United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1928 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1928 US Senate election in Texas

Tom Connally (Democrat) beat T.M. Kennerly (Republican) in Texas in 1928, 81.2% to 18.7%, a margin of 62.5 points and 435,966 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 1922, when Earle B. Mayfield won.

Democrats led in 243 of the 248 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 5. The largest, Harris, cast 48,511 votes and went to the Democrat by 57.1 points. The closest was San Augustine, where 2 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Tom Connally won Democratic 566,138 81.2%
T.M. Kennerly Republican 130,172 18.7%
All other candidates 804 0.1%
Total697,114

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 38,085 78.5% 10,366 21.4% 60 48,511 D+57.1
Dallas 33,933 76.8% 10,177 23.0% 70 44,180 D+53.8
Bexar 25,625 73.1% 9,372 26.8% 36 35,033 D+46.4
Tarrant 21,255 74.6% 7,233 25.4% 28,488 D+49.2
Jefferson 12,374 75.3% 4,045 24.6% 8 16,427 D+50.7
Wichita 9,023 75.1% 2,980 24.8% 7 12,010 D+50.3
El Paso 8,952 79.7% 2,273 20.2% 9 11,234 D+59.5
McLennan 9,593 86.2% 1,524 13.7% 12 11,129 D+72.5
Grayson 8,453 78.7% 2,279 21.2% 12 10,744 D+57.5
Galveston 8,073 79.3% 2,098 20.6% 13 10,184 D+58.7
Travis 8,290 87.5% 1,168 12.3% 11 9,469 D+75.2
Hidalgo 4,841 59.8% 3,256 40.2% 8,097 D+19.6
Ellis 6,945 87.6% 969 12.2% 10 7,924 D+75.4
Navarro 6,123 88.0% 833 12.0% 6,956 D+76.0
Collin 5,286 78.2% 1,451 21.5% 20 6,757 D+56.8
Hunt 5,617 87.4% 813 12.6% 6,430 D+74.7
Bell 5,703 89.8% 645 10.2% 5 6,353 D+79.6
Cameron 4,388 70.3% 1,844 29.5% 10 6,242 D+40.8
Potter 4,840 78.6% 1,304 21.2% 11 6,155 D+57.4
Taylor 4,730 82.5% 998 17.4% 7 5,735 D+65.1
Eastland 4,570 80.8% 1,087 19.2% 5,657 D+61.6
Williamson 5,047 91.4% 465 8.4% 7 5,519 D+83.0
Nueces 4,326 79.6% 1,108 20.4% 4 5,438 D+59.2
Smith 4,239 80.0% 1,056 19.9% 5 5,300 D+60.1
Bowie 4,148 82.2% 883 17.5% 17 5,048 D+64.7
Johnson 4,017 79.8% 1,015 20.2% 4 5,036 D+59.6
Lubbock 4,325 86.5% 671 13.4% 3 4,999 D+73.1
Denton 4,289 86.3% 667 13.4% 13 4,969 D+72.9
Lamar 4,356 89.7% 490 10.1% 8 4,854 D+79.6
Hill 4,221 88.3% 554 11.6% 5 4,780 D+76.7
Fannin 3,913 85.1% 684 14.9% 3 4,600 D+70.2
Fayette 3,934 91.2% 380 8.8% 1 4,315 D+82.4
Kaufman 3,795 88.6% 484 11.3% 6 4,285 D+77.3
Limestone 3,872 91.1% 380 8.9% 4,252 D+82.1
Cooke 3,432 82.9% 702 17.0% 5 4,139 D+66.0
Milam 3,803 92.9% 290 7.1% 1 4,094 D+85.8
Tom Green 3,563 87.7% 496 12.2% 3 4,062 D+75.5
Brown 3,414 86.2% 545 13.8% 3,959 D+72.5
Lavaca 3,491 89.6% 399 10.2% 5 3,895 D+79.4
