389,398 55.7% 291,263 41.7% 18,008 698,669 D+14.0
Tarrant 243,914 40.4% 342,386 56.7% 17,310 603,610 R+16.3
Bexar 256,629 50.5% 236,161 46.4% 15,820 508,610 D+4.0
Travis 225,209 59.0% 133,984 35.1% 22,324 381,517 D+23.9
Collin 96,726 32.8% 189,142 64.2% 8,759 294,627 R+31.4
Denton 77,314 32.2% 154,208 64.2% 8,805 240,327 R+32.0
Fort Bend 98,345 45.1% 115,580 53.0% 4,126 218,051 R+7.9
Montgomery 32,608 18.9% 135,276 78.6% 4,200 172,084 R+59.7
El Paso 102,046 60.9% 59,876 35.7% 5,592 167,514 D+25.2
Williamson 60,279 37.5% 92,034 57.3% 8,319 160,632 R+19.8
Hidalgo 88,391 66.4% 41,671 31.3% 3,103 133,165 D+35.1
Galveston 39,443 36.1% 66,912 61.3% 2,877 109,232 R+25.1
Brazoria 33,744 31.8% 69,497 65.5% 2,815 106,056 R+33.7
Nueces 43,526 46.2% 48,008 50.9% 2,692 94,226 R+4.8
Lubbock 24,299 27.0% 62,650 69.7% 2,980 89,929 R+42.6
Jefferson 44,463 51.1% 41,337 47.5% 1,168 86,968 D+3.6
Bell 33,427 39.4% 48,913 57.7% 2,416 84,756 R+18.3
Smith 22,037 28.0% 55,204 70.3% 1,341 78,582 R+42.2
Cameron 42,683 57.4% 28,997 39.0% 2,686 74,366 D+18.4
McLennan 25,102 34.0% 47,075 63.7% 1,722 73,899 R+29.7
Hays 24,795 42.5% 30,217 51.9% 3,265 58,277 R+9.3
Brazos 16,404 29.7% 36,837 66.6% 2,058 55,299 R+37.0
Ellis 14,045 26.3% 37,865 70.8% 1,578 53,488 R+44.5
Comal 10,972 21.8% 37,696 74.9% 1,659 50,327 R+53.1
Randall 7,256 14.7% 40,815 82.7% 1,307 49,378 R+68.0
Johnson 10,747 22.2% 36,161 74.7% 1,489 48,397 R+52.5
Guadalupe 14,892 30.9% 31,654 65.6% 1,722 48,268 R+34.7
Webb 30,434 64.0% 14,949 31.5% 2,148 47,531 D+32.6
Parker 8,117 17.1% 38,127 80.3% 1,251 47,495 R+63.2
Midland 7,826 17.8% 35,202 79.9% 1,052 44,080 R+62.1
Taylor 9,392 22.0% 32,168 75.2% 1,227 42,787 R+53.2
Grayson 10,831 26.3% 29,112 70.6% 1,299 41,242 R+44.3
Gregg 13,303 32.3% 27,272 66.2% 594 41,169 R+33.9
Wichita 10,566 26.6% 27,926 70.3% 1,247 39,739 R+43.7
Tom Green 9,039 25.0% 25,920 71.6% 1,241 36,200 R+46.6
Rockwall 8,006 22.8% 26,179 74.4% 1,003 35,188 R+51.6
Bowie 11,760 34.2% 21,825 63.5% 780 34,365 R+29.3
Kaufman 9,589 27.9% 23,935 69.7% 796 34,320 R+41.8
Ector 7,770 24.1% 23,629 73.3% 839 32,238 R+49.2
Orange 7,567 25.1% 21,870 72.6% 695 30,132 R+47.5
Victoria 8,526 30.4% 18,727 66.9% 760 28,013 R+36.4
Angelina 8,121 29.1% 19,296 69.1% 492 27,909 R+40.0
Hunt 6,897 25.1% 19,782 71.9% 818 27,497 R+46.9
Henderson 6,616 24.2% 20,119 73.5% 642 27,377 R+49.3
Potter 6,724 25.8% 18,557 71.2% 789 26,070 R+45.4
Harrison 9,607 37.4% 15,689 61.0% 417 25,713 R+23.7
Bastrop 10,244 42.4% 12,720 52.7% 1,172 24,136 R+10.3
Liberty 5,401 24.1% 16,486 73.7% 496 22,383 R+49.5
Hood 3,963 17.8% 17,695 79.5% 605 22,263 R+61.7
Kerr 4,309 20.1% 16,493 76.8% 681 21,483 R+56.7
Hardin 3,558 17.0% 17,025 81.1% 404 20,987 R+64.2
Wise 3,474 16.9% 16,475 80.1% 625 20,574 R+63.2
