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2012 US Senate election in Arizona

Jeff Flake (Republican) beat Richard Carmona (Democrat) in Arizona in 2012, 49.2% to 46.2%, a margin of 3.0 points and 67,915 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2006, when Jon Kyl won.

Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,341,066 votes and went to the Republican by 5.4 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 23 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jeff Flake won Republican 1,104,457 49.2%
Richard Carmona Democratic 1,036,542 46.2%
All other candidates 102,423 4.6%
Total2,243,422

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 602,809 44.9% 675,500 50.4% 62,757 1,341,066 R+5.4
Pima 207,578 55.5% 153,846 41.2% 12,338 373,762 D+14.4
Pinal 45,558 42.8% 55,008 51.7% 5,893 106,459 R+8.9
Yavapai 34,902 35.7% 57,838 59.1% 5,131 97,871 R+23.4
Mohave 20,865 30.6% 42,410 62.3% 4,832 68,107 R+31.6
Coconino 28,723 56.7% 19,334 38.2% 2,590 50,647 D+18.5
Cochise 19,736 40.9% 26,208 54.3% 2,277 48,221 R+13.4
Yuma 18,408 45.5% 20,997 51.8% 1,092 40,497 R+6.4
Navajo 16,881 45.9% 18,228 49.6% 1,634 36,743 R+3.7
Apache 16,455 65.2% 7,680 30.4% 1,097 25,232 D+34.8
Gila 8,099 38.2% 11,954 56.4% 1,140 21,193 R+18.2
Santa Cruz 9,454 70.0% 3,617 26.8% 437 13,508 D+43.2
Graham 3,771 32.2% 7,352 62.9% 574 11,697 R+30.6
La Paz 1,961 35.6% 3,120 56.7% 426 5,507 R+21.0
Greenlee 1,342 46.1% 1,365 46.9% 205 2,912 R+0.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ruben Gallego (D) D+2.4
2022 Mark Kelly (D) D+4.9
2018 Kyrsten Sinema (D) D+2.3
2016 John McCain (R) R+13.0
2012 Jeff Flake (R) R+3.0
2010 John McCain (R) R+24.2
2006 Jon Kyl (R) R+9.8
2004 John McCain (R) R+56.1
2000 Jon Kyl (R) R+79.3
1998 John McCain (R) R+41.6
1994 Jon Kyl (R) R+14.2
1992 John McCain (R) R+24.2
1988 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+15.7
1986 John McCain (R) R+21.0
1982 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+16.6
1980 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.1
1976 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+10.7
1974 Barry Goldwater (R) R+16.5
1970 Paul Fannin (R) R+12.0
1968 Barry Goldwater (R) R+14.4
1964 Paul Fannin (R) R+2.9
1962 Carl Hayden (D) D+9.9
1958 Barry Goldwater (R) R+12.1
1956 Carl Hayden (D) D+22.8
1952 Barry Goldwater (R) R+2.6
1950 Carl Hayden (D) D+25.6
1946 Ernest McFarland (D) D+39.1
1944 Carl Hayden (D) D+38.7
1940 Ernest McFarland (D) D+43.6
1938 Carl Hayden (D) D+53.0
1934 Henry Ashurst (D) D+46.4
1932 Carl Hayden (D) D+34.6
1928 Henry Ashurst (D) D+8.5
1926 Carl Hayden (D) D+16.7
1922 Henry Ashurst (D) D+30.1
1920 Ralph H. Cameron (R) R+10.3
1916 Henry Ashurst (D) D+16.0
1914 Marcus A. Smith (D) D+34.3