Harrison 3,396 90.8% 340 9.1% 3 3,739 D+81.7
Cherokee 3,243 88.3% 424 11.5% 4 3,671 D+76.8
Angelina 3,188 90.5% 333 9.4% 3 3,524 D+81.0
Anderson 3,177 90.4% 332 9.4% 6 3,515 D+80.9
Hopkins 2,920 87.0% 429 12.8% 6 3,355 D+74.2
Van Zandt 2,916 87.6% 397 11.9% 16 3,329 D+75.7
Erath 2,762 83.6% 539 16.3% 4 3,305 D+67.3
Jones 2,730 82.7% 562 17.0% 9 3,301 D+65.7
Guadalupe 2,058 62.4% 1,229 37.3% 9 3,296 D+25.2
Parker 2,713 83.2% 530 16.3% 18 3,261 D+66.9
Palo Pinto 2,536 79.3% 656 20.5% 8 3,200 D+58.8
Wise 2,246 70.3% 949 29.7% 2 3,197 D+40.6
Hale 2,643 82.7% 552 17.3% 1 3,196 D+65.4
Runnels 2,799 88.6% 352 11.1% 9 3,160 D+77.4
Coleman 2,696 88.1% 354 11.6% 9 3,059 D+76.6
Wilbarger 2,570 86.0% 419 14.0% 1 2,990 D+71.9
Haskell 2,693 91.3% 250 8.5% 8 2,951 D+82.8
Cass 2,294 77.9% 652 22.1% 2,946 D+55.7
Red River 2,527 87.5% 355 12.3% 6 2,888 D+75.2
Stephens 2,279 79.9% 574 20.1% 2,853 D+59.8
Rusk 2,484 87.6% 352 12.4% 2,836 D+75.2
Gray 2,022 71.9% 785 27.9% 4 2,811 D+44.0
Henderson 2,470 88.7% 308 11.1% 6 2,784 D+77.7
Washington 2,636 95.5% 124 4.5% 2,760 D+91.0
De Witt 2,380 87.0% 355 13.0% 1 2,736 D+74.0
Montague 2,289 84.6% 417 15.4% 2,706 D+69.2
Nacogdoches 2,551 94.4% 147 5.4% 5 2,703 D+88.9
Colorado 2,181 82.1% 464 17.5% 12 2,657 D+64.6
Shelby 2,486 93.6% 159 6.0% 11 2,656 D+87.6
Wharton 2,033 77.4% 595 22.6% 2,628 D+54.7
Austin 2,388 91.0% 234 8.9% 1 2,623 D+82.1
Bosque 2,083 80.0% 519 19.9% 2 2,604 D+60.1
Gillespie 1,491 58.2% 1,071 41.8% 2 2,564 D+16.4
Wood 2,120 83.0% 433 17.0% 2,553 D+66.1
Nolan 2,189 85.8% 361 14.1% 2 2,552 D+71.6
Medina 1,825 72.7% 681 27.1% 4 2,510 D+45.6
Freestone 2,134 86.0% 346 13.9% 1 2,481 D+72.1
Clay 2,086 84.3% 388 15.7% 2,474 D+68.6
Comanche 2,155 87.8% 294 12.0% 5 2,454 D+75.8
Coryell 2,103 88.2% 278 11.7% 3 2,384 D+76.6
San Augustine 1,190 50.0% 1,192 50.0% 2,382 R+0.1
Victoria 2,131 89.7% 246 10.3% 2,377 D+79.3
Caldwell 2,179 91.8% 194 8.2% 2,373 D+83.6
Brazoria 1,458 61.6% 904 38.2% 5 2,367 D+23.4
Bastrop 2,059 87.9% 283 12.1% 2,342 D+75.8
Gonzales 2,017 86.9% 304 13.1% 1 2,322 D+73.8
Comal 1,965 85.0% 346 15.0% 2 2,313 D+70.0
Fort Bend 2,100 91.6% 193 8.4% 2,293 D+83.2
Upshur 2,067 91.2% 194 8.6% 5 2,266 D+82.7
Robertson 2,005 89.2% 241 10.7% 1 2,247 D+78.5
Webb 1,815 80.9% 426 19.0% 2 2,243 D+61.9
Houston 1,949 87.9% 269 12.1% 2,218 D+75.7
Orange 1,950 88.4% 252 11.4% 3 2,205 D+77.0
Brazos 2,061 93.6% 140 6.4% 2,201 D+87.3
Wilson 1,828 85.2% 318 14.8% 2,146 D+70.4
Kerr 1,326 62.5% 788 37.2% 6 2,120 D+25.4
Karnes 1,760 84.9% 314 15.1% 2,074 D+69.7
Childress 1,745 84.5% 319 15.4% 1 2,065 D+69.1