Nacogdoches 6,324 31.2% 13,479 66.5% 460 20,263 R+35.3
San Patricio 7,576 38.6% 11,552 58.8% 515 19,643 R+20.2
Van Zandt 3,597 19.1% 14,762 78.4% 459 18,818 R+59.3
Polk 4,905 26.3% 13,258 71.1% 474 18,637 R+44.8
Walker 6,186 33.5% 11,653 63.1% 625 18,464 R+29.6
Rusk 6,526 35.7% 11,548 63.1% 230 18,304 R+27.4
Kendall 2,952 16.8% 14,114 80.3% 510 17,576 R+63.5
Wood 3,503 20.2% 13,576 78.1% 299 17,378 R+58.0
Lamar 4,798 28.4% 11,726 69.3% 400 16,924 R+40.9
Wilson 4,804 28.6% 11,436 68.2% 536 16,776 R+39.5
Burnet 3,888 23.4% 12,110 72.8% 630 16,628 R+49.4
Coryell 4,978 30.5% 10,766 66.0% 572 16,316 R+35.5
Anderson 4,154 25.9% 11,487 71.8% 368 16,009 R+45.8
Cherokee 4,334 27.3% 11,270 70.9% 291 15,895 R+43.6
Waller 6,390 40.3% 9,220 58.1% 247 15,857 R+17.8
Medina 4,608 29.1% 10,765 68.1% 445 15,818 R+38.9
Upshur 3,541 23.6% 11,111 74.2% 327 14,979 R+50.5
Navarro 4,381 29.3% 10,201 68.2% 368 14,950 R+38.9
Chambers 2,749 19.1% 11,324 78.8% 305 14,378 R+59.6
Washington 3,410 24.0% 10,513 74.0% 278 14,201 R+50.0
Cooke 2,467 17.5% 11,270 79.9% 372 14,109 R+62.4
Wharton 4,245 30.7% 9,348 67.6% 238 13,831 R+36.9
Brown 2,069 15.1% 11,267 82.1% 385 13,721 R+67.0
Jasper 3,755 28.7% 9,012 69.0% 303 13,070 R+40.2
Gillespie 2,227 17.9% 9,791 78.9% 391 12,409 R+61.0
Atascosa 4,883 39.4% 7,149 57.7% 359 12,391 R+18.3
Erath 2,066 16.7% 9,973 80.5% 346 12,385 R+63.8
Hopkins 3,288 26.6% 8,815 71.2% 270 12,373 R+44.7
Hill 2,898 24.4% 8,700 73.2% 291 11,889 R+48.8
Matagorda 3,995 33.8% 7,530 63.8% 286 11,811 R+29.9
Val Verde 5,732 48.9% 5,568 47.5% 428 11,728 D+1.4
Austin 2,305 20.0% 9,001 78.2% 202 11,508 R+58.2
Cass 3,427 29.8% 7,863 68.3% 215 11,505 R+38.6
Starr 9,075 81.2% 1,886 16.9% 218 11,179 D+64.3
Caldwell 4,965 45.6% 5,552 50.9% 381 10,898 R+5.4
Jim Wells 5,994 55.1% 4,674 43.0% 208 10,876 D+12.1
Fannin 2,699 25.4% 7,606 71.5% 340 10,645 R+46.1
Fayette 2,776 26.8% 7,334 70.9% 231 10,341 R+44.1
Panola 3,045 30.3% 6,835 68.1% 157 10,037 R+37.8
Maverick 6,551 67.9% 2,674 27.7% 421 9,646 D+40.2
Llano 2,000 21.0% 7,222 76.0% 280 9,502 R+55.0
Aransas 2,592 27.3% 6,640 70.0% 253 9,485 R+42.7
Bandera 1,833 19.5% 7,189 76.7% 356 9,378 R+57.1
San Jacinto 2,597 27.7% 6,545 69.8% 236 9,378 R+42.1
Palo Pinto 1,963 21.4% 6,953 75.6% 278 9,194 R+54.3
Shelby 2,733 30.6% 6,027 67.6% 161 8,921 R+36.9
Hale 2,266 26.0% 6,231 71.5% 216 8,713 R+45.5
Kleberg 4,310 49.7% 4,136 47.7% 230 8,676 D+2.0
Titus 3,091 35.7% 5,401 62.3% 176 8,668 R+26.6
Howard 2,039 24.1% 6,169 72.8% 269 8,477 R+48.7
Grimes 2,372 28.0% 5,894 69.6% 207 8,473 R+41.6
Uvalde 3,622 44.2% 4,349 53.1% 226 8,197 R+8.9
Houston 2,320 28.9% 5,578 69.5% 131 8,029 R+40.6
Milam 2,759 34.4% 5,063 63.1% 204 8,026 R+28.7
Lavaca 1,680 21.0% 6,141 76.7% 181 8,002 R+55.7