Hardeman 1,776 86.3% 281 13.7% 2,057 D+72.7
Fisher 1,770 86.4% 278 13.6% 2,048 D+72.9
Matagorda 1,395 70.1% 589 29.6% 6 1,990 D+40.5
Bee 1,312 67.1% 639 32.7% 4 1,955 D+34.4
Hardin 1,695 86.8% 257 13.2% 1 1,953 D+73.6
Liberty 1,582 81.5% 359 18.5% 1 1,942 D+63.0
Uvalde 1,614 83.1% 328 16.9% 1,942 D+66.2
Burleson 1,809 94.1% 114 5.9% 1,923 D+88.1
Callahan 1,696 88.3% 225 11.7% 1,921 D+76.6
Lynn 1,600 84.0% 300 15.7% 5 1,905 D+68.2
Mitchell 1,666 87.7% 233 12.3% 1 1,900 D+75.4
San Patricio 1,356 71.8% 531 28.1% 2 1,889 D+43.7
Hall 1,653 87.8% 228 12.1% 1 1,882 D+75.7
Grimes 1,728 92.2% 145 7.7% 1 1,874 D+84.5
McCulloch 1,538 82.1% 335 17.9% 1,873 D+64.2
Floyd 1,591 88.3% 210 11.7% 1,801 D+76.7
Hamilton 1,535 85.7% 256 14.3% 1,791 D+71.4
Dawson 1,386 77.6% 399 22.4% 1,785 D+55.3
Scurry 1,434 80.5% 347 19.5% 1 1,782 D+61.0
Hutchinson 1,067 60.5% 698 39.5% 1,765 D+20.9
Wheeler 1,372 78.9% 363 20.9% 5 1,740 D+58.0
Crosby 1,537 88.9% 189 10.9% 3 1,729 D+78.0
Panola 1,638 95.0% 84 4.9% 3 1,725 D+90.1
Collingsworth 1,420 82.6% 299 17.4% 1,719 D+65.2
Duval 1,251 74.1% 438 25.9% 1,689 D+48.1
Delta 1,450 87.0% 215 12.9% 2 1,667 D+74.1
Titus 1,535 92.5% 125 7.5% 1,660 D+84.9
Lamb 1,196 73.0% 442 27.0% 1,638 D+46.0
Knox 1,371 83.8% 261 16.0% 4 1,636 D+67.8
Atascosa 1,277 79.4% 330 20.5% 1 1,608 D+58.9
Gregg 1,423 89.0% 173 10.8% 2 1,598 D+78.2
Lee 1,390 88.6% 175 11.2% 3 1,568 D+77.5
Polk 1,380 89.9% 151 9.8% 4 1,535 D+80.1
Hays 1,346 88.8% 170 11.2% 1,516 D+77.6
Montgomery 1,389 92.8% 107 7.2% 1,496 D+85.7
Jasper 1,338 90.6% 139 9.4% 1,477 D+81.2
Kleberg 1,265 85.6% 210 14.2% 2 1,477 D+71.4
Jack 1,117 76.8% 337 23.2% 1 1,455 D+53.6
Leon 1,237 85.2% 212 14.6% 3 1,452 D+70.6
Val Verde 955 66.8% 474 33.2% 1,429 D+33.7
Carson 933 65.8% 484 34.2% 1,417 D+31.7
San Saba 1,204 87.1% 178 12.9% 1,382 D+74.2
Lampasas 1,227 89.2% 147 10.7% 2 1,376 D+78.5
Burnet 1,103 82.2% 238 17.7% 1 1,342 D+64.5
Howard 1,090 84.0% 207 15.9% 1 1,298 D+68.0
Baylor 1,182 91.5% 108 8.4% 2 1,292 D+83.1
Randall 1,053 82.5% 222 17.4% 1 1,276 D+65.1
Trinity 1,152 91.9% 99 7.9% 2 1,253 D+84.0
Sabine 1,171 94.9% 59 4.8% 4 1,234 D+90.1
Walker 1,137 92.2% 96 7.8% 1,233 D+84.4
Archer 991 82.1% 216 17.9% 1,207 D+64.2
Jim Wells 990 84.3% 183 15.6% 1 1,174 D+68.7
Blanco 752 64.8% 404 34.8% 4 1,160 D+30.0
Swisher 843 72.8% 315 27.2% 1,158 D+45.6
Dickens 1,034 89.8% 113 9.8% 5 1,152 D+79.9
Rockwall 1,071 93.0% 80 7.0% 1,151 D+86.1
Dallam 888 77.4% 253 22.0% 7 1,148 D+55.3
Franklin 1,018 90.0% 113 10.0% 1,131 D+80.0
Camp 967 86.3% 154 13.7% 1,121 D+72.5
Lipscomb 603 54.2% 501 45.0% 9 1,113 D+9.2
Hood 902 81.3% 205 18.5% 2 1,109 D+62.8
Bandera 414 37.5% 688 62.4% 1 1,103 R+24.8
Morris 1,016 93.4% 71 6.5% 1 1,088 D+86.9
Pecos 878 81.4% 192 17.8% 8 1,078 D+63.6
Refugio 827 77.6% 236 22.1% 3 1,066 D+55.4
Shackelford 952 89.4% 112 10.5% 1 1,065 D+78.9
Garza 884 84.4% 160 15.3% 4 1,048 D+69.1
Marion 694 66.9% 344 33.1% 1,038 D+33.7
Jackson 775 75.7% 249 24.3% 1,024 D+51.4
Goliad 734 71.9% 285 27.9% 2 1,021 D+44.0
Mills 831 82.0% 182 18.0% 1,013 D+64.1
Deaf Smith 791 79.9% 199 20.1% 990 D+59.8
Mason 823 83.6% 159 16.2% 2 984 D+67.5
Terry 767 78.5% 210 21.5% 977 D+57.0
Newton 839 88.1% 112 11.8% 1 952 D+76.4
Hockley 656 69.7% 278 29.5% 7 941 D+40.2
Llano 863 91.9% 76 8.1% 939 D+83.8
Stonewall 802 85.7% 130 13.9% 4 936 D+71.8
Tyler 878 94.1% 55 5.9% 933 D+88.2
Throckmorton 759 81.9% 168 18.1% 927 D+63.8
Foard 785 85.3% 130 14.1% 5 920 D+71.2
Cottle 833 91.9% 71 7.8% 2 906 D+84.1
Waller 817 91.1% 79 8.8% 1 897 D+82.3
Frio 736 82.4% 157 17.6% 893 D+64.8
Concho 780 88.5% 98 11.1% 3 881 D+77.4
Parmer 576 66.7% 280 32.4% 7 863 D+34.3
Dimmit 600 70.1% 256 29.9% 856 D+40.2
Live Oak 737 86.6% 114 13.4% 851 D+73.2
Madison 778 91.9% 67 7.9% 2 847 D+83.9
Starr 769 94.6% 44 5.4% 813 D+89.2
La Salle 721 89.3% 86 10.7% 807 D+78.7
Zavala 532 66.7% 265 33.2% 1 798 D+33.5
Hemphill 657 83.7% 128 16.3% 785 D+67.4
San Jacinto 706 90.5% 73 9.4% 1 780 D+81.2
Kimble 603 77.8% 170 21.9% 2 775 D+55.9
Coke 678 87.8% 91 11.8% 3 772 D+76.0
Menard 643 83.5% 123 16.0% 4 770 D+67.5
Kendall 395 51.9% 365 48.0% 1 761 D+3.9
Willacy 620 81.7% 139 18.3% 759 D+63.4
Rains 667 88.6% 83 11.0% 3 753 D+77.6
Motley 674 91.3% 64 8.7% 738 D+82.7
Reeves 655 89.0% 81 11.0% 736 D+78.0
Ochiltree 470 64.0% 261 35.6% 3 734 D+28.5
Calhoun 605 85.1% 104 14.6% 2 711 D+70.5
Armstrong 617 89.0% 75 10.8% 1 693 D+78.2
Castro 585 85.0% 103 15.0% 688 D+70.1
Hansford 509 76.2% 159 23.8% 668 D+52.4
Midland 554 84.5% 99 15.1% 3 656 D+69.4
Brewster 499 77.8% 140 21.8% 2 641 D+56.0
Briscoe 549 87.0% 78 12.4% 4 631 D+74.6
Reagan 500 82.6% 104 17.2% 1 605 D+65.5
Real 227 40.8% 328 59.0% 1 556 R+18.2
Bailey 388 71.5% 152 28.0% 3 543 D+43.5
Martin 472 88.2% 63 11.8% 535 D+76.4
Chambers 391 73.4% 142 26.6% 533 D+46.7
Presidio 472 89.7% 54 10.3% 526 D+79.5
Maverick 302 61.5% 189 38.5% 491 D+23.0
Brooks 405 83.0% 83 17.0% 488 D+66.0
Edwards 216 45.9% 251 53.3% 4 471 R+7.4
Kent 423 90.6% 41 8.8% 3 467 D+81.8
Winkler 414 89.8% 47 10.2% 461 D+79.6
Ward 385 84.2% 72 15.8% 457 D+68.5
Gaines 367 81.6% 79 17.6% 4 450 D+64.0
Terrell 186 44.3% 231 55.0% 3 420 R+10.7