Colorado 2,063 25.9% 5,761 72.3% 140 7,964 R+46.4
Hutchinson 1,056 13.5% 6,583 83.9% 203 7,842 R+70.5
Bee 3,235 42.7% 4,158 54.8% 190 7,583 R+12.2
Montague 1,225 16.3% 6,104 81.1% 198 7,527 R+64.8
Tyler 1,824 24.5% 5,463 73.4% 160 7,447 R+48.9
Limestone 2,302 31.0% 4,992 67.2% 140 7,434 R+36.2
Gray 943 12.8% 6,251 85.1% 148 7,342 R+72.3
Freestone 1,930 26.4% 5,235 71.5% 158 7,323 R+45.1
Bosque 1,478 20.4% 5,560 76.7% 207 7,245 R+56.3
Young 1,126 15.6% 5,900 81.9% 174 7,200 R+66.3
Lampasas 1,440 20.1% 5,509 76.9% 211 7,160 R+56.8
Robertson 2,890 40.6% 4,077 57.2% 157 7,124 R+16.7
Hockley 1,384 19.8% 5,356 76.7% 244 6,984 R+56.9
Leon 1,124 16.4% 5,610 81.9% 113 6,847 R+65.5
Calhoun 2,446 37.8% 3,809 58.9% 208 6,463 R+21.1
Eastland 1,065 16.5% 5,187 80.5% 195 6,447 R+63.9
Dewitt 1,487 23.1% 4,785 74.3% 170 6,442 R+51.2
Burleson 1,758 27.4% 4,549 70.9% 111 6,418 R+43.5
Trinity 1,746 29.2% 4,057 67.8% 181 5,984 R+38.6
Lee 1,830 30.8% 3,936 66.3% 171 5,937 R+35.5
Gonzales 1,760 30.1% 3,938 67.4% 145 5,843 R+37.3
Newton 1,941 34.7% 3,473 62.1% 177 5,591 R+27.4
Jones 1,286 23.7% 3,983 73.6% 146 5,415 R+49.8
Falls 2,032 38.5% 3,139 59.5% 106 5,277 R+21.0
Callahan 797 15.6% 4,156 81.4% 153 5,106 R+65.8
Morris 2,156 43.5% 2,687 54.2% 112 4,955 R+10.7
Blanco 1,281 26.1% 3,408 69.4% 223 4,912 R+43.3
Scurry 851 17.5% 3,881 79.6% 143 4,875 R+62.2
Red River 1,685 34.6% 3,069 63.0% 120 4,874 R+28.4
Moore 872 17.9% 3,872 79.6% 123 4,867 R+61.6
Clay 910 18.7% 3,820 78.7% 125 4,855 R+59.9
Jackson 1,104 22.9% 3,610 75.0% 100 4,814 R+52.1
Comanche 1,015 21.1% 3,680 76.5% 118 4,813 R+55.4
Willacy 2,717 58.0% 1,781 38.0% 185 4,683 D+20.0
Nolan 1,309 29.2% 3,001 67.0% 168 4,478 R+37.8
Sabine 917 20.6% 3,407 76.7% 117 4,441 R+56.1
Andrews 758 17.3% 3,495 79.7% 134 4,387 R+62.4
Camp 1,567 36.6% 2,643 61.7% 74 4,284 R+25.1
Deaf Smith 1,084 25.7% 3,032 72.0% 98 4,214 R+46.2
Marion 1,670 39.9% 2,429 58.0% 87 4,186 R+18.1
Franklin 902 21.7% 3,139 75.6% 112 4,153 R+53.9
Duval 3,078 74.7% 946 22.9% 99 4,123 D+51.7
Archer 598 14.7% 3,380 83.1% 88 4,066 R+68.4
Rains 845 21.0% 3,070 76.3% 111 4,026 R+55.3
Madison 1,043 26.0% 2,909 72.5% 61 4,013 R+46.5
Live Oak 959 24.0% 2,917 72.9% 123 3,999 R+49.0
Karnes 1,443 36.1% 2,435 61.0% 114 3,992 R+24.8
Lamb 912 22.9% 2,979 74.7% 96 3,987 R+51.8
Pecos 1,399 35.2% 2,472 62.2% 106 3,977 R+27.0
Gaines 546 13.9% 3,312 84.1% 82 3,940 R+70.2
Wilbarger 1,047 27.1% 2,708 70.1% 107 3,862 R+43.0
Frio 2,083 55.2% 1,583 42.0% 106 3,772 D+13.3
Brewster 1,624 43.4% 1,875 50.1% 243 3,742 R+6.7
Runnels 577 16.0% 2,935 81.6% 85 3,597 R+65.6
San Augustine 1,256 35.4% 2,196 61.9% 96 3,548 R+26.5
Terry 915 25.9% 2,530 71.5% 94 3,539 R+45.6
Dawson 939 26.7% 2,509 71.2% 74 3,522 R+44.6
Hamilton 697 20.0% 2,714 78.0% 70 3,481 R+57.9