Irion 344 91.5% 32 8.5% 376 D+83.0
Sutton 334 90.3% 36 9.7% 370 D+80.5
Kinney 269 73.3% 98 26.7% 367 D+46.6
Sherman 258 70.5% 108 29.5% 366 D+41.0
Roberts 290 80.6% 70 19.4% 360 D+61.1
Jim Hogg 336 93.6% 23 6.4% 359 D+87.2
Schleicher 307 88.0% 42 12.0% 349 D+75.9
Hartley 265 81.5% 60 18.5% 325 D+63.1
Crockett 268 84.5% 49 15.5% 317 D+69.1
Zapata 300 95.2% 15 4.8% 315 D+90.5
Cochran 266 86.9% 38 12.4% 2 306 D+74.5
Aransas 220 74.1% 77 25.9% 297 D+48.1
Oldham 218 74.7% 74 25.3% 292 D+49.3
Sterling 276 95.2% 14 4.8% 290 D+90.3
Ector 226 79.6% 58 20.4% 284 D+59.2
Crane 250 91.6% 23 8.4% 273 D+83.2
Jeff Davis 231 90.6% 23 9.0% 1 255 D+81.6
Hudspeth 195 86.7% 29 12.9% 1 225 D+73.8
Moore 183 87.6% 26 12.4% 209 D+75.1
Borden 161 92.0% 13 7.4% 1 175 D+84.6
McMullen 155 92.3% 13 7.7% 168 D+84.5
Culberson 149 95.5% 7 4.5% 156 D+91.0
Yoakum 129 86.6% 20 13.4% 149 D+73.2
Glasscock 131 93.6% 8 5.7% 1 140 D+87.9
Kenedy 127 97.7% 3 2.3% 130 D+95.4
King 115 93.5% 8 6.5% 123 D+87.0
Andrews 72 84.7% 13 15.3% 85 D+69.4

Counties as they stood in 1928; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ted Cruz (R) R+8.5
2020 John Cornyn (R) R+9.6
2018 Ted Cruz (R) R+2.6
2014 John Cornyn (R) R+27.2
2012 Ted Cruz (R) R+15.8
2008 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2006 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+25.6
2002 John Cornyn (R) R+12.0
2000 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+32.8
1996 Phil Gramm (R) R+10.8
1994 Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) R+22.5
1990 Phil Gramm (R) R+22.8
1988 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+19.2
1984 Phil Gramm (R) R+17.1
1982 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+18.1
1978 John G. Tower (R) R+0.5
1976 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+14.5
1972 John G. Tower (R) R+9.1
1970 Lloyd Bentsen (D) D+7.1
1966 John G. Tower (R) R+13.3
1964 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+12.7
1960 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+16.9
1958 Ralph Yarborough (D) D+51.0
1954 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+69.9
1952 Price Daniel (D) D+100.0
1948 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.3
1946 Tom Connally (D) D+77.1
1942 Pappy O'Daniel (D) D+90.5
1940 Tom Connally (D) D+88.5
1936 Morris Sheppard (D) D+85.4
1934 Tom Connally (D) D+93.8
1930 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.2
1928 Tom Connally (D) D+62.5
1924 Morris Sheppard (D) D+70.8
1922 Earle B. Mayfield (D) D+66.9
1918 Morris Sheppard (D) D+74.3
1916 Charles Culberson (D) D+68.2