Somervell 652 18.9% 2,693 78.1% 102 3,447 R+59.2
Coleman 508 15.0% 2,804 82.8% 73 3,385 R+67.8
Zavala 2,612 77.5% 659 19.5% 100 3,371 D+57.9
Stephens 564 17.2% 2,599 79.3% 113 3,276 R+62.1
Goliad 1,035 31.9% 2,101 64.8% 107 3,243 R+32.9
Zapata 1,989 61.8% 1,107 34.4% 122 3,218 D+27.4
Ward 804 25.4% 2,263 71.5% 97 3,164 R+46.1
Ochiltree 230 7.8% 2,670 90.6% 48 2,948 R+82.8
McCulloch 535 18.5% 2,282 78.8% 80 2,897 R+60.3
Jack 391 13.7% 2,382 83.7% 74 2,847 R+69.9
Dimmit 1,839 66.3% 842 30.4% 92 2,773 D+36.0
Carson 336 12.3% 2,334 85.2% 70 2,740 R+72.9
Reeves 1,439 54.2% 1,141 42.9% 77 2,657 D+11.2
Refugio 1,015 38.6% 1,554 59.1% 60 2,629 R+20.5
Parmer 498 19.8% 1,968 78.3% 46 2,512 R+58.5
Brooks 1,737 73.8% 583 24.8% 33 2,353 D+49.0
Mitchell 569 25.5% 1,598 71.5% 68 2,235 R+46.0
Swisher 625 28.1% 1,539 69.2% 59 2,223 R+41.1
San Saba 326 14.8% 1,833 83.3% 41 2,200 R+68.5
Mills 344 16.1% 1,732 81.3% 55 2,131 R+65.1
Yoakum 376 18.2% 1,653 79.8% 42 2,071 R+61.7
Floyd 545 26.7% 1,468 71.8% 31 2,044 R+45.2
Wheeler 266 13.0% 1,744 85.4% 31 2,041 R+72.4
Castro 582 29.1% 1,379 68.9% 41 2,002 R+39.8
Delta 513 26.0% 1,414 71.7% 45 1,972 R+45.7
Childress 334 17.2% 1,567 80.8% 39 1,940 R+63.6
Haskell 631 32.6% 1,242 64.2% 61 1,934 R+31.6
Mason 435 22.5% 1,447 74.9% 51 1,933 R+52.4
Hansford 157 8.2% 1,722 90.1% 33 1,912 R+81.9
Lynn 510 26.7% 1,365 71.5% 34 1,909 R+44.8
Hartley 215 11.4% 1,647 87.1% 29 1,891 R+75.7
Kimble 242 13.2% 1,535 84.0% 50 1,827 R+70.8
Bailey 421 23.7% 1,328 74.6% 30 1,779 R+51.0
Crosby 611 35.8% 1,053 61.7% 43 1,707 R+25.9
Winkler 383 22.6% 1,270 74.9% 42 1,695 R+52.3
Jim Hogg 1,139 71.4% 433 27.1% 24 1,596 D+44.2
Martin 230 14.5% 1,333 84.3% 18 1,581 R+69.8
Fisher 559 35.5% 975 61.9% 40 1,574 R+26.4
La Salle 853 55.8% 645 42.2% 31 1,529 D+13.6
Dallam 235 15.5% 1,237 81.4% 47 1,519 R+66.0
Donley 251 16.7% 1,212 80.7% 39 1,502 R+64.0
Garza 252 16.9% 1,209 80.9% 33 1,494 R+64.1
Baylor 332 22.4% 1,090 73.4% 63 1,485 R+51.0
Real 278 18.7% 1,159 78.1% 47 1,484 R+59.4
Knox 372 25.4% 1,046 71.5% 44 1,462 R+46.1
Hemphill 179 12.3% 1,256 86.0% 26 1,461 R+73.7
Sutton 329 23.1% 1,081 75.8% 16 1,426 R+52.7
Hardeman 352 24.9% 1,013 71.7% 47 1,412 R+46.8
Coke 204 14.7% 1,145 82.6% 38 1,387 R+67.8
Kinney 451 33.4% 852 63.2% 46 1,349 R+29.7
Presidio 795 59.4% 478 35.7% 66 1,339 D+23.7
Crockett 404 30.2% 883 66.0% 50 1,337 R+35.8
Shackelford 152 11.4% 1,162 86.9% 23 1,337 R+75.5
Crane 253 20.6% 940 76.6% 34 1,227 R+56.0
Upton 280 24.1% 845 72.6% 39 1,164 R+48.5
Lipscomb 135 11.9% 986 86.6% 18 1,139 R+74.7
Jeff Davis 417 36.8% 659 58.2% 56 1,132 R+21.4
Collingsworth 221 20.1% 845 76.9% 33 1,099 R+56.8
Hall 262 25.2% 754 72.4% 25 1,041 R+47.3
Sherman 117 11.7% 855 85.8% 24 996 R+74.1
Schleicher 217 22.0% 748 75.7% 23 988 R+53.7
Concho 187 19.2% 760 78.1% 26 973 R+58.9
Dickens 236 24.4% 715 73.8% 18 969 R+49.4
Armstrong 109 11.9% 786 85.5% 24 919 R+73.7
Cochran 224 25.1% 648 72.6% 21 893 R+47.5
Oldham 80 9.4% 748 87.8% 24 852 R+78.4
Menard 181 21.3% 645 76.1% 22 848 R+54.7
Edwards 172 21.0% 624 76.1% 24 820 R+55.1
Reagan 119 14.8% 666 82.7% 20 805 R+68.0
Hudspeth 287 36.6% 458 58.4% 39 784 R+21.8
Irion 119 15.5% 622 80.8% 29 770 R+65.3
Throckmorton 130 17.2% 603 79.8% 23 756 R+62.6
Culberson 355 50.4% 313 44.4% 37 705 D+6.0
Briscoe 142 21.2% 513 76.7% 14 669 R+55.5
Cottle 166 24.9% 465 69.8% 35 666 R+44.9
Stonewall 213 33.1% 409 63.6% 21 643 R+30.5
Motley 65 11.8% 473 85.8% 13 551 R+74.0
Glasscock 52 9.5% 493 90.0% 3 548 R+80.5
Terrell 175 34.5% 309 60.9% 23 507 R+26.4
Roberts 32 6.5% 452 91.1% 12 496 R+84.7
Sterling 50 10.4% 425 88.2% 7 482 R+77.8
Foard 162 34.9% 287 61.9% 15 464 R+26.9
McMullen 64 14.6% 363 82.7% 12 439 R+68.1
Kent 85 22.3% 287 75.1% 10 382 R+52.9
Borden 39 11.4% 297 86.6% 7 343 R+75.2
Kenedy 67 43.8% 80 52.3% 6 153 R+8.5
King 4 3.3% 117 95.9% 1 122 R+92.6
Loving 15 24.6% 43 70.5% 3 61 R+45.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ted Cruz (R) R+8.5
2020 John Cornyn (R) R+9.6
2018 Ted Cruz (R) R+2.6
2014 John Cornyn (R) R+27.2
2012 Ted Cruz (R) R+15.8
2008 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2006 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+25.6
2002 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2000 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+32.8
1996 Phil Gramm (R) R+10.8
1994 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+22.5
1990 Phil Gramm (R) R+22.8
1988 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+19.2
1984 Phil Gramm (R) R+17.1
1982 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+18.1
1978 John G. Tower (R) R+0.5
1976 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+14.5
1972 John G. Tower (R) R+9.1
1970 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+7.1
1966 John G. Tower (R) R+13.3
1964 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+12.7
1960 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+16.9
1958 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+51.0
1954 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+69.9
1952 Price Daniel (D) D+100.0
1948 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.3
1946 Tom Connally (D) D+77.1
1942 Pappy O'Daniel (D) D+90.5
1940 Tom Connally (D) D+88.5
1936 Morris Sheppard (D) D+85.4
1934 Tom Connally (D) D+93.8
1930 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.2
1928 Tom Connally (D) D+62.5
1924 Morris Sheppard (D) D+70.8
1922 Earle B. Mayfield (D) D+66.9
1918 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.3
1916 Charles Culberson (D) D+68